This is easy to follow and, if you're a Democrat, completely frightening. And if you're Michael "Majority Maker" Moore, it ought to make you pack up that free underwear you wanted to give away and move to France. http://www.dailyrecycler.com/blog/2004/11/bushs-landslide-or-how-kerry-won-ohio.html
It'd be interesting to project a similar vote increment to 2008 and see how the electoral vote difference expand. Which is the nascent red states for 2008? It looks like Colorado is taking definite left turn, with both houses of the state legislature switching to the Dems. The further question, will California be "in-play" by 2008?