Polling continue to show a tossup in Georgia. Which theoretically is a good thing for Ossoff, as the polls undershot his numbers by about 3 points in the primary. In close races, you tend to want to go with the enthusiasm as a tiebreaker. We'll see how well that holds up. One thing in the R favor is that Georgia law prohibits any new voter registrants between the primary and the runoff, as they consider it to be the same election.
So yea, a judge just forced voter registration open through May 30th https://www.usnews.com/news/best-st...orgia-to-extend-voter-registration-for-runoff With the Dem base all in a tizzy (especially after today), this could potentially swing it for Ossoff.
Antonio Sabato Jr. Is running for the House in Cali as a GOP. He said last summer that we've had a Muslim president for 7 1/2 years, that he didn't think Obama is Christian.
There’s So Much to Learn From the Montana Special Election https://www.buzzfeed.com/annehelenp...ial-election?utm_term=.vyYnjeO3Ow#.vyYnjeO3Ow Pretty good Sunday long read from Buzzdeed about Montana election politics, using the upcoming special election as a framework
http://www.politico.com/story/2017/05/17/montana-special-election-238523 GOP outside group is funneling money into Montana. Let's be clear here, Quist is going to lose. What's important is the margin. Zinke won the race by 16. Trump won by 20. If Dems lose by 10, that's pretty good. If Dems lose by single digits, that's great. If Dems lose in a toss up, they're ecstatic. If Dems win, then I don't even know how to translate that, because it would indicate a 15+ swing. Which would net the Dems something like 100+ seats in the midterm. If they can get a 5-8 point swing next November, they have a real shot of winning the House.
Anecdotally it seems like Dems are licking their chops. There are five candidates already lined up to challenge the Republican incumbent in NY-19.
In Analytics, the Mythical beast is quality leading indicators. I think candidate recruitment is our unicorn here. If you have Dems falling overthemselves to challenge incumbent GOPers, then you know the Dems are in a good place.
I guess 19 Republican candidates for President should have been a warning that the Presidency/Clinton was not a sure thing as many of us believed (all the way to election day).
http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign-polls/334640-poll-ossoff-up-7-on-handel-in-georgia-house-race Ossoff with a 7 point lead according to a SurveyUSA poll. That seems pretty unlikely to me.
Well, here's a little scandal in the Montana special election ... Greg Gianforte just body slammed me and broke my glasses— Ben Jacobs (@Bencjacobs) May 24, 2017
Interesting comment from an interesting source: Not just unacceptable… This conduct now sounds criminal. https://t.co/CNrK4CVnGt— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) May 24, 2017
Doesn't this help his image. He is beating up those coastal elite nerds. I kind of meant this as a joke, but I am also kind of serious. I don't know what is allowed anymore.
48 I think. All the polls prior to this showed a very slight ossoff lead within the error margin. It's a district that very much is a GOP district. It's something like the 60th most Democratic leaning GOP held seat. If Ossoff wins this by 7, even with the shift in that allowed Clinton to come close to Trump, that's gotta be like a 12 point advantage towards the Den in a neutral toss up, and that's probably well over 100 seats in a midterm
Maybe a reason why dude got bodyslammed. Jacobs broke the story that Gianforte holds $250,000 in Russian stocks.— 🅣🅡🅘🅢🅗 (@Noyb1111111) May 25, 2017
Even Fox is like "yeah this asshat committed assault." Fox News team witnesses GOP House candidate Greg Gianforte 'body slam' reporter https://t.co/RsYebYvf8D via @aacuna1— Fox News (@FoxNews) May 25, 2017