Wasn't the slot based on length of time with ST? Forgive me, I forgot that. For us long timers (20th century ST members), we coukd go to all of them.
ATL 4:1 MTL CIN 3:0 CLT DC 3:5 RBNY PHI 0:0 LAFC CHI 2:2 NE DAL 1:1 CLB SJ 1:1 NSH Team Points Wins GD (GR, Max) CIN 62 18 +17 (4, 74) ORL 50 14 +9 (5, 65) CLB 49 14 +19 (4, 61) PHI 49 14 +16 (5, 64) ATL 49 13 +14 (3, 58) NE 49 13 +13 (5, 64) NSH 44 12 +8 (5, 59) MTL 37 11 -15 (4, 49) DC 36 9 -3 (3, 45) ----------------------------------- RBNY 34 8 -6 (4, 46) CHI 34 8 -13 (4, 46) NYC 34 7 -6 (4, 46) CLT 33 7 -12 (5, 48) MIA 31 9 -5 (6, 49) TOR 22 4 -21 (5, 37) Atlanta and New England are now in. DC's loss means Toronto lives another day. Columbus, Philly and the Revs all tie, setting up a nice four-way at 49 points all. Nashville seems to have a cushion on the final two spots, and those spots are now squarely in "who the hell knows" territory.
Watch out for Miami a win today ( play at 1est) and they are right in the mix with 34 pts in 10th place with a GIH on Montrèal in 8th and 2 GOH on 9th place DC. Now they need a healthy Messi & Alba and they probably do not play today as they go after the Open Cup Final. But they are still in the mix for that playoff spot even if they don’t win. Personally a open cup trophy means absolutely nothing. We need Orlando to drop points, hopefully Miami finds a way to get a draw.
If Dallas can’t get a Draw Wednesday than Philly will be 3 points up on us rather than 1point up on us. I CANT see the Union losing at home. Also hope it’s a tight game forcing their starters to play heavier minutes than they would like. Still we will be in 4th place (Thx 2 NE for the implosion) Next Week: The Showdown with Philly will give us a chance to draw even on points. So it’s another huge match up. Then 2 important road matches. This 3 game stretch is going to tell us how good we are. NE & ATL are in that playoff logjam. It’s exciting that we have improved enough to be in the conversation for the 2 seed.
Toronto's about a half hour away from getting eliminated. NYC, assuming they hold on, will be six points ahead of Miami, who will have three matches in hand on them. The Red Bulls and the Fire are three points back of NYC, each with a match in hand. I think tonight's Orlando/Miami match is going to go a long way towards determining whether or not they get in. Miami, after tonight, only play one serious opponent: Cincinnati at home. Who by then will probably have nothing to play for. The rest of their MLS schedule is cupcakes. However, they do have some injury issues, and they will be playing Wednesday-Saturday for the remainder of the season (there is a one-week international gap in there). Beating Orlando tonight would put them in a good position relative to all the other teams they need to jump over. A loss would really set them back.
Sunday, 9/24: NYC 3:0 TOR ORL 1:1 MIA Team Points Wins GD (GR, Max) CIN 62 18 +17 (4, 74) ORL 51 14 +9 (4, 63) CLB 49 14 +19 (4, 61) PHI 49 14 +16 (5, 64) ATL 49 13 +14 (3, 58) NE 49 13 +13 (5, 64) NSH 44 12 +8 (5, 59) MTL 37 11 -15 (4, 49) NYC 37 8 -3 (3, 46) ----------------------------------- DC 36 9 -3 (3, 45) RBNY 34 8 -6 (4, 46) CHI 34 8 -13 (4, 46) CLT 33 7 -12 (5, 48) MIA 32 9 -5 (5, 47) TOR FORKED Toronto gets smacked by NYC and becomes the first team in the East to be eliminated. NYC has a slim lead for the 9th and final spot. The Florida derby ends 1-1, which is probably the best result for us. It keeps Orlando from getting the full three, and Miami squanders a couple points off of their margin of error.
Sure will be Watching Dallas @ Philly with heavy interest. If Dallas manages a draw it would help a lot. If we beat Philly we still chase Orlando who should beat Montrèal. But if we drop points it would cause us to lose control of our own destiny. We have played better and gotten a lot of help recently. It’s time to help ourselves in this critical 3 game stretch. 2 congested away matches after Philly gives us a opportunity to exercise our demons. No better time to get hot then right before the playoffs.
Crewster point forecast as of today: EAST Cincinnati 68 New England 58 Philadelphia 58 Orlando 57 Nashville 56 Columbus 55 Atlanta 52 Montreal 43 Miami 41 NYRB 40 Chicago 40 NYC 40 DC 39 Charlotte 39 Toronto 28 WEST St. Louis 59 Seattle 51 LAFC 51 Vancouver 50 Houston 49 Salt Lake 46 Dallas 45 Portland 45 San Jose 44 Minnesota 43 LA Galaxy 43 Austin 41 Kansas City 41 Colorado 31
You still have Miami as done. They have the second most possible points of the teams 9-14. If I had to put money down on which of those teams gets through, I'm picking Miami right now.
7 teams in the mix for the 8&9 seeds Miami biggest issue is health right now. But they have weak opponents outside of the FCC game. If Messi and co play most of the games they will get in but it’s hard to say.
My TOAST formula is sub-optimal compared to the wizardry they use in the main forums. But one hard and fast rule is that once you’re toast, you remain such until you actually move above the line. But yeah — they’re in good position.
If the playoffs started today we would be #3 and play NE#6 which is probably the best match up we could ask for. Then we would get the 2/7 winner orl/NSH
Since fivethirtyeight has gone dark, this is the best site I have found with playoff statistics: http://www.playoffstatus.com/mls/crewwhatif.html With 4 games left: If Crew win all 4 most likely they are the 2 seed. If Crew win 3 of 4 most likely they are the 3 seed. 2 games most likely they are the 4 seed. Only 1 games most likely the 6 seed. Heaven forbid, if they lost all 4 they 7 seed.
Particularly since their remaining schedule is a walk in the park. They've got FC Food Lion coming up but aside from that the toughest match is NYC. Even a bit short handed they can surely handle the likes of Shitcago and Charlotte. Not a big margin for error, for sure, but not the biggest mountain to climb either. "the Columbus" ?
It was based on consecutive current seasons as a ST buyer. So when I dropped my STs in 2018, it meant the prior 15 years didn't count. That in itself may not have been a problem but the night before my time slot, they opened sales to the public (they said by mistake) so by the next morning they were sold out of their reduced capacity seats before getting to all the ST holders time slots. I thought they would cancel the sales to the non-ST buyers but they didn't and I was left out.
A draw in Philly. I will take that. 1-1 after Philly scored first. Arriola & Ferreira came on late but did not start.
We continue to get help, We win at home and Philly will be needing help. Massive opportunity for a massive club , expecting a massive result ! go Crew !
Wednesday, 9/27: PHI 1:1 DAL Team Points Wins GD (GR, Max) CIN 62 18 +17 (4, 74) ORL 51 14 +9 (4, 63) PHI 50 14 +16 (4, 62) CLB 49 14 +19 (4, 61) ATL 49 13 +14 (3, 58) NE 49 13 +13 (5, 64) NSH 44 12 +8 (5, 59) MTL 37 11 -15 (4, 49) NYC 37 8 -3 (3, 46) ----------------------------------- DC 36 9 -3 (3, 45) RBNY 34 8 -6 (4, 46) CHI 34 8 -13 (4, 46) CLT 33 7 -12 (5, 48) MIA 32 9 -5 (5, 47) TOR FORKED Thank you, Dallas. Philly moves ahead of us, but only by one point. With the same number of games played. And a head-to-head this weekend. In CBus. Hehehehe. It would be nice if Montreal could go into Orlando and help us out, but I think the smart bet is that Orlando wins. They're good at home, and Montreal sucks away. Those Miami/NYC and Red Bulls/Fire games are going to go a long way towards determining who can still make a run and who can't. If Miami wins, they're in the driver's seat. If they lose, they're in deep trouble. I don't know if a winner in the RB/CHI game would necessarily sink the loser, but it would put them up against the wall.
I expect Columbus to win , Orlando to win and even NE & Nashville which will set up a huge Wednesday for Eastern Conf teams. Any of the home teams who drop points today should be concerned.
Saturday, 9/30: CLB 1:1 PHI MIA 1:1 NYC NE 2:1 CLT RBNY 0:1 CHI ORL 3:0 MTL TOR 2:3 CIN NSH 0:0 SEA VAN : DC (late) Team Points Wins GD (GR, Max) CIN 65 19 +18 (3, 74) ORL 54 15 +12 (3, 63) NE 52 14 +14 (4, 64) PHI 51 14 +16 (3, 60) CLB 50 14 +19 (3, 59) ATL 49 13 +14 (3, 58) NSH 45 12 +8 (4, 57) NYC 38 8 -3 (2, 44) MTL 37 11 -18 (3, 46) ----------------------------------- CHI 37 9 -12 (3, 46) DC 36 9 -3 (3, 45) RBNY 34 8 -7 (3, 43) MIA 33 9 -5 (4, 45) CLT 33 7 -13 (4, 45) Cincinnati wins the Shield. In related news, f*** Cincy. Orlando hammers Montreal. New England holds off Charlotte. Columbus and Philly split the points. New England has the inside track for 2nd place with their game in hand. Although the biggest winner of the day might be Chicago, going on the road and beating the Red Bulls. They suddenly find themselves in a very good spot. Miami manages to scrape out a point against NYC in stoppage time. Just when I was ready to bury those f***ers.
Kai is out for philly in the midweek game with yellow card accumulation. Had to explain what that was to people in the Nordecke. And no one got my "you play under a bridge chant"
If i had to guess if we don’t beat NE we will be the 6 seed. Because we play at ATL 3 days later. It’s possible we could drop to even 7th at this point. Nashville has home games while only gave one home gm left. orlando loss & Philly draw is 4 points we couldn’t afford to lose