http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/US/P/00/epolls.0.html 93% of Republicans voted for Bush, 48% of independents went Bush, 49% went Kerry, 89% of democrats went Kerry, 11% went Bush. Who the fvck were these 11% of democrats that voted for Bush? Republicans won this election because a lack of democratic party discipline.
First off I just want to say that I vehemently hate when people say that all Democrats should vote Democrat and vice versa. Toeing the party line is dispicable and inexcusable in my mind. Think for yourself. That being said, the 11% bought into Bush's bull**** and/or really didn't like Kerry.
I thought this would be about how incredibly helpful and accurate the exit polls yesterday afternoon were. Note to myself: kick John Zogby in the taint.
Part of me thinks that if it wasn't for those ********ing exit polls getting my hopes up that I wouldn't feel so devastated today. The rest of me thinks that's **************** and I'd be just as miserable. But last night sucked more than it would have if I'd been a little more prepared. I'm sure there's a going to be a lot of exit poll dissecting in the coming weeks but today I don't have the mental energy for it. Note to Loney: Kick Zogby in the taint. Twice.
Me too. Well, I think that John Zogby has pretty much committed career suicide already, so there's nothing you or I could do that could hurt him as much. But feel free to give him a cockpunch if you ever see him.
Has anyone heard a plausible explanation for why the exit polls skewed so heavily towards Kerry? My own guess is that the exit polling was concentrated more in the cities, but that's just pure uninformed speculation on my part.
Okay, I heard a couple discussions on this yesterday. Apparently the polling locations were picked using a statistical model so they'd accurately represent the population. Dick Morris said he'd never seen an exit poll this wrong in 30 years of elections, and he suggested there were some shenanigans at work. It was noted that the exit polling results were especially crazy in a couple swing states. One explanation I heard offered up more than once is the following: The times and locations of the exit polling were leaked to someone who rallied Kerry supporters to those spots to be poll takers. Haven't heard any better potential explanation yet.
The belief is that people are less inclined to vote for a candidate if they think he's gonna lose (either not show up or vote for the presumptive winner). If early exit polls that show Kerry running the table in swing states get out--and they certainly did--that could keep down the Bush vote.
89 + 11 = 100, so no Dem voted a third party? I wonder where Nader got his 1%. Anyway, should I also guess that 7% of Reeps voted for Kerry?