I still have to score Round 1 and make my predictions. I'm starting by copying barnabyjonez's predictions from the Round 1 topic: "GROUP A/F St Kitts and Nevis 2 El Salvador 1 El Salvador 2 St. Kitts and Nevis 0 GROUP B/E Haiti 1 Canada 1 Canada 3 Haiti 1 GROUP C/D Panama 1 Curacao 0 Curacao 1 Panama 0 Curacao advances on penalties"
Here are my predictions for Round 2. Saint Kitts and Nevis 1-2 El Salvador El Salvador 2-0 Saint Kitts and Nevis Haiti 1-1 Canada Canada 1-1 AET Haiti (in USA) Canada advances on kicks from the penalty mark Panama 2-1 Curaçao Curaçao 1-1 Panama
Here are my predictions: A vs F St. Kitts and Nevis 0-2 El Salvador El Salvador 1-0 St. Kitts and Nevis B vs E Haiti 1-2 Canada Canada 2-1 Haiti C vs D Panama 3-0 Curacao Curacao 1-2 Panama
Group A/F SKN 1 El Salvador 3 El Salvador 3 SKN 0 Group B/E Haiti 1 Canada 3 Canada 4 Haiti 0 Group C/D Panama 2 Curacao 2 Curacao 3 Panama 2
Here are my predictions: St. Kitts and Nevis 0-2 El Salvador El Salvador 3-0 St. Kitts and Nevis (5-0 aggregate) Haiti 1-1 Canada Canada 3-1 Haiti (in Bridgeview near Chicago, Illinois) (4-2 aggregate) Panama 1-0 Curacao Curacao 2-1 Panama (2-2 aggregate, Panama advances on away goals 1-0)
Here are my predictions: A vs F St. Kitts and Nevis 0-1 El Salvador El Salvador 2-0 St. Kitts and Nevis B vs E Haiti 1-2 Canada Canada 3-0 Haiti C vs D Panama 2-0 Curacao Curacao 1-1 Panama
A vs F St. Kitts and Nevis 0-2 El Salvador El Salvador 3-0 St. Kitts and Nevis B vs E Haiti 1-2 Canada Canada 2-1 Haiti C vs D Panama 2-0 Curacao Curacao 0-1 Panama
Here are everybody's points, correct results, and exact scores: Tied 1. IASocFan: 8, 3, 0 Tied 1. italiancbr: 8, 3, 0 3. jagum: 7, 3, 0 4. Dr. Gamera: 6, 2, 1 (predicted Panama 2-1 Curacao for the only exact score by anybody) Tied 5. EvanJ: 5, 2, 0 Tied 5. Paul Calixte: 5, 2, 0 7. devioustrevor: 4, 2, 0 Tied 8. barnabyjonez: 3, 1, 0 Tied 8. edcalvi: 3, 1, 0 The averages were 5 4/9 (5.44) points, 2 1/9 (2.11) correct results, and 1/9 (0.11) exact score.
Here are the second leg score prediction results: El Salvador 2-0 St. Kitts and Nevis: barnabyjonez, IASocFan, and Dr. Gamera got the exact score, which is worth 4 points Everyone else predicted 1-0 or 3-0 and got 3 points 30 points, mean of 3.33 points, 9 correct results, 3 exact scores Canada 3-0 Haiti: IASocFan got the exact score, which is worth 4 points EvanJ, barnabyjonez, edcalvi, and devioustrevor got 3 points jagum and italiancbr got 2 points Dr. Gamera and Paul Calixte predicted draws, so they got 0 points 20 points, mean of 2.22 points, 7 correct results, 1 exact score Curacao 0-0 Panama: IASocFan, Dr. Gamera, and edcalvi got 3 points EvanJ, Paul Calixte, and devioustrevor predicted Curacao to win and got 0 points barnabyjonez, jagum, and italiancbr predicted Panama to win and got 0 points 9 points, mean of 1 point, 3 correct results, 0 exact scores Here are how many points out of 24, correct results, and exact scores each person had including both legs: 1. IASocFan: 19, 6, 2 Tied 2. Dr. Gamera: 13, 4, 1 Tied 2. italiancbr: 13, 5, 0 Tied 4. jagum: 12, 5, 0 Tied 4. edcalvi: 12, 4, 0 6. EvanJ: 11, 4, 0 Tied 7. barnabyjonez: 10, 3, 1 Tied 7. devioustrevor: 10, 4, 1 9. Paul Calixte: 8, 3, 0 The means were 12 points, 4.22 correct results, and 0.56 exact scores. The people tied for second were closer to last than to first, so when these were converted to a score out of 3, IASocFan did much better than everybody else. First got 3 points, last got 0, and everybody else was distributed proportionately in between: 1. IASocFan: 3.000 Tied 2. Dr. Gamera: 1.364 Tied 2. italiancbr: 1.364 Tied 4. jagum: 1.091 Tied 4. edcalvi: 1.091 6. EvanJ: 0.818 Tied 7. barnabyjonez: 0.545 Tied 7. devioustrevor: 0.545 9. Paul Calixte: 0.000 Each aggregate winner was for 0.7. EvanJ, Dr. Gamera, jagum, IASocFan, and edcalvi got all three to get 2.1. barnabyjonez, italiancbr, Paul Calixte, and devioustrevor got two to get 1.4. Here are the points from the two components of Round 2 combined out of 5.1: 1. IASocFan: 5.100 2. Dr. Gamera: 3.464 Tied 3. jagum: 3.191 Tied 3. edcalvi: 3.191 5. EvanJ: 2.918 6. italiancbr: 2.764 Tied 7. barnabyjonez: 1.945 Tied 7. devioustrevor: 1.945 9. Paul Calixte: 1.400 The mean was 2.880. Finally, here are the cumulative standings out of 40.5: 1. EvanJ: 35.662 2. Dr. Gamera: 34.457 3. jagum: 33.845 4. IASocFan: 33.472 5. barnabyjonez: 30.765 6. italiancbr: 29.871 7. Paul Calixte: 29.143 8. edcalvi (did not predict the whole competition): 14.639 9. devioustrevor (did not predict the whole competition): 2.996 The mean is 27.206. The mean of the seven people who predicted the whole competition was 32.459. My lead went from 1.751 after Round 1 to 1.205 after Round 2. In the Octagonal, I will post score prediction results after each matchday, but the conversion isn't determined until the games are done, so there will not be any cumulative updates until it ends.
What will the predictions for the octagonal be like? all at once or before each round (3 days per month)?. I prefer to do it before each round because it is more precise and you can see variants such as injured players, loss of location due to sanction, games behind closed doors due to covid or sanction, or strategies of the teams in having certain results, etc.
I require all predictions before the round starts. I like having standings predicted before the round starts that match the sum of the score predictions. Any surprises affect everybody predicting the same way. I'm about to start the Round 3 topic, and I went in this topic first.