I'm also going to say, the decision of millions of Americans to move south, towards coastal areas, and into the American Southwest are going to all appear rather foolish in less than a decade.
Yeah, we moved back to NOLA but we'll be dead before it's completely submerged. My wife and I were discussing where we would relocate if we had to. I said moving west was out because they are looking at permanent drought, and my lifestyle involves lots of showering and toilet flushing, among other things water is good for. We don't want to go to another place that's threatened by hurricanes and such, and we don't want to freeze in the winter. Really not much left.
Ohio and Ontario better keep an eye on Lake Erie because there are those who would steal it from you.
Good little overview of where people moved during the pandemic. Massive outflow from expensive coastal cities to the suburbs and smaller inland cities, as well as to the SunBelt behemoths (Las Vegas, Phoenix, Dallas, Atlanta, etc). California's most valuable export continues to be blue voters. I suspect this is going to have a massive impact on what happens in 2022. On that note: https://floridapolitics.com/archive...bio-holds-just-a-2-point-edge-on-val-demings/ It's Florida so my expectations are low. But Demmings sure seems like a good candidate for the Dems. Fingers crossed.
The problem with this is that with companies pulling employees back into the office (for at least a day a week), many of the people that fled the cities during the pandemic will have to come back. The Census results showed the opposite effect of what the video describes, from 2010-2020, people left the rural and suburbs to move into cities…
I was listening to PSA podcast yesterday and they have a guy who checks on the census and redistricting, and he said that the good news was that the country grew a lot more diverse and urban during the last decade, which would make gerrymandering more complex. The bad news is that the GQP controls about 25 states where they can pretty much draw districts as they want, and that the DOJ will have no teeth to make them do anything. A lot of it will be decided in state Supreme Courts.
I am morally opposed to gerrymandering, but I am also morally opposed to unilaterally disarming. NEW YORK: strategists I've spoken w/ tell me strong census numbers in NYC could help Dems purge as many as *five* of the eight GOP seats in the state.In the hypothetical below, Dems would gerrymander the current 19D-8R map (left) into as brutal as a 23D-3R rout (right). pic.twitter.com/88kGIk9tMj— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) August 16, 2021
MD which is the champion of gerrymandering is 7D-1R and could be 8D-0R if districts were not drawn to absolutely guarantee Democratic victories in 7 districts.
I'm sure Republicans are quite pleased that California has an independent commission determining the lines for their CDs... That being said, it is likely the districts will have a very strong Democratic lean as the 4 "independent" members of the commission are likely to have a liberal lean and they can get the redistricting approved without a single Republican vote.
Upstate is hemorrhaging people outside of a few pockets and NYC added the population of Denver, CO (about 75% of a house district worth of people) over the last 10 years and the bluer suburban areas grew as well. It's some gerrymandering but also just unpacking a few small hyper-partisan districts to cover empty space.
Hershel Walker seemed so nice..... Ex-Girlfriend Says Hershel Walker Threatened Her Atlanta Journal-Constitution: “The woman, Myka Dean, detailed the alleged threats made by Hershel Walker to authorities in the Texas city of Irving in a January 2012 police report.” “Dean is the second woman who was involved romantically with Walker to accuse him of making violent threats… In the report, Dean told authorities that Walker ‘lost it’ and flew into a fury when she told him she wanted to start dating other people.” From the report: “He told her that he was going to come and sit outside her apartment and “blow her head off when she came outside.’ He then told her that he was going to ‘blow his head off’ after he killed her.”
When the House is expanded beyond 435 seats, I'll be willing to take the high road. Right now, it's war. ********ing do it, NY Dems.
Let's remember Herschel for his 2411 yard season in 1985 and not for his current iteration. I'm pessimistic about the Dems holding both chambers of Congress. Hopefully, a bunch of "nasty women" will turn out in 2022.
Things are going from guatemala to guatepeor (from bad to worse) for the Dems. Just one poll, after the media hitting Biden on Afghanistan for a few days, so there is still a lot of time to recover. But if a president is below 50% approval come November 2021, Dems can say goodbye to the House of Reps and probably the Senate. This poll number will send Democrats into a panic (msn.com) With such a thin majority in the house and a tie in the Senate, Biden probably needs to be at around 55% approval next year for the Dems to hold congress.
The gop is not sending their best There are 45 believers in QAnon running for Congress in 2022 https://t.co/PpOXjv7yUq— The Economist (@TheEconomist) September 5, 2021
Another story on just how bad 2022 can get for Democrats if Biden approval does not improve. As Biden Popularity Falls, Democrats Fear Losing Senate, 30 to 50 House Seats (msn.com)
Cook political on competitive districts for 2022 Right now, there are 24 Democrats and 14 Republicans in our highest-risk tier. There are also 34 Ds and 34 Rs in our "slight risk" tier. These ratings will evolve as the redistricting process unfolds in each state.— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) September 9, 2021 https://cookpolitical.com/redistricting-incumbent-risk I am surprised at Illinois 14th being at low risk, I guess they feel like the Chicago suburbs will stay democrat, that is good news.
Another election reform bill that is due to fail because Republicans will never agree to it.. https://www.democracydocket.com/news/my-thoughts-on-manchins-compromise-bill/ The bill is reportedly a pretty good one that addresses a number of issues like gerrymandering, vote by mail, giving voters the right to "cure" their votes, etc, etc. One of the bigger things is that states will be required to limit in person wait times to 30 minutes. So no more hours upon hours of wait times in urban areas, while suburbs/rural areas have little to no wait. The bill does allow for states to impose voter ID laws, but expands the kinds of ID allowed.
Unless the D's decide to bypass the filibuster on it as they seem to be willing to do. Apparently Biden is on board as well as he apparently indicated to Chuck and Nancy.
Problem is Manchin with his babe in the woods mindset and Sinema who would rather be doing peyote in Sedona acting like she's an early 20s Bohemian.
If this bill is something that Manchin had an active roll in, I really don't see him standing in the way of killing the filibuster to pass it... Sinema, on the other hand, might not be on board, but I don't see Manchin putting all of that work into getting the changes he wanted, just to kill it himself.