It goes to show the youth(this is from a youth program) the upcoming greatness of socialism under Schulz
Interesting article(also in English) on Russian hackers and how they could influence the election War without blood A Russian general is working on digital battle plans; hackers are attacking Germany's federal government; and a man in the Crimea wants to plunge Germany into chaos with fake news. There's a fierce struggle in progress around the Bundestag election in September. http://www.zeit.de/digital/internet...fake-news-manipulation-russia-hacker-cyberwar
America is no longer the only cyber terrorist on the block. Sooner than later China will make it's move and join the party. Seems Trump is attempting to pre-emptive strike (with his rhetoric and economical attacks) but China is still decades if not generations away from making their move. As they see Western Civilization nose dive - might as well grab popcorn and wait for us to self-destruct
haha. Do you ever foresee Germans getting over their Nazi complex? I read multinational forums and Germans are always taking the same tiresome angles, where is the diversity in thought?
Was this discussed? Report: Germany planned to close border at height of 2015 refugee crisis As thousands of refugees walked to Germany in September 2015, Merkel's government was ready to close the border, a report has found. The plan was stopped at the last minute only because no one wanted the responsibility. http://www.dw.com/en/report-germany...r-at-height-of-2015-refugee-crisis/a-37817614 Good lord, how can she be rewarded with yet another term. I dunno if Schulz is the answer but much like Hillary, it might be best for Mrs.Merkel to ride off into the sunset.
She is basically the only adult running a major western country and has been the only adult in the room since she first won office. She is not perfect. She mishandled the refugee crisis, but everyone did -- she acted out of a humanitarian impulse. I's take her over the last four presidents we have had
From my understanding, as you said "acted out of a humanitarian impulse" was the first time in her career that she did act out of character. In a way, I hope for her and Germany's sake that she is given the opportunity to rebound. Otherwise Hitler and Merkel jokes would be nauseating.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...land-election-spd-angela-merkel-martin-schulz According to projections the CDU has increased its seats in Saarland, the Greens are out of the Saar parliament and the SPD is flat. So it looks like another grand coalition for "mini Merkel".
Yep, conservative voters turned up in angst of a red-red coalition. Doesnt matter much though. Saarland has less inhabitants than Munich. And the current minister president was pretty popular. so there's that
China doesn't really need to make any other moves that they are already making. Everything seems to be going great for them. They basically already are a superpower, but at the moment they handle it a lot smarter than the US does. At least to Europeans and other far away countries they come of as rather unthreatening more like they are looking for cooperation rather than dominion. How this whole thing develops if and when a larger part of Chinese society are reaping the benefits of better living standards and better education will be a very interesting phase in their development. I really don't think it was a humanitarian impulse. I think she made that decision like she made other controversial decisions in the past - by looking what the popular opinion is. What a lot of people forget is that - according to several polls at the time - the majority of the German population was supportive of a more welcoming stance toward refugees. That majority didn't last long after the fact however but hindsight is 20-20. Also it is important to realize that a lot of those refugees where already inside the EU at the time, being a great burden to other EU members in a time where the EU was under a great deal of scrutiny and anti EU sentiment was on the rise. Opening the borders and not insisting on the Dublin 2 or 3? rules (border countries basically having to deal with refugees on their own) be held up relieved some of this pressure. Especially because Germany only a few years back blocked new EU rules concerning the joint treatment and distribution of refugees, basically because the current rules greatly benefit non border countries (like Germany). She tried to sell it as a humanist measure. I think that was the biggest mistake she made to be honest because it kicked off a secondary wave of opportunists trying to enter Europe as refugees from other countries, mainly from North Africa (but also eastern Europe) which have a really really low chance to actually be accepted as refugees overloading the already overloaded system even more and are having a rather negative effect on the whole refugee situation.
I don't mean to sound rude, but what is -- a bellwether or something that does not matter? As for Saarland itself, I was surprised to learn that it has mostly been lead by the CDU over its short history.
It's been an atmospherical test cause the incumbent minister president was one of Merkel's biggest allies and if she had fallen it would have been interpreted as a writing on the wall that Merkel is bound to fall as well. It has no meaning though as to how the general elections will turn out cause Saarland is so small. A German Rhode Island so to say. The real bellwether vote is NRW in May. 17 mil. inhabitants. More than the entire Netherlands.
So what you are saying is that if Merkel coalition loses in NRW, then it is a bellwether, but if they win then it is not very important.
No. Angie can win in NRW as well (or at least get a decent result) and it would be a sign for the general elections. But from the last figures Ive seen it is unlikely. Her predecessor lost NRW and announced early elections due to that
NRW is a place where there has been one CDU Minister-President in 50 years and that was for one term (2005-2010). I would think it would be easy for the SPD to hold that.
These times are over. The current red-green coalition has lost their majority in polls. Even if they include die Linke as a 3rd partner they are in a stalemate with CDU, FDP and AfD on the other side. It's 50-47 at the moment. Thats within the margin of error. And its pretty much a reflection of the country as a whole. SPD would comfortably win this if workers wouldnt run away to AfD The only thing that could save SPD is the incumbent minister president Lore Kraft is popular while the overall government isnt. The greens are in a bit of a rough patch in polls but SPD and the Left need them
I still think that Angie will pull it off. Having said that, in the event that Martin is the winner, will that change dramatically Germany politics towards the EU? From what I have been able to read about him, that should not be the case, right?
The SPD also has more options to form coalitions correct? in the very real chance that no party gets a majority of the vote.
We are currently at a fundamental shift in the political landscape and it is mainly due to the advent of AfD. Up until now 2 party coalitions were enough to build majorities but this changes and in the future 3 parties will likely be needed. Except for a grand coaltion of course. But what we are talking about here is undiscovered country. The natural 3 party coaltion for the SPD is R2G (red, red, green) but as it looks now it wont be enough. Then some high party officials have been mentioning the possibilty of a so called traffic light coalition with the FDP replacing the Left(red, yellow, green) but the FDP is very pro business and would find themselves in a coaltion with two partners who want higher taxes for the wealthy so thats hardly feasible. But it is a theoretical possibility. Another scenario is that even if a 3 party coalition had a majority they continue the grand coalition if they are bigger than the CDU so that they could replace Merkel as chancellor with Schulz. Then there is scenarios of minority governments but that hasnt happened on the federal level so far. So again that would be undiscovered territory.
In paralell to NRW there will also be state elections in the high North and it looks like the red green government could hold the state