Effect of 5 subs per team in Bundesliga vs. 3 per team - not much

Discussion in 'Statistics and Analysis' started by Cowtown Felipe, Jul 8, 2020.

  1. Cowtown Felipe

    Cowtown Felipe Member+

    Mar 12, 2012
    Fort Worth, TX
    Club:
    FC Dallas
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I compared the first 9 weeks of games (start of season) to the last 9 weeks of games (after Covid break) in the 2019-2020 Bundesliga season to see what if any effects the increase of allowed substitutes per team from 3 to 5 had. In short, not much.
    Total goals: first 9 weeks = 252, last 9 weeks = 251
    Total substitutes: first 9 weeks = 476, last 9 weeks = 697
    Goals by substitutes: first 9 weeks = 29, last 9 weeks = 32
    % of goals by substitutes: first 9 weeks = 11.5%, last 9 weeks = 12.7%
    Even though substitutes increased by 46%, goals scored by substitutes increased by only 10%.
    % offensive subs: first 9 weeks = 68.5%, last 9 weeks = 66.1%
    I admit classifying subs as offensive or defensive is a bit fuzzy, but I was consistent for both sets of games.
    % of goals scored after the scoring team substituted: first 9 weeks = 32.9%, last 9 weeks = 35.1%
    Average time of goals in game: first 9 weeks = 50.1 minutes, last 9 weeks = 48.5 minutes
     
    EvanJ repped this.

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