Kansas City vs Houston (Sun. Oct 15th, 6:30PM CST) [R]

Discussion in 'Sporting Kansas City' started by vividox, Oct 12, 2017.

  1. vividox

    vividox Moderator
    Staff Member

    Aug 10, 2005
    Club:
    Sporting Kansas City
    The rematch.

    Lineups will look completely different, as all the international callups will be back.

    This is the last home game of the regular season. It's a must win if we want any say in the playoffs.
     
  2. Formulaic

    Formulaic Member

    Jul 6, 2011
    Kansas City
    Club:
    Sporting Kansas City
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Only 2 games left and we can still win the division....or miss the playoffs entirely. Wild.


    Unrelated to our game, I sure do hope LA gets the spoon. I don't really have as strong of a dislike of them as a lot of people, bus what a magnificent fall from grace this season has been. Would certainly get a good chuckle out of it. And what timing with LA2 next year.
     
  3. mschofield

    mschofield Member+

    May 16, 2000
    Berlin
    Club:
    Union Berlin
    Nat'l Team:
    Germany
    We won the cup.
    We won the cup.
    We won the cup.
    I'm just saying that this close of season is really starting to feel like that would be good to remember.
     
  4. Buzz Killington

    Buzz Killington Member+

    Oct 6, 2002
    Lee's Summit
    Club:
    Kansas City Wizards
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Please start Zendejas over Dykstra.....
     
  5. Sachsen

    Sachsen Member+

    Aug 8, 2003
    Broken Arrow, Okla.
    Club:
    Sporting Kansas City
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I hate soccer right now.
     
  6. mschofield

    mschofield Member+

    May 16, 2000
    Berlin
    Club:
    Union Berlin
    Nat'l Team:
    Germany
    We won the cup...
     
  7. vividox

    vividox Moderator
    Staff Member

    Aug 10, 2005
    Club:
    Sporting Kansas City
    What needs to happen in order to miss the playoffs entirely:

    1) We lose out
    2) Portland gets at least one point out of DCU and Vancouver
    3) Seattle gets at least one point out of Colorado
    4) At least two teams out of Dallas, RSL, or SJE win out

    According to my Monte Carlo Estimator, that has about a 0.4% chance of happening.
     
  8. Uppa 90

    Uppa 90 Member

    Jan 16, 2004
    K.C. MO
    Club:
    Kansas City Wizards
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Unfortunately, this week those odds are thrown right out the window.
     
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  9. Sachsen

    Sachsen Member+

    Aug 8, 2003
    Broken Arrow, Okla.
    Club:
    Sporting Kansas City
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    [​IMG]
     
    kcfooty repped this.
  10. vividox

    vividox Moderator
    Staff Member

    Aug 10, 2005
    Club:
    Sporting Kansas City
    Yeah, there is a lot of stuff going on that numbers can't take into consideration.

    In our current form and without Melia, I could absolutely see us losing out.
    Portland and Seattle picking up one point a piece in the next two games is borderline trivial.
    In Dallas' current form there is no way they are winning out, but SJE and RSL? Could happen.

    Still, that's about 7-8 results that have to go specific ways, and that's a slim chance in any league no matter what the odds.

    Outside of that, we're just being overly cynical due to frustration over the last week of soccer. I don't think we really have to worry about not making the playoffs altogether, but I am very worried about finishing top two/four at this point. Sunday against Houston is a game we absolutely must win. With Feilhaber, Zusi, and Besler back and with Zendejas presumably in net, I think we can do it. Play like we have been in the first half, make sure we don't start falling asleep in the second half, shoot the ball when we have it in the box, and for God's sake a clean sheet would be nice.
     
  11. KCFutbol

    KCFutbol Moderator
    Staff Member

    Jun 14, 2001
    Overland Park, KS
    Club:
    Kansas City Wizards
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Out of curiosity, what the chance that the US would be eliminated?
     
  12. Buzz Killington

    Buzz Killington Member+

    Oct 6, 2002
    Lee's Summit
    Club:
    Kansas City Wizards
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Well us losing out would mean RSL beating us, leaving them to just beat Colorado to win out. SJ in Vancouver though isn't going to be easy.
     
  13. vividox

    vividox Moderator
    Staff Member

    Aug 10, 2005
    Club:
    Sporting Kansas City
    The two lines I saw for the US to miss out were 27 to 1 and 40 to 1. This is closer to 250 to 1.
     
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  14. vividox

    vividox Moderator
    Staff Member

    Aug 10, 2005
    Club:
    Sporting Kansas City
    Yup; likewise, Dallas is playing Seattle. If Seattle doesn't lose to Dallas (expected), then that satisfies Seattle's point, if Dallas beats Seattle (unexpected), then Dallas is just one win away from winning out and Seattle's other game (Colorado) could still put Seattle over us as well.

    And what's more, in the unlikely event that Seattle or Portland loses out, then all three of DAL, SJE, and RSL winning out would also eliminate us.

    This all gets a lot easier if we just win on Sunday. Do that, and we finish top 4 no matter what.
     
  15. Inca Roads

    Inca Roads Member+

    Nov 22, 2012
    Club:
    Sporting Kansas City
    What are the odds that Sporting goes on the road for the play in game? I feel like that's the more relevant question.
     
  16. vividox

    vividox Moderator
    Staff Member

    Aug 10, 2005
    Club:
    Sporting Kansas City
    1st or 2nd: 28.25%
    3rd or 4th: 51.54%
    5th or 6th: 19.80%
    Miss out: 0.41%
     
  17. kcscsupporter

    kcscsupporter Member+

    Apr 17, 2002
    D17
    Club:
    Sporting Kansas City
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    i have high hopes and very low expectations.
     
  18. kcfooty

    kcfooty Member

    Feb 16, 2011
    Club:
    Sporting Kansas City
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Well, we didn't lose and Dykstra didn't give up a goal. Otherwise, just more unrealized promise and wasted energy.

    I sure hope Ike is okay.
     
  19. vividox

    vividox Moderator
    Staff Member

    Aug 10, 2005
    Club:
    Sporting Kansas City
    Hello darkness, my old friend.
     
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  20. Formulaic

    Formulaic Member

    Jul 6, 2011
    Kansas City
    Club:
    Sporting Kansas City
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Well, we won't lose the play in game on the road this year. So we got that going for us, which is nice.

    Edit: wait no I'm am idiot, we have not even guaranteed that yet. So..huzzah
     
    kcfooty repped this.
  21. Spassapparat

    Spassapparat Member

    SKC/Werder Bremen
    May 14, 2017
    #21 Spassapparat, Oct 16, 2017
    Last edited: Oct 16, 2017
    5th worst offense by goals, 2nd best offense by shots. toronto has more than 100 fewer shots and almost double our goals. I guess I still prefer it to an offense that can't even create any exciting moments, but for the coming season, the dwyer money has to be spent on a clinical finisher

    also lobato with by far his best game out of position, super weird
     
  22. kckicker23

    kckicker23 Member

    Jun 10, 2003
    KC
    This should be the title of PV's book.
     
  23. Blong

    Blong Member+

    Oct 29, 2002
    Midwest, the real one.
    We play an attacking style. We're just not that good at it.
     
  24. BenDover

    BenDover BigSoccer Supporter

    Aug 4, 2010
    Rio Verde, AZ
    Club:
    Sporting Kansas City
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    o_OIf the playoffs started right now, SKC would play a 2 game knockout series against....................Houston
     
  25. Blong

    Blong Member+

    Oct 29, 2002
    Midwest, the real one.
    I thought it was a play-in game....
     

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