South Carolina vs The USA vs Nevada :: Pre, PBP & Post Match Thread [R]

Discussion in 'Elections' started by Knave, Feb 19, 2016.

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  1. riverplate

    riverplate Member+

    Jan 1, 2003
    Corona, Queens
    Club:
    CA River Plate
    When to expect results...

    A Viewer's Guide - USA Today
    http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/...ime-is-the-nevada-republican-caucus/80759894/

    On Tuesday, the caucuses begin between 5 and 7 p.m. local time (depending on the county), and the Nevada Republican Party says: "All caucuses end at 9:00 PT. This means we won't expect results to start coming in until after 9:00 PM (or midnight for those of you on the east coast.)" So it will be Wednesday in a big chunk of the country before we know who won on Tuesday.

    Unlike the Democrats, the Republican caucuses are organized around a secret-ballot presidential preference vote. While the caucuses still select delegates to go to county conventions and contend for tickets to the Republican National Convention, the 30 Nevada delegates that go to Cleveland will be awarded to candidates based on the outcome of the preference poll.
     
  2. annoyingracoon01

    Aug 29, 2014
    Chicago
    Club:
    SSC Napoli
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I literally just read that article like 10 minutes ago, what a coincidence.
     
  3. American Brummie

    Jun 19, 2009
    There Be Dragons Here
    Club:
    Birmingham City FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    https://twitter.com/RalstonReports

    @Knave thanks for the twitter handle to follow. Long lines, dropped-out candidates still on the ballot, multiple voting, pure chaos. Nevada apparently had a bill to change to a primary die in the legislature this year. Good Lord.
     
  4. Knave

    Knave Member+

    May 25, 1999
    Yeah, he's a good guy to follow.

    Would love it if there were guys of similar stature and experience for other states, but there aren't many like him
     
  5. Knave

    Knave Member+

    May 25, 1999
    C'mon, Ted! I still believe second place is in your grasp!
     
  6. Boloni86

    Boloni86 Member+

    Jun 7, 2000
    Baltimore
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    Gibraltar
    TRUMP

    TRUMP

    TRUMP!!!!!!!!!!
     
  7. riverplate

    riverplate Member+

    Jan 1, 2003
    Corona, Queens
    Club:
    CA River Plate
    #182 riverplate, Feb 24, 2016
    Last edited: Feb 24, 2016
    99% reporting:

    Trump - 45.9%
    Rubio - 23.8%
    Cruz - 21.4%
    Carson - 4.8%
    Kasich - 3.6%
     
  8. American Brummie

    Jun 19, 2009
    There Be Dragons Here
    Club:
    Birmingham City FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Trump's "low ceiling," eh?
     
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  9. Knave

    Knave Member+

    May 25, 1999
    Third place, Ted!?! Third place!?

    Ted Cruz is the Chivas USA of the GOP nominating contest.

    Starts out hopeful, but then disappoints every time.
     
    American Brummie repped this.
  10. uclacarlos

    uclacarlos Member+

    Aug 10, 2003
    east coast
    Club:
    FC Barcelona
    Nat'l Team:
    Spain
    Dude. Rand Paul almost tripled Jeb!'s vote tally in Nevada (170-64)!

    Re: Latinos

    Trump is going to play up getting 45% of the Latino vote, beating both Cruz and Rubio.

    A couple of points:
    1. That is the Republican Latino vote. Most data I've seen indicates that amongst non-Republicans, forget about.
    2. The fact that he topped Rubio and Cruz shows that Latinos don't vote by race.
     
  11. ToMhIlL

    ToMhIlL Member+

    Feb 18, 1999
    Boxborough, MA
    Club:
    New England Revolution
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Or it shows that they don't identify with Cuban-Americans where the only thing they have in common is that someone in their family tree speaks/spoke the same language. This is like some people in 2008 thinking that by nominating a woman for VP, some of the Hilary Clinton voters would support that ticket.
     
  12. American Brummie

    Jun 19, 2009
    There Be Dragons Here
    Club:
    Birmingham City FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    He's in the mold of Santorum, Huckabee, Buchanan, Forbes. They're the playoffs-Columbus Crew. Appeal to a niche, build in strength throughout the year, get absolutely flattened. Or, they get a couple wins and then they get cocky and try to pass across the face of goal.

    :( fml
     
  13. riverplate

    riverplate Member+

    Jan 1, 2003
    Corona, Queens
    Club:
    CA River Plate
    Next event: Republican debate on Thursday from the Moores Opera House at the University of Houston. Debate sponsored by CNN & Telemundo. Moderated by Wolf Blitzer. 7:30 p.m. local time (8:30 p.m. ET).

    Hillary and Bernie are not meeting before Super Tuesday. The next Democrat debate will be Sunday, March 6 in Flint, Michigan.
     
  14. JohnR

    JohnR Member+

    Jun 23, 2000
    Chicago, IL
    The Donald got 34,000 votes, in a state with 2.8 million.
     
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  15. JohnR

    JohnR Member+

    Jun 23, 2000
    Chicago, IL
    I wonder how Hector Ortega, born in East L.A., would fare with Nevada's Latino vote. Pretty damn well I should think, assuming that's not talking about deporting his fellow Mexican-Americans.
     
  16. ToMhIlL

    ToMhIlL Member+

    Feb 18, 1999
    Boxborough, MA
    Club:
    New England Revolution
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
     
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  17. Dr. Wankler

    Dr. Wankler Member+

    May 2, 2001
    The Electric City
    Club:
    Chicago Fire
  18. JohnR

    JohnR Member+

    Jun 23, 2000
    Chicago, IL
    We know that Trump fans really love the guy, and that he motivates some voters who would not otherwise participate. That is not the same as being accepted by 50% of the general election voters. I am not saying no, it won't happen. I don't know that. Just hesitant about extrapolating what are in the grand scheme very low numbers.
     
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  19. Knave

    Knave Member+

    May 25, 1999
    It's almost Democratic Primary Day in South Carolina!

    How badly will Bernie lose?

    I say HRC wins by 24 percent.

    Because why not ...
     
  20. MatthausSammer

    MatthausSammer Moderator
    Staff Member

    Dec 9, 2012
    Canada
    Club:
    Borussia Dortmund
    Nat'l Team:
    Germany
    Hilary's even more of a lock than Trump.
     
  21. Knave

    Knave Member+

    May 25, 1999


    This is good news for Bernie ... :whistling:
     
  22. riverplate

    riverplate Member+

    Jan 1, 2003
    Corona, Queens
    Club:
    CA River Plate
    Holy smokes! Could this be a total wipeout?
     
  23. Knave

    Knave Member+

    May 25, 1999
    About half an hour left to get your predictions in.

    I said HRC by 24%.
     
  24. riverplate

    riverplate Member+

    Jan 1, 2003
    Corona, Queens
    Club:
    CA River Plate
    Okay, I'll roll the dice and say she cracks 30%. Everything seems to be breaking for her there -- big time.

    S.C. Dems Head To The Polls; Clinton, Sanders Head Out Of State - Washington Post
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/poli...30fdba-dd18-11e5-891a-4ed04f4213e8_story.html
    Black voters account for roughly 6 in 10 Democratic primary voters in preliminary exit polls reported by ABC News. That would would set a new record: the current record is 55%, set in 2008 as then-Sen. Barack Obama campaigned — against Clinton herself — to become his party’s first African American nominee.

    Exit polls reported by ABC News also showed that a large majority of Democratic voters, fully 7 in 10, wanted the next president to continue President Obama’s policies, rather than pursue a more liberal agenda. Sanders has called for a “political revolution” that would enact sweeping liberal policies — including universal, government-run health insurance — beyond what Obama has put in place.

    And exit polls showed there had been no surge in young voters, a key part of Sanders’s voting base. In these early polls, younger voters’ current share of the vote in South Carolina was on pace to be the lowest yet in any Democratic primary contest this year.
     
  25. riverplate

    riverplate Member+

    Jan 1, 2003
    Corona, Queens
    Club:
    CA River Plate
    #200 riverplate, Feb 27, 2016
    Last edited: Feb 27, 2016
    Clinton called winner right away, of course.

    NBC says:
    Sanders takes whites 58% to 41%
    Clinton takes blacks 84% to 16% (60% of the overall voters)

    Sanders won voters under 30, but they only made up 15% of the overall voters.
     

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