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Discussion in 'Columbus Crew SC' started by TRUJDUB, Jul 22, 2019.
I still hate W-L-D formatting.
I would argue - not very loudly or for very long, mind you - that New England is the hottest team in MLS: Undefeated in their last 11 matches.
I agree this is a quote from their website and not my opinion
Me, too. I go WDL in all my posts.
As for hottest team, the Quakes have been the second best (to LAFC) team in the league since late April. And they have just been destroying teams on the pitch. Back to back 30 shot games on the road. Etc.
NE are a worthy choice, but the Quakes have been hotter for longer.
They have FOUR games in hand on us. We are not catching them. Philly, ATL, and Citeh are just not going to happen. And so no need to scoreboard watch for them.
Orlando, TFC, NE, MTL and maybe even DC & NYRB, yes.
Up to 7%.
I think that number is inflated, as well. But who am I to argue numbers with a site founded by Nate SIlver?
We got some me results but Harrison Afful really screwed up what could have been. A draw was still a good result but unfortunately Chicago won and passed us up.
And that's why we won't make the playoffs, because we would need most other teams to lose, etc, and that just won't happen. It makes no sense to shoot for this pipe dream.
We still have a few games tonight :
Philadelphia @ DC- we need philly to help us
8/10 Important games
Cincinnati @ Columbus - a must win
Montreal @ Chicago - a draw would be ideal but if Chicago wins it’s ok in the long run
Orlando @ Toronto - a draw or Orlando loss would be fine.
NE @ Seattle- Need a Sounders win
8/8 Houston @ NYC FC - a upset would be nice but a draw will work
8/11 NYCFC @ Atlanta - Should be a good chance that Atlanta helps us
8/11 LAG @ DC- we sure could use Zaltan having a big night. Hopefully LA can at least get a draw.
8/11 NY @ LAFC - well NY is not likely to win this so obviously a loss is a high probability
8/11 Houston @ Philadelphia- not much hope but maybe there’s a chance for a draw
Anything is possible if we win all the home games and keep playing well on the road and not losing. If we never lose another Game we will have to make the playoffs no matter what other teams do .
Playoffs are still a long shot but be optimistic we are finally not playing like trash
Do these number wizards take into account that Crew are playing Cincy twice this month?
Always root for a draw or a win by the team with the LEAST points in this scenario. You want to keep teams from getting close to 45 points which is where we could end at.
I think it's pretty unlikely, even now, that we're going to get in. We just took four points from two extremely difficult road matches, and we're still eight points back.
But right now, the only number I care about is:
We need to get three points from the Cincinnati game. If we can't do that, get a roll of stamps and mail it in.
FCC matches worry me. They are gonna bring the heat against us, no pun intended. And they've been known to score goals, something we have trouble with at times. We will see. We need all 6. I predict we get 3.
Known to score goals? When did that happen? They’ve scored fewer goals this season than we have, which is kind of impressive.
Cincy has three road results all season; two of them back in March. There’s absolutely nothing about them that makes me nervous, especially at MAPFRE.
It’s US I don’t trust.
So, pretty freaking slim. Sounds right.
We have nine matches remaining. All we have to do is lose ONE, and it becomes mathematically impossible to finish above .500.
They were scoring goals during our drought. Hadn't noticed their own drought as of late. I did say we will get three, we will split the series and each team will win at home. IMHO.
Wouldn’t doubt it. They’re bad enough that we should win both games, but we’re not good enough to put it out of the question that we could lay one egg.
How in bloody hell does the schedule, this freaking far into the season, have one team have FOUR GAMES in hand on another team?
The (Stool) Pigeons weren’t even in the CONCACAF Champions League.
mL$ scheduling is a joke.
Idk maybe baseball conflicts I’m sure mls schedules around mlb and not the other way around . Get your own stadium
Were they involved in that new 8-team MLS vs Mexico competition? I didn’t pay any attention to it.
Also, and I could be wrong about this, but I think they may have had a postponement in there as well.
Right. Give up before the season is over.
Look, agreed it is a longshot, but there is no harm in going for it. Or talking about it.
Winning at NYRB. Drawing at SJ while not giving up a goal from the run of play (unlucky hand ball PK). These are encouraging results.
We have Cincy, TFC, and Chicago at home. And winnable roadies at Cincy, at Van, and at TFC. If we really make some hay there (4-5 wins) we likely distance ourselves from Orlando & Chicago, and close on TFC (assuming an away draw).
Gonna need at least 2 results from the remaining three that are a lot tougher (Philly, at NYC, at ATL).
43-45 pts could get us in, if someone really struggles (MTL, DC) coming home.
Win the next two and we are on 31 with 7 left. 12-14 pts from the final 7. Tough, but not impossible.
Just updating my original estimate/target of getting to 44 points. We were on 21 with 11 games left.
Need = 23 points rom last 11 to hit 44.
1. At least 12 points from the six games vs teams below the PO line. Home vs Cincy, TFC, Chicago. Away to Cincy, Vancouver, TFC.
So far: 0 games, 0 points.
2. At least 9 points from the five games vs teams in PO position: at NYRB, at SJ, at NYC, at ATL, Philly.
So far: 2 games, 4 pts. 3-2 W at NYRB. 1-1 D at SJ.
3. At least 2 more points from somewhere. Exceed one goal by 2 or each by 1.
It ain't over till it's over!