CONCACAF has 3.5 spots for the 2018 World Cup. Here are the major North American countries with their economic determinant (a number that estimates countries potential based on gdp per capita and population amount). See this video for more commentary: United States: 149 million (soccer is unpopular sport here, reduce to about 10 to 15% of value) Canada: 16 million (soccer is unpopular sport here, reduce to about 10 to 15% of value) Mexico: 10 million Puerto Rico: 1.1 million (soccer is unpopular sport here, reduce to about 10 to 15% of value) Cuba: 641,000 (soccer is unpopular sport here, number should be significantly reduced) Dominicana: 545,000 (soccer is unpopular sport here, number should be significantly reduced) Guatemala: 402,000 Costa Rica: 373,000 Panama: 294,000 (not traditionally a soccer country, but starting to lean toward soccer. number still should be reduced) Salvador: 221,000 Trinidad Tobago: 210,000 (not traditionally a soccer country, but starting to lean toward soccer. number still should be reduced) Honduras: 161,000 Jamaica: 132,000 (not traditionally a soccer country, but starting to lean toward soccer. number still should be reduced) Conclusion: United States and Mexico are almost guaranteed to go to the World Cup unless they severely under perform. Other listed countries have moderate difficulty to achieve world cup birth. North American countries not listed here have almost no chance of getting to the World Cup. No matter how efficient or good they are at the sport the economics are too far against their favor. In fact, the only country I think that ever qualified in this group is Haiti.