MLS Attendance Analysis: Week 30

Discussion in 'MLS: News & Analysis' started by edwardgr, Oct 2, 2011.

  1. njzorrooo

    njzorrooo Member

    Dec 21, 2005
    Brooklyn, NY
    Club:
    New York Red Bulls
    Nat'l Team:
    Portugal
    I called the NYRB office. They said the only available tickets for the Galaxy match are part of deals that including also buying a ticket for the game against the Union, the last game of the regular season and there are very few of these.

    It doesn't surprise me if there are some individual tickets still available because NYRB has a resale program for season ticket holders. In this case, these tickets are already sold as far as NYRB is concerned. Whether the season ticket holder who wants to sell their tickets has a buyer or not is a different story.

    I think we'll see the attendance be listed as 25,000, but as usual at RBA, a large number of no shows for this game would not surprise me.
     
  2. triplet1

    triplet1 BigSoccer Supporter

    Jul 25, 2006
    I hope you enjoy it -- it will be interesting to see what you think of how he measures the league's evolution.
     
  3. cthomer5000

    cthomer5000 Member+

    Apr 23, 2007
    Raleigh NC
    Club:
    New York Red Bulls
  4. dark knight

    dark knight Super Moderator
    Staff Member

    Dec 15, 1999
    Club:
    Leicester City FC
    Resales are different from tickets sold by red bull. We'll see what they say the number is but here's hoping the stadium is full. It's awesome when it is.
     
  5. MLSFan123

    MLSFan123 Member+

    Mar 21, 2011
    Boston Area
    Club:
    New England Revolution
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
  6. triplet1

    triplet1 BigSoccer Supporter

    Jul 25, 2006

    There may be something else going on here -- the nature of the markets themselves. Coenen makes one more observation that may apply here too -- MLS teams may mean less to people in bigger markets. He notes, "Despite their communities size and having teams play in bigger stadiums, [in the early years] large-city [NFL] teams rarely exceeded the paid attendance of those clubs in smaller cities. In fact, large city franchises had higher stadium rent and just to break even needed to draw more paying customers than those in smaller cities. As in medium-sized cities, larger communities offered residents many entertainment options, and pro football, with a bad reputation, an unexciting game and no civic meaning, was at a competitive disadvantage."

    In short, in smaller cities an NFL team was often a bigger deal -- the subject of civic boosterism and local pride. And it wasn't just the NFL. Kuper and Szymanski make the same point in Soccernomics:

    "Capitals -- Especially London, Paris, and Moscow -- tend to have the greatest concentrations of natural resources. It's therefore striking how badly their clubs seem to [historically] underperform . . . In capital cities, no soccer club can matter all that much . . . Capitals simply have less to prove than provincial cities. They have bigger sources of pride than their soccer teams . . . London, Paris, and Moscow don't need to win the Champions League. It is a different type of city where a soccer club can mean everything: the provincial industrial town." (pages 136-137.)

    They're not exactly industrial towns, but for purposes of civic pride, I submit that perhaps an MLS team simply may mean more in places like Portland, Salt Lake City, Seattle or Vancouver -- most of these rapidly developing cities without NFL teams that are very conscious of their civic image -- than it does in Chicago, greater Boston, Washington D.C. or Dallas. Or perhaps more accurately, it could be that focus of civic pride in those older MLS markets is already occupied by teams like the Bears, Cubs, Red Sox, Celtics, Pats, Redskins, Cowboys -- teams that are embedded deep in the consciousness of those communities. Admittedly, that doesn't explain Columbus (which does have OSU), but remember Columbus boosters sold a lot of tickets to get an MLS team in the first place; it may just be a case of fatigue in the local community that must really actively booster the team so it can thrive.

    Now, things can change over time. The NFL Bears and Giants were some of the league's wealthiest, best supported teams by the 1940s, but they required years of subsidy to achieve that. (Ironically, Bill Bidwell subsidized the Bears as well as his own Chicago Cardinals, which I hadn't known.) The NFL conquered its largest markets with patience and wealthy owners who subsidized their teams for years until the fanbases came of age.

    I think MLS might have to do something similar.
     
  7. evangel

    evangel Member+

    Apr 12, 2007
    I received this email from the Red Bulls a few hours ago (which also includes some season ticket info for next season).


     
  8. cthomer5000

    cthomer5000 Member+

    Apr 23, 2007
    Raleigh NC
    Club:
    New York Red Bulls
    If you'll keep reading the thread you'll see i've commented on the situation repeatedly. I'm not sure why you're looking for info that's already been discussed here at length.
     
  9. zarcone9

    zarcone9 Member

    Sep 17, 2004
    bruccaline
    Club:
    US Città di Palermo
    Nat'l Team:
    Aruba
    DC claims it needs 26000 fans to break even. They should renegotiate rfk stadium deal to make a tenable situation at 16500 fans per game. They can also persuade the Don to allow them to offer upper deck tickets on the cheap(say $12 a ticket). this could boost there attendance above 20000 per game( the ) cheap seats would probably get them $20 bucks per head). Then money would be available to get DPs that could get them over 26000.
     
  10. doog

    doog Member

    Jun 11, 2006
    How much are they getting charged in rent? They're paying something like $3.4 million in player salaries, right? $20 (average ticket cost) x 17 (games) x 26000 = $8,840,000. That of course doesn't include any big ticket international club teams coming for a visit, nor does it include advertising/sponsorships.
     
  11. nick

    nick Member+

    Nov 23, 1998
    Potomac Falls, Va
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Where did that number come from? That is significantly higher than any business plan breakeven ranges I have seen all the way back to 96.
     
  12. Justin O

    Justin O Member+

    Seattle Sounders
    United States
    Nov 30, 1998
    on the run from the covid
    Club:
    Seattle
    Season 18 is the comparison that will be the most striking.
     
  13. MLSFan123

    MLSFan123 Member+

    Mar 21, 2011
    Boston Area
    Club:
    New England Revolution
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I am not looking for info.

    Gears stated the game was sold out and I showed him the link where you could still buy tickets and other people have provided some useful current info.

    Who knows, maybe some one reading this thread even got a chance to get a ticket instead of assuming they were all sold out. Not the worst thing in the world.
     
  14. MLSFan123

    MLSFan123 Member+

    Mar 21, 2011
    Boston Area
    Club:
    New England Revolution
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    26k?

    If that is true, the team might be bleeding $5-10 million a year in losses. That number can't be right.

    I wonder if DC is fibbing a bit to make their case for needing a new stadium better?
     
  15. Heist

    Heist Member+

    Jun 15, 2001
    Virginia
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Where did you hear the 26k number?
    Also, if fans won't come out for $20 seats, I doubt they'll come out in droves for $12 seats...
     
  16. VioletCrown

    VioletCrown Member+

    FC Dallas
    United States
    Aug 30, 2000
    Austin, Texas
    Club:
    Austin Aztex
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Indeed!
     
  17. JasonMa

    JasonMa Member+

    Mar 20, 2000
    Arvada, CO
    Club:
    Colorado Rapids
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Wow, why didn't DC think of this?

    Oh yeah, because they can't just wave their magic wand and renegotiate something, the other side has to agree. :rolleyes:
     
  18. wufc

    wufc Member

    May 1, 2005
    UC Irvine
    Club:
    Los Angeles Galaxy
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    DC United really has no leverage. They can't really negotiate a better lease with the DC government, because at that rate, DC might just decide it's better off leaving RFK empty and rotting rather than pay maintenance costs and receiving rent that barely covers it. And it seems like the city council has long term plans of demolishing RFK and building a new stadium there to bring the Redskins back.
     
  19. triplet1

    triplet1 BigSoccer Supporter

    Jul 25, 2006
    I don't know if the number is accurate, but Payne has said this:

    "The bottom line is, we cannot continue in RFK Stadium. We have lost millions of dollars each year we have operated there."

    Link:

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/discussion/2009/02/17/DI2009021702025.html
     
  20. Heist

    Heist Member+

    Jun 15, 2001
    Virginia
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Not that I want this in any way shape or form, but I wonder why JKC stadium hasn't been considered. I know its a huge football stadium and perhaps its just as bad to rent as RFK is, but it could be better than moving to Baltimore I think.
     
  21. AndyMead

    AndyMead Homo Sapien

    Nov 2, 1999
    Seat 12A
    Club:
    Sporting Kansas City
    In an interview that Sam Pierron and I had with Curt Johnson back in 04 or 05 for the Emerald City Gazette, Johnson told me that they needed something like a bare minimum of 18,000 sold tickets (not including comps and handouts) to break even at Arrowhead Stadium. And that's with the fact that the Wizards rent was set by the guy that owned the team - much more favorable than what DC United has.

    It also shows the difference between renting and owning, and the average ticket price when supply isn't 5-10 times the demand that Sporting Kansas City only built a stadium that barely holds that number while now having to pay off the construction notes.

    It tells me that not only is paid attendance in Kansas City up, but that the average paid per ticket is up substantially.
     
  22. MLSFan123

    MLSFan123 Member+

    Mar 21, 2011
    Boston Area
    Club:
    New England Revolution
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Of the various teams that have had government help in building their stadiums, do any of them have to pay it off in one form or another (revenue sharing or something like a small % of every gate goes back to the government)?
     
  23. Amazing when you read that article they have been looking for a stadium for over 10 years already. I wonder how much longer before they dont throw in the towel there.
     
  24. AndyMead

    AndyMead Homo Sapien

    Nov 2, 1999
    Seat 12A
    Club:
    Sporting Kansas City
    And that article is from 2 1/2 years ago
     
  25. Fiosfan

    Fiosfan Red Card

    Mar 21, 2010
    Nevada
    Club:
    New York City FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    It's amazing how this formula worked at KC and kind of scary at the same time. The blueprint for this must be followed by every MLS team in the future, hack even right now. Poor DCU was such a jewel in MLS crown, but the team suffered a great deal when the real estate dude came in and bought the team and thought he could cash in on the deal at Poplar Point, which went south very quickly and he left his partner holding the bag. The owner right now is a small time businessman walking on egg shells.
     

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