Being Right in Foreign Policy Matters

Discussion in 'Politics & Current Events' started by MasterShake29, Sep 11, 2007.

  1. MasterShake29

    MasterShake29 Member+

    Oct 28, 2001
    Jersey City, NJ
    New York Red Bulls
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I think this is an interesting idea:

    A policy analysis market sounds quite innovative. I'm not familiar with why it failed or how it would work exactly, but it sounds good.
  2. HerthaBerwyn

    HerthaBerwyn Member+

    May 24, 2003
    Gambling on terrorism was held to be sending children the wrong message...on gambling.
  3. MattR

    MattR Member+

    Jun 14, 2003
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    You guys obviously don't work in intelligence.

    You basically copy other people's work, make crap up, and if you're right (or the guy you borrowed from is right), then you take credit.

    If you're wrong, oh well, it happens to everyone. Try again.

    This is a very insulated community of people who don't do well in the real world.

    In other words, like so much of American society, there is no sense of responsibility or accountability. Groupthink at its finest.
  4. Yankee_Blue

    Yankee_Blue New Member

    Aug 28, 2001
    New Orleans area
    Because it foisted the rampant evils of capitalism onto a slightly lesser evil: terrorism.
  5. spejic

    spejic Cautionary example

    Mar 1, 1999
    San Rafael, CA
    San Jose Earthquakes
    I don't know why markets would be any better at picking out a good idea than an intelligence officer's hierarchical superiors. The problem is that once you have a market, then you have people who play on meta-analysis rather than the worth of the idea itself. Much like people bought because it was going up and everyone else was doing it rather than based on the worth of the company itself.

    The problem is only that our hierarchical system of experts is broken. Normally, it should work by removing those elements that make a mistake and moving up those elements that get it right. Now we remove elements that get it right and give presidential citations to those that make mistakes.
  6. DJPoopypants

    DJPoopypants New Member

    Before we all go off thinking this is a crazy idea...

    what if the media did something like this for columnists and tv talking heads?

    If over a period of time you constantly spew garbage, wrong facts, misinterpreted polls, and speculations that are proven wrong - then you lose your high-paying columnist gig, or you never get invited back on tv again....

    Well, pretty soon we would have a very liberal media indeed, as all the conservative rightwingers (and Lieberman) would never be heard from again.

    Would that be all bad an idea?

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