How many points do we need for a playoff spot ?

Discussion in 'Columbus Crew SC' started by TRUJDUB, Jul 22, 2019.

  1. Draghignazzo

    Draghignazzo Member+

    Feb 24, 2007
    Columbus
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    I still hate W-L-D formatting.
     
  2. LaMacchia

    LaMacchia Member+

    Jul 12, 2008
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I would argue - not very loudly or for very long, mind you - that New England is the hottest team in MLS: Undefeated in their last 11 matches.
     
    TRUJDUB repped this.
  3. TRUJDUB

    TRUJDUB Member+

    Nov 22, 2015
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    I agree this is a quote from their website and not my opinion
     
    LaMacchia repped this.
  4. TrueCrew

    TrueCrew Member+

    Dec 22, 2003
    Columbus, OH
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Me, too. I go WDL in all my posts.

    As for hottest team, the Quakes have been the second best (to LAFC) team in the league since late April. And they have just been destroying teams on the pitch. Back to back 30 shot games on the road. Etc.

    NE are a worthy choice, but the Quakes have been hotter for longer.
     
    Draghignazzo repped this.
  5. TrueCrew

    TrueCrew Member+

    Dec 22, 2003
    Columbus, OH
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    They have FOUR games in hand on us. We are not catching them. Philly, ATL, and Citeh are just not going to happen. And so no need to scoreboard watch for them.

    Orlando, TFC, NE, MTL and maybe even DC & NYRB, yes.
     
    Draghignazzo repped this.
  6. Ch(Elsey)

    Ch(Elsey) Member+

    Columbus Crew
    United States
    May 2, 2003
    Green, Ohio
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
  7. TRUJDUB

    TRUJDUB Member+

    Nov 22, 2015
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    We got some me results but Harrison Afful really screwed up what could have been. A draw was still a good result but unfortunately Chicago won and passed us up.
     
  8. eboe

    eboe Member+

    Columbus Crew
    United States
    May 23, 2006
    Columbus, OH
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    And that's why we won't make the playoffs, because we would need most other teams to lose, etc, and that just won't happen. It makes no sense to shoot for this pipe dream.
     
  9. TRUJDUB

    TRUJDUB Member+

    Nov 22, 2015
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    We still have a few games tonight :
    Philadelphia @ DC- we need philly to help us


    8/10 Important games

    Cincinnati @ Columbus - a must win

    Montreal @ Chicago - a draw would be ideal but if Chicago wins it’s ok in the long run

    Orlando @ Toronto - a draw or Orlando loss would be fine.

    NE @ Seattle- Need a Sounders win

    Other Games:


    8/8 Houston @ NYC FC - a upset would be nice but a draw will work

    8/11 NYCFC @ Atlanta - Should be a good chance that Atlanta helps us

    8/11 LAG @ DC- we sure could use Zaltan having a big night. Hopefully LA can at least get a draw.


    8/11 NY @ LAFC - well NY is not likely to win this so obviously a loss is a high probability

    8/11 Houston @ Philadelphia- not much hope but maybe there’s a chance for a draw
     
  10. TRUJDUB

    TRUJDUB Member+

    Nov 22, 2015
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Anything is possible if we win all the home games and keep playing well on the road and not losing. If we never lose another Game we will have to make the playoffs no matter what other teams do .

    Playoffs are still a long shot but be optimistic we are finally not playing like trash
     
  11. Ch(Elsey)

    Ch(Elsey) Member+

    Columbus Crew
    United States
    May 2, 2003
    Green, Ohio
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Do these number wizards take into account that Crew are playing Cincy twice this month?
     
    LaMacchia, the_rickler and TRUJDUB repped this.
  12. DGA57v2

    DGA57v2 Member

    Columbus Crew
    United States
    Apr 1, 2019
    Always root for a draw or a win by the team with the LEAST points in this scenario. You want to keep teams from getting close to 45 points which is where we could end at.
     
  13. KCbus

    KCbus Moderator
    Staff Member

    United States
    Nov 26, 2000
    Reynoldsburg, OH
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I think it's pretty unlikely, even now, that we're going to get in. We just took four points from two extremely difficult road matches, and we're still eight points back.

    But right now, the only number I care about is:

    3.

    We need to get three points from the Cincinnati game. If we can't do that, get a roll of stamps and mail it in.
     
  14. eboe

    eboe Member+

    Columbus Crew
    United States
    May 23, 2006
    Columbus, OH
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    FCC matches worry me. They are gonna bring the heat against us, no pun intended. And they've been known to score goals, something we have trouble with at times. We will see. We need all 6. I predict we get 3.
     
  15. KCbus

    KCbus Moderator
    Staff Member

    United States
    Nov 26, 2000
    Reynoldsburg, OH
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    #90 KCbus, Aug 4, 2019
    Last edited: Aug 4, 2019
    Known to score goals? When did that happen? They’ve scored fewer goals this season than we have, which is kind of impressive.

    Cincy has three road results all season; two of them back in March. There’s absolutely nothing about them that makes me nervous, especially at MAPFRE.

    It’s US I don’t trust.
     
    zman31 repped this.
  16. KCbus

    KCbus Moderator
    Staff Member

    United States
    Nov 26, 2000
    Reynoldsburg, OH
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    So, pretty freaking slim. Sounds right.

    We have nine matches remaining. All we have to do is lose ONE, and it becomes mathematically impossible to finish above .500.
     
  17. eboe

    eboe Member+

    Columbus Crew
    United States
    May 23, 2006
    Columbus, OH
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    They were scoring goals during our drought. Hadn't noticed their own drought as of late. I did say we will get three, we will split the series and each team will win at home. IMHO.
     
  18. KCbus

    KCbus Moderator
    Staff Member

    United States
    Nov 26, 2000
    Reynoldsburg, OH
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Wouldn’t doubt it. They’re bad enough that we should win both games, but we’re not good enough to put it out of the question that we could lay one egg.
     
  19. TKyle

    TKyle Member+

    Columbus Crew
    United States
    Dec 28, 2014
    Wuuuthington, OH
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    How in bloody hell does the schedule, this freaking far into the season, have one team have FOUR GAMES in hand on another team?
    The (Stool) Pigeons weren’t even in the CONCACAF Champions League.
    mL$ scheduling is a joke.
     
    Ch(Elsey), Minnman and TRUJDUB repped this.
  20. TRUJDUB

    TRUJDUB Member+

    Nov 22, 2015
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Idk maybe baseball conflicts I’m sure mls schedules around mlb and not the other way around . Get your own stadium
     
  21. KCbus

    KCbus Moderator
    Staff Member

    United States
    Nov 26, 2000
    Reynoldsburg, OH
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Were they involved in that new 8-team MLS vs Mexico competition? I didn’t pay any attention to it.

    Also, and I could be wrong about this, but I think they may have had a postponement in there as well.
     
  22. TrueCrew

    TrueCrew Member+

    Dec 22, 2003
    Columbus, OH
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Right. Give up before the season is over.

    Look, agreed it is a longshot, but there is no harm in going for it. Or talking about it.

    Winning at NYRB. Drawing at SJ while not giving up a goal from the run of play (unlucky hand ball PK). These are encouraging results.

    We have Cincy, TFC, and Chicago at home. And winnable roadies at Cincy, at Van, and at TFC. If we really make some hay there (4-5 wins) we likely distance ourselves from Orlando & Chicago, and close on TFC (assuming an away draw).

    Gonna need at least 2 results from the remaining three that are a lot tougher (Philly, at NYC, at ATL).

    43-45 pts could get us in, if someone really struggles (MTL, DC) coming home.

    Win the next two and we are on 31 with 7 left. 12-14 pts from the final 7. Tough, but not impossible.
     
    TRUJDUB repped this.
  23. TrueCrew

    TrueCrew Member+

    Dec 22, 2003
    Columbus, OH
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Just updating my original estimate/target of getting to 44 points. We were on 21 with 11 games left.

    Need = 23 points rom last 11 to hit 44.

    1. At least 12 points from the six games vs teams below the PO line. Home vs Cincy, TFC, Chicago. Away to Cincy, Vancouver, TFC.

    So far: 0 games, 0 points.

    2. At least 9 points from the five games vs teams in PO position: at NYRB, at SJ, at NYC, at ATL, Philly.

    So far: 2 games, 4 pts. 3-2 W at NYRB. 1-1 D at SJ.

    3. At least 2 more points from somewhere. Exceed one goal by 2 or each by 1.
     
    TRUJDUB repped this.
  24. Coupe

    Coupe Member+

    Mar 3, 2007
    It ain't over till it's over!
     
    TRUJDUB repped this.
  25. Draghignazzo

    Draghignazzo Member+

    Feb 24, 2007
    Columbus
    Club:
    Columbus Crew

Share This Page