Got the answer on today's Arsecast... "... He comes from Uruguay, he's only 5 foot 5" Rings some bells that.
I would expect Lacazette and PEA to continue finishing at about the same rate, the drop off will be from the other players.
Just got around to watching the game. Is it me or were we playing a 4-4-2 (4-2-2-2?) When Laca/Becks & Laca/PAE were on the field at the same time? Was announced as a 4-2-3-1 but I never saw anything resembling that when I was watching. With Laca/Becks it looked like Iwobi on the LW and Miki on RW with Becks playing a free roaming SS type role. When PAE came in it seemed like he and Laca were playing more side-by-side. When Laca exited we looked like a 4-3-3 with Xhaka at the base and Miki/Ramsey on the wings.
It was 4-4-2. And for a while when Lacazette was subbed it was Ramsey and Auba up top with Torreira (!) on the right of the midfield. What do you mean by 'announced as a 4-2-3-1'?
Yeah that doesn't mean anything. The media get a team sheet which is just a list of 11 players. And they try to fit it into a system they think we're going to play based on recent history.
Yup. 4-4-2. In 2018? My god what could our coach be thinking of?!! p.s. Becks? He retired years ago. But our boy Welbz followed his footsteps through Carrington.
True true. And fairly often they get it wrong. And very very few networks make it clear that it's a "projected" formation.
Xg is the best pseudo intellectualism out these at the moment Everyone is obsessed about models of xg and all this shit How about u watch the game, enjoy it. See all the things you don’t need xg to see like how we are being very lucky and clinical at the moment without using decimal points I think this is a very American thing, utterly obsessed with stats No one here is a writer, as far as I know anyway so why not discuss what you have seen Not just copy and paste someone else’s opinion? I feel like people read intellectual football websites and pass of the writing as their own opinion Itsbtedious
Fair points, Big. I see a team growing in confidence and playing better as a team. We still have some ways to go but we are almost back to being a legit top 4 squad.
Personally I never think about xG during the game and did enjoy it. I don't get your point. People analyse the game here afterwards. As for whether it is American - i give you cricket.
You are quoting me for some reason But anyway a key reason Arse are back in the top 4 is that Utd and Spurs have been bad.
SO because I don’t copy and paste other peoples opinions and findings and claim them as my own I beat my wife? She beats me, and not in a good way
For what it's worth, I find the xG discussions in a match thread following said match to be interesting and have no problem with those discussions here. But you can disagree with others who don't find it interesting or express this same sentiment in language muuuuch less inflammatory. Please do so in the future. Thanks.
Depends on the model. Every bob and his uncle has an XG model. The only one that puts theirs out there for free has examples of outperforming the model over a season. Understat.com. Chelsea two seasons ago comes to mind with 23 goals more than expected. Also the models are self fulfilling in that they are created to fit past data and then modified as the data set grows. It’s like saying you have a model that tracks stock market accurately over its history. Doesn’t mean it will fit future data as well because you’ve tweaked it to fit the historic data. Meanwhile, teams are constantly learning and training to be more efficient at scoring goals and defending them using the very same data. This has nothing to do with what we were talking about which was the tweet about us being +8 in goals this season. And I’m not invoking a hot hand theory to say that shots are not independent and distinct events. I’m not saying that a player who has hit three shots is more likely to hit a fourth than his first shot. What I’m saying is that player make adjustments based on previous shots. Consider a pitcher in baseball, he throws two high pitches unintentionally. He will make adjustments to bring the third down. A golfer who pulls a couple of drives will make adjustments. It’s the same in footy. Players are constantly adjusting based on previous outcomes. These aren’t random coin flips. This and the fact that shots effect game-situation/tactics of both teams mean one cannot simply add the XG especially in a single game. But this is exactly how the models are developed by fitting them to goal totals. It’s an issue.
Sorry man. It’s the interlul again and we will ramble on for pages. This discussion is relevant to the game since many think this was our best performance and yet the xG has us appearing “lucky” to win. Sorry if you find it annoying.
Everyone loves a dribbler. I too was impressed by Iwobi's dribbling yesterday, but it did lack an end product. No shots, no key passes, completed just 65% of his passes. In the end it's about creating chances and Iwobi didn't create any chances yesterday.
Could be true. But maybe we can take comfort that we played arguably our best game of the season without him. And that, in a nutshell, is why I think many fans, myself included, are not very jazzed up about Ozil at Arsenal lately. Although we pay him MVP wages, he hasn't really come close to being an MVP in practice. The reason for that has been debated up and down, but nobody really knows why. However, it seems that a significant chunk of fans, and perhaps even our coach, have moved on... to a certain extent. As crazy as that seems, considering the contract both sides signed! I honestly hope that this changes. That the situation reverses. That his undisputed and unique skills come to the fore, and make him one of the very first players written into Emery's matchday XI, and in a consistent tactical position that suits us and him. But I wonder what are the odds of that?
Ozil needs a nice rest and rebuild. It happens from time to time. His game has changed every season for 3 season on the run now. I feel like he is having a little bit of a football identity crisis. Knowing what you do, and knowing how you do what you do, aren't the same thing after all.