Pre-match: The inevitable war with Iran

Iranian sources saying they won't respond apparently. Hopefully that's accurate.

 

Unless Israel comes out and officially acknowledges it attacked Iran, or unless the attack was meaningful, Iran will probably brush it off.

 

https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveb...o-damage-caused-in-overnight-attack-state-tv/
Iranian senior commander: No damage caused in overnight attack — state TV

 

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/04/19/israel-iran-hamas-war-news-gaza-palestine/

 

Hopefully that will be the end of it.

 

Israel used cheap drones while Iran used expensive anti air to destroy them

Such a big win for Israel

 

This wasn't drones. Iran has to downplay this because they can't admit their have no defense against the Israeli air force. But if it means an end for the tit-for-tat, good.

 

Iran are not liars unlike the West so I believe them

 

This is sarcasm, right? Sometimes it's hard to tell.

 

I was channeling my inner IM

 

To summarize:

1. The US claims a missile struck Iran near an air base in Isfahan
2. Iran says 3 mini drones fired from inside Iran targeted a radar station near Isfahan's air base and they were shot down
3. Israel has not officially commented but a war of words has erupted over a far right minister calling the attack 'lame"
4. My own family in Isfahan say all is well and fine. Those in Iran who would welcome a real Israeli strike are disappointed but hopeful that this was just 'a pre Passover down-payment designed to say we will be taking up the issue after our holidays and prefer for now a symbolic act that won't ruin vacation plans in Israel'

There is zero evidence of anything substantial to require Iran to falsely down play.

 

https://www.barrons.com/news/israel-minister-slammed-for-implying-israel-behind-iran-blasts-3c94637e

 

Strike appears to be symbolic, but seems like this has divided ministers in Netanyahu's own government, not to mention fallout in media etc from Ben Gvir's statement.
Which leads me to believe that this MIGHT not be the end of it, but we'll see.

Suffice to say, Iran will not respond to this.

What I think will happen in the following months is that Israel and Hezbollah might go to war, beyond current "skirmishes".

 

Hope so as well. The ethno fascist called Bibi would love nothing more than to drag the US into a war with Iran.

 

stay curious…..
Good quality!

 

They're gonna tit for tat -ing into full scale war if the USA doesnot hit the two firmly on their hands.

 

Planes, without refuelling in the air by the US military.

 

You have a link to the podcast episode?

I'm fascinated both personally (I like to fly drones ) and professionally.

 

Before the Iran drone attack, ME conflict experts told that if Iran would attack that nuclear site of Israel, that would be considered a nuclear attack by Israel and responded likewise.
If these missiles were targeting nuclear installations, that might be considered likewise by Iran.

The west should immediately make clear with a big stick to Israel, we're not going to let you lot drag us into a war and to Iran we can and will shoot everything out of the skye you launch.

 

Iran is obviously not going to respond. The attack is being ridiculed, if this is the extent of Israel's retaliation after 3 war cabinet meetings. Ben Gvir's post is being retweeted in Iranian media.

Now Israel might still do something after passover, but in that case this attack would make no sense. World leaders and international media are framing this as Israeli response and are now calling for Iran to restrain itself, as if Israel has responded in "tit-for-tat".

Honestly, I think the IRGC might be laughing all the way to the bank on this one, if there are no reports and evidence suggesting significant damage to a military infrastructure.

To summarize. Everyone is laughing about Irans retaliation. And seemingly Israels retaliation is also being laughed about, including minister in its own government.
Lets hope that will be the last laughter, and the tit-for-tat matter to be concluded, because I am 100 % certain Iran will not reciprocate this attack.

 

How about you just answer the question?

I mean, do you have any ideas, research, etc. to contribute or is snarking the limit of input?

 

It's not a question of culpability, but of who's interest it is to get the USA into the playing field.
With all his big mouth waffling one thing is very clear and that's Khamenei doesnot want a direct confrontation with the USA.