The 2019 Table :: Magic Numbers, Tragic Numbers & Other Doubtful Digits

Discussion in 'MLS: News & Analysis' started by Knave, Aug 9, 2019.

  1. Bluecat82

    Bluecat82 Member+

    Feb 24, 1999
    Minneapolis, MN
    Club:
    Minnesota United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Sadly, BYU football will qualify for the National Championship playoffs before the Twins take the Yankees down in the post-season.
     
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  2. BalanceUT

    BalanceUT RSL and THFC!

    Oct 8, 2006
    Appalachia
    Club:
    Real Salt Lake
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    You understand the gospel of Toast well, young acolyte.
     
  3. pr0ner

    pr0ner Member+

    Jan 13, 2007
    Alexandria, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I need my update telling me how DC United is going to blow being up 8 points on 8th place with 3 games to go.
     
  4. Knave

    Knave Member+

    May 25, 1999
    Yes, I did kind of flake for lack of time last night ... :whistling:
     
  5. SiberianThunderT

    Sep 21, 2008
    DC
    Club:
    Saint Louis Athletica
    Nat'l Team:
    Spain
    They could lose out and would still only have about a 6% chance of missing the playoffs at this point. So it's not really theirs to blow up at this point... Especially since there are no "six-pointers" in their last three games. It needs a conspiracy from the rest of the East. X-D
     
  6. Knave

    Knave Member+

    May 25, 1999
    ... The "Toast Burned By Fire?" Update ...

    1Conferences.png
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    5Schedule.png

    Notes

    Let's start with the WC. LAG jumped from 8th to 5th, which seems like a big deal but is really indicative of a lot of mid-table teams clustered closely together. For now, FCD is the WC team on the outside looking in, but that could all still change. Beneath that middle pack, the rest of the table is either eliminated or burnt toast, so it's not like there's much threat from below.

    In the EC, ATL has clinched a playoff spot, but that's not all that interesting. TFC and DCU are very close behind, with both teams needing only 2 points out of their final 3 games to clinch a spot. DCU hosts SEA, travels to NYR, and hosts CIN. TFC is away to LAX, away to CHI, and hosts CLB. (That's toughest schedule in the league, right now.) And, of course, if MTL and CHI drop 2 points, TFC and DCU effectively clinch. (I'm not going to bother with the ORL 45 PT tiebreaker angle because I prefer to deal with the realm of reality.)

    That leaves NYR and NER, who are more catchable by either the toasted MTL or the toasted CHI than you might think. MTL is away to LAG, home to ATL, and home to NYR. CHI is away to CIN, home to TFC, and away to ORL. Theoretically, either of these teams could catch a stumbling NYR or NER, though it's more likely for CHI given the schedules.

    In other words, this thread is on Lazarakia watch.
     
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  7. El-ahrairah

    El-ahrairah Member+

    Sep 20, 2004
    Wanker County
    Club:
    Real Salt Lake
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Hey, BYU beat USC on Saturday, so National Championships, here we come!
     
  8. SiberianThunderT

    Sep 21, 2008
    DC
    Club:
    Saint Louis Athletica
    Nat'l Team:
    Spain
    Does that make MTL, CHI, ORL, and CLB the Four Horsemen of the Lazarakiapocalypse?
     
  9. Knave

    Knave Member+

    May 25, 1999
    The Four Donkeys
     
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  10. GunnerJacket

    GunnerJacket Moderator
    Staff Member

    Sep 18, 2003
    Gainesville, GA
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Thy schedule omits the midweek matchups?
     
  11. SierraSpartan

    SierraSpartan Member+

    Jan 25, 2007
    Placer County, CA
    Club:
    Sacramento Republic FC
    C'mon, FCD - return SJE to their customary place immediately below the red line. We all know you can do it!
     
  12. EvilTree

    EvilTree Member+

    Canadian S.C
    Canada
    Nov 20, 2007
    Frozen Swampland, Soviet Canuckistan
    Club:
    Toronto FC
    Nat'l Team:
    Canada
    Lazarakia is heresy!
     
  13. SierraSpartan

    SierraSpartan Member+

    Jan 25, 2007
    Placer County, CA
    Club:
    Sacramento Republic FC
    It's also quite tasty when it gets toasted again.
     
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  14. Knave

    Knave Member+

    May 25, 1999
    Shit ... does it?
     
  15. VioletCrown

    VioletCrown Member+

    FC Dallas
    United States
    Aug 30, 2000
    Austin, Texas
    Club:
    Austin Aztex
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    At least one of them. It only had three Dallas games -- it was missing the Seattle game from last night. Haven't looked more closely than that.
     
  16. Knave

    Knave Member+

    May 25, 1999
    It seems something went awry in compiling the schedule, and I did the corrections by hand a while back. It's possible I missed one. You know who to blame ...
     
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  17. Knave

    Knave Member+

    May 25, 1999
    1Conferences.png
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    Notes

    Catching up on the mid-week games.
     
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  18. AndyMead

    AndyMead Homo Sapien

    Nov 2, 1999
    Seat 12A
    Club:
    Sporting Kansas City
    The weird thing is that I would've thought that adding more teams while keeping the playoff line close to 50% of the teams would make the playoff races crazier as more and more teams clumped into the middle of the bell curve near the line.

    The last couple of years have had relatively limited will they/won't they make the playoffs tension, but instead most of the races are the actual jockeying for positions.

    Probably just random noise and not really a trend.

    On the other hand the other part of adding more and more teams is bearing out. We're seeing teams farther out on the curve. Toronto in 2017, Atlanta last year, and this season's LAFC's team have been three of the most dominant teams in league history.
     
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  19. ThreeApples

    ThreeApples Member+

    Jul 28, 1999
    Smurf Village
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    LAFC can clinch the Supporters Shield if they win on Saturday and NYCFC doesn't win on Sunday. An LAFC win with an NYCFC draw would still leave the possibility of a tie at 67 points, but LAFC would win the tiebreaker with more wins.
     
  20. butters59

    butters59 Member+

    Feb 22, 2013
    Help of The Toast Almighty is the only hope of Bruce Almighty. NER need at least 4 points, and maybe 6. And those points are hard to find.
     
  21. SiberianThunderT

    Sep 21, 2008
    DC
    Club:
    Saint Louis Athletica
    Nat'l Team:
    Spain
    Three teams in the East clinched today.

    Only one of them played a match.

    They drew it.

    MLS Y'ALL
     
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  22. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    The Red Bulls broke the points record last year. They didn't win MLS Cup, but you should still name them with Toronto and Atlanta.
     
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  23. Knave

    Knave Member+

    May 25, 1999
    1Conferences.png
    2Combined.png
    3Misc.png
    4TablesKey.png
    5Schedule.png

    Notes

    It's been a hell of a day. I'm up too late. And CIN has won the wooden spoon.
     
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  24. GunnerJacket

    GunnerJacket Moderator
    Staff Member

    Sep 18, 2003
    Gainesville, GA
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    #224 GunnerJacket, Sep 23, 2019
    Last edited: Sep 23, 2019
    That's insane that with 2-3 games left to play only 1 team in the west has clinched a postseason berth! A shame the playoff structure doesn't provide any drama.
     
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  25. Kejsare

    Kejsare Member+

    Portland Timbers
    Mar 10, 2010
    Virginia
    Club:
    Portland Timbers
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    SJ, FCD, and POR have 0 wins in their last three matches combined.
     
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