CONCACAF Qualifying For World Cup 2018 Prediction Contest: Round 3 [R]

Discussion in 'CONCACAF' started by EvanJ, Jul 25, 2015.

  1. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Round 3 will be played from August 31 to September 8 and will have six 2 leg series. I (or somebody else if I get beaten to it) will post the dates and times when they are announced. Make score predictions for each game after regulation and separately say who you predict to advance if you predict extra time and/or penalty kicks. Predictions for both legs of a series must be made before the first leg starts. Here are the fixtures with the first leg home team listed first:

    Curacao-El Salvador
    Canada-Belize
    Grenada-Haiti
    Jamaica-Nicaragua
    St. Vincent and the Grenadines-Aruba
    Antigua and Barbuda-Guatemala

    Round 3 is worth 7.8%, and Rounds 1 through 3 combined are worth 20%. Each score prediction in Round 3 is worth 0.325 points and each aggregate winner prediction is worth 0.65 points.

    I'll post my predictions later.
     
    ChaChaFut repped this.
  2. Blue_nation724

    Blue_nation724 Member+

    Mar 16, 2013
    Club:
    Chelsea FC
    Nat'l Team:
    El Salvador
    Can i still join even if i didnt predict the first two rounds?
     
  3. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Yes. You missed 12.2% of the contest. In qualifying for World Cup 2014, 46 people predicted at least one round, but only 9 of them predicted every round, so you won't be the only one to only predict some rounds.
     
    Blue_nation724 repped this.
  4. Blue_nation724

    Blue_nation724 Member+

    Mar 16, 2013
    Club:
    Chelsea FC
    Nat'l Team:
    El Salvador
    Thanks. Will wait till date/time/Who-host-first-leg comes out to make my predictions
     
  5. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I used a sample of scores and the table at http://www.eloratings.net/system.html to estimate what the margin of a game should be for each ELO rating difference between the teams:

    0 to 85 difference: Draw
    86 to 226 difference: 1 goal
    227 to 365 difference: 2 goals
    366 to 422 difference: 3 goals
    423 to 548 difference: 4 goals
    549 or more difference: 5 goals or more (I treated all margins of 5 or more goals the same)

    The ELO rating difference between the best and worst country is 1,598. The ELO rating difference between the best and worst country in CONCACAF is 1,213. The ELO rating difference between Jamaica and Nicaragua is 435, which is the biggest difference for any of the Round 3 pairings. Home field is worth 100 points, making a difference of 535, which expects Jamaica to win by 4 goals hosting Nicaragua.

    FIFA Rankings are released Thursday August 6.
     
    IASocFan repped this.
  6. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    The formula I used to predict resulted in only 1 draw, and for home field to normally make a difference of 2 goals. Here are my predictions:

    Curacao 1:2 El Salvador
    El Salvador 3:0 Curacao
    Aggregate of El Salvador 5:1 Curacao

    Canada 3:0 Belize
    Belize 0:1 Canada
    Aggregate of Canada 4:0 Belize

    Grenada 0:1 Haiti
    Haiti 4:1 Grenada
    Aggregate of Haiti 5:1 Grenada

    Jamaica 5:1 Nicaragua
    Nicaragua 0:2 Jamaica
    Aggregate of Jamaica 7:1 Nicaragua

    St. Vincent and the Grenadines 3:1 Aruba
    Aruba 1:2 St. Vincent and the Grenadines
    Aggregate of St. Vincent and the Grenadines 5:2 Aruba

    Antigua and Barbuda 1:1 Guatemala
    Guatemala 3:1 Antigua and Barbuda
    Aggregate of Guatemala 4:2 Antigua and Barbuda
     
  7. IASocFan

    IASocFan Moderator
    Staff Member

    Aug 13, 2000
    IOWA
    Club:
    Sporting Kansas City
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Here are my predictions:

    Curacao 1:1 El Salvador
    El Salvador 2:0 Curacao
    Aggregate of El Salvador 3:1 Curacao

    Canada 2:0 Belize
    Belize 0:0 Canada
    Aggregate of Canada 2:0 Belize

    Grenada 0:1 Haiti
    Haiti 3:1 Grenada
    Aggregate of Haiti 4:1 Grenada

    Jamaica 2:0Nicaragua
    Nicaragua 0:0 Jamaica
    Aggregate of Jamaica 2:0 Nicaragua

    St. Vincent and the Grenadines 3:1 Aruba
    Aruba 1:0 St. Vincent and the Grenadines
    Aggregate of St. Vincent and the Grenadines 3:2 Aruba

    Antigua and Barbuda 1:2 Guatemala
    Guatemala 2:0 Antigua and Barbuda
    Aggregate of Guatemala 4:1 Antigua and Barbuda
     
  8. bartecky

    bartecky Member

    Jun 6, 2009
    New York, USA
    Club:
    KP Legia Warszawa
    Nat'l Team:
    Poland
    Curacao 1:1 El Salvador
    El Salvador 2:1 Curacao
    Aggregate of El Salvador 3:2 Curacao

    Canada 3:0 Belize
    Belize 1:1 Canada
    Aggregate of Canada 4:1 Belize

    Grenada 1:2 Haiti
    Haiti 3:0 Grenada
    Aggregate of Haiti 5:1 Grenada

    Jamaica 2:0 Nicaragua
    Nicaragua 1:1 Jamaica
    Aggregate of Jamaica 3:1 Nicaragua

    St. Vincent and the Grenadines 3:0 Aruba
    Aruba 0:1 St. Vincent and the Grenadines
    Aggregate of St. Vincent and the Grenadines 4:0 Aruba

    Antigua and Barbuda 2:1 Guatemala
    Guatemala 2:0 Antigua and Barbuda
    Aggregate of Guatemala 3:2 Antigua and Barbuda
     
  9. Blue_nation724

    Blue_nation724 Member+

    Mar 16, 2013
    Club:
    Chelsea FC
    Nat'l Team:
    El Salvador
    Curacao 2:1 El Salvador
    El Salvador 4:2 Curacao
    El Salvador advance 5-4 on aggregate

    Canada 3:0 Belize
    Belize 1:2 Canada
    Canada advance 5-1 on aggregate

    Grenada 1:0 Haiti
    Haiti 3:1 Grenada
    Haiti advance 3-2 on aggregate

    Jamaica 2:0 Nicaragua
    Nicaragua 1:2 Jamaica
    Jamaica advance 4-1 on aggregate

    St Vincent and the Grenadines 2:0 Aruba
    Aruba 0-0 St Vincent and the Grenadines
    St Vincent and the Grenadines advance 2-0 on aggregate

    Antigua and Barbuda 2:2 Guatemala
    Guatemala 1:1 Antigua and Barbuda
    Guatemala advance 3-3 on aggregate on away goals
     
  10. jagum

    jagum Member

    CF Montreal
    Venezuela
    Jun 20, 2007
    Panama City, Panama
    Club:
    Montreal Impact
    Nat'l Team:
    Venezuela
    My predictions :

    Curacao 0-0 El Salvador
    El Salvador 6-1 Curacao
    El Salvador wins 6-1 on aggregate

    Canada 2-0 Belize
    Belize 2-2 Canada
    Canada wins 4-2 on aggregate

    Grenada 0-0 Haiti
    Haiti 1-0 Grenada
    Haiti wins 1-0 on aggregate

    Jamaica 1-0 Nicaragua
    Nicaragua 0-0 Jamaica
    Jamaica wins 1-0 on aggregate

    St. Vincent and the Grenadines 5-0 Aruba
    Aruba 0-2 St. Vincent and the Grenadines
    St. Vincent and the Grenadines wins 7-0 on aggregate

    Antigua and Barbuda 0-0 Guatemala
    Guatemala 4-1 Antigua and Barbuda
    Guatemala wins 4-1 on aggregate
     
  11. Dr. Gamera

    Dr. Gamera Member+

    Oct 13, 2005
    Wheaton, Maryland
    Curacao 1:2 El Salvador
    El Salvador 3:0 Curacao
    Aggregate of El Salvador 5:1 Curacao

    Canada 3:0 Belize
    Belize 1:2 Canada
    Aggregate of Canada 5:1 Belize

    Grenada 1:2 Haiti
    Haiti 3:0 Grenada
    Aggregate of Haiti 5:1 Grenada

    Jamaica 3:0 Nicaragua
    Nicaragua 1:3 Jamaica
    Aggregate of Jamaica 6:1 Nicaragua

    St. Vincent and the Grenadines 3:0 Aruba
    Aruba 1:2 St. Vincent and the Grenadines
    Aggregate of St. Vincent and the Grenadines 5:1 Aruba

    Antigua and Barbuda 1:2 Guatemala
    Guatemala 2:1 Antigua and Barbuda
    Aggregate of Guatemala 4:2 Antigua and Barbuda
     
  12. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
  13. Sebsasour

    Sebsasour Member+

    New Mexico United
    May 26, 2012
    Albuquerque NM
    Club:
    Philadelphia Union
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Curacao 1-1 El Salvador
    El Salvador 2-1 Curacao
    SLV wins 3-2

    Canada 3-0 Belize
    Belize 0-0 Canada
    CAN wins 3-0

    Grenada 1-1 Haiti
    Haiti 1-0 Grenada
    HAI wins 2-1

    Jamaica 2-0 Nicaragua
    Nicaragua 0-1 Jamaica
    JAM wins 3-0

    Saint Vincent 1-0 Aruba
    Aruba 1-1 Saint Vincent
    VIN wins 2-1

    Antigua and Barbuda 2-0 Guatemala
    Guatemala 2-1 Antigua and Barbuda
    ATG wins 3-2 (I need an upset in here)
     
  14. dinamo_zagreb

    dinamo_zagreb Member+

    Jun 27, 2010
    San Jose, CA / Zagreb, Croatia
    Club:
    --other--
    Nat'l Team:
    Croatia
    Will do it now, thanks for noticing, Evan!

    Curacao 1-0 El Salvador
    El Salvador 2-1 Curacao
    Curacao

    Canada 4-1 Belize
    Belize 0-2 Canada
    Canada

    Grenada 1-2 Haiti
    Haiti 4-0 Grenada
    Haiti

    Jamaica 3-0 Nicaragua
    Nicaragua 1-2 Jamaica
    Jamaica

    Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 2-0 Aruba
    Aruba 1-2 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
    Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

    Antigua and Barbuda 3-1 Guatemala
    Guatemala 1-1 Antigua and Barbuda
    Antigua and Barbuda
     
  15. blacksun

    blacksun Member+

    Mar 30, 2006
    Seoul, Korea
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Curacao 0:2 El Salvador
    El Salvador 3:0 Curacao
    El Salvador advances

    Canada 2:0 Belize
    Belize 0:1 Canada
    Canada advances

    Grenada 0:0 Haiti
    Haiti 2:0 Grenada
    Haiti advances

    Jamaica 4:1 Nicaragua
    Nicaragua 1:2 Jamaica
    Jamaica advances

    St. Vincent and the Grenadines 2:0 Aruba
    Aruba 1:1 St. Vincent and the Grenadines
    St. Vincent and the Grenadines advances

    Antigua and Barbuda 0:1 Guatemala
    Guatemala 2:1 Antigua and Barbuda
    Guatemala advances
     
  16. chec

    chec Member

    Feb 9, 2005
    Toronto
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    Trinidad and Tobago
    Curacao 2:1 El Salvador
    El Salvador 3:0 Curacao
    Aggregate of El Salvador 4:2 Curacao

    Canada 4:0 Belize
    Belize 0:2 Canada
    Aggregate of Canada 6:0 Belize

    Grenada 1:1 Haiti
    Haiti 4:1 Grenada
    Aggregate of Haiti 5:2 Grenada

    Jamaica 3:0 Nicaragua
    Nicaragua 0:2 Jamaica
    Aggregate of Jamaica 5:0 Nicaragua

    St. Vincent and the Grenadines 3:1 Aruba
    Aruba 1:1 St. Vincent and the Grenadines
    Aggregate of St. Vincent and the Grenadines 4:2 Aruba

    Antigua and Barbuda0:0Guatemala
    Guatemala 3:0 Antigua and Barbuda
    Aggregate of Guatemala 3:0 Antigua and Barbuda
     
  17. AMLO2018

    AMLO2018 Member+

    Mexico
    Jul 12, 2012
    Club:
    --other--
    Nat'l Team:
    Mexico
    Curacao 0-1 El Salvador
    El Salvador 4-0 Curacao
    Aggregate of El Salvador 5-0 Curacao

    Canada 3-0 Belize
    Belize 0-1 Canada
    Aggregate of Canada 4-0 Belize

    Grenada 1-2 Haiti
    Haiti 3-1 Grenada
    Aggregate of Haiti 5-2 Grenada

    Jamaica 3-0 Nicaragua
    Nicaragua 1-2 Jamaica
    Aggregate of Jamaica 5-1 Nicaragua

    St. Vincent and the Grenadines 3-0 Aruba
    Aruba 1-2 St. Vincent and the Grenadines
    Aggregate of St. Vincent and the Grenadines 5-1 Aruba

    Antigua and Barbuda 1-2 Guatemala
    Guatemala 3-1 Antigua & Barbuda
    Aggregate of Guatemala 5-2 Antigua & Barbuda
     
  18. drt2k3

    drt2k3 Member

    Jul 1, 2005
    Wilmington, NC
    Club:
    Wilmington H.
    Curacao 0-2 El Salvador
    El Salvador 3-0 Curacao
    Aggregate of El Salvador 5-0 Curacao

    Canada 1-0 Belize
    Belize 0-1 Canada
    Aggregate of Canada 2-0 Belize

    Grenada 1-2 Haiti
    Haiti 3-0 Grenada
    Aggregate of Haiti 5-1 Grenada

    Jamaica 3-2 Nicaragua
    Nicaragua 2-2 Jamaica
    Aggregate of Jamaica 5-4 Nicaragua

    St. Vincent and the Grenadines 3-0 Aruba
    Aruba 0-2 St. Vincent and the Grenadines
    Aggregate of St. Vincent and the Grenadines 5-0 Aruba

    Antigua and Barbuda 1-1 Guatemala
    Guatemala 2-1 Antigua & Barbuda
    Aggregate of Guatemala 3-2 Antigua & Barbuda
     
  19. ChaChaFut

    ChaChaFut Member

    Jun 30, 2005
    Curacao 1-1 El Salvador
    El Salvador 2-1 Curacao
    Aggregate of El Salvador 3-2 Curacao

    Canada 2-0 Belize
    Belize 0-0 Canada
    Aggregate of Canada 2-0 Belize

    Grenada 1-2 Haiti
    Haiti 2-1 Grenada
    Aggregate of Haiti 4-2 Grenada

    Jamaica 3-0 Nicaragua
    Nicaragua 1-2 Jamaica
    Aggregate of Jamaica 5-1 Nicaragua

    St. Vincent and the Grenadines 3-1 Aruba
    Aruba 1-1 St. Vincent and the Grenadines
    Aggregate of St. Vincent and the Grenadines 4-2 Aruba

    Antigua and Barbuda 1-2 Guatemala
    Guatemala 2-1 Antigua & Barbuda
    Aggregate of Guatemala 4-2 Antigua & Barbuda
     
  20. ioppolo

    ioppolo Member

    Jul 23, 2014
    Perth, Australia
    Club:
    Perth Glory
    Nat'l Team:
    Australia
    Curacao 1-1 el Salvador
    El salvador 1-0 Curacao

    Canada 4-0 Belize
    Belize 0-0 Canada

    Grenada 1-2 Haiti
    Haiti 3-1 Grenada

    Jamaica 4-0 Nicaragua
    Nicaragua 0-1 Jamaica

    STV 2-1 Aruba
    Aruba 1-3

    ATB 2-2 Guatemala
    Guatemala 3-1 ATB
     
  21. barnabyjonez

    barnabyjonez Member

    May 28, 2011
    The Valley, Saba
    Club:
    Vancouver Whitecaps
    Nat'l Team:
    Canada
    Curacao 2:1 El Salvador
    El Salvador 2:0 Curacao
    Aggregate of El Salvador 3:2 Curacao

    Canada 3:0 Belize
    Belize 0:1 Canada
    Aggregate of Canada 4:0 Belize

    Grenada 1:1 Haiti
    Haiti 2:0 Grenada
    Aggregate of Haiti 3:1 Grenada

    Jamaica 3:1 Nicaragua
    Nicaragua 1:2 Jamaica
    Aggregate of Jamaica 5:1 Nicaragua

    St. Vincent and the Grenadines 3:1 Aruba
    Aruba 1:0 St. Vincent and the Grenadines
    Aggregate of St. Vincent and the Grenadines 3:2 Aruba

    Antigua and Barbuda 1:1 Guatemala
    Guatemala 2:0 Antigua and Barbuda
    Aggregate of Guatemala 3:1 Antigua and Barbuda
     
  22. SetPeace

    SetPeace Member+

    Jun 22, 2004
    SC Illinois
    Club:
    Torquay United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Curacao 1-1 El Salvador
    El Salvador 2-0 Curacao
    El Salvador advances on aggregate 3-1

    Canada 3-0 Belize
    Belize 0-0 Canada
    Canada advances on aggregate 3-0

    Grenada 1-2 Haiti
    Haiti 3-0 Grenada
    Haiti advances on aggregate 5-1

    Jamaica 2-0 Nicaragua
    Nicaragua 0-1 Jamaica
    Jamaica advances on aggregate 3-0

    St. Vincent & the Grenadines 3-0 Aruba
    Aruba 2-1 St. Vincent & the Grenadines
    Vincy Heat advance on aggregate 4-2

    Antigua & Barbuda 2-1 Guatemala
    Guatemala 1-0 Antigua & Barbuda
    Guatemala advances on away goals rule
     
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  23. zenryan

    zenryan Member

    Jun 23, 2008
    Orlando,Fl
    Curacao 1-1 El Salvador
    El Salvador 2-0 Curacao
    Aggregate of El Salvador 3-1 Curacao

    Canada 3-0 Belize
    Belize 1-2 Canada
    Aggregate of Canada 5-1 Belize

    Grenada 0:1 Haiti
    Haiti 2-0 Grenada
    Aggregate of Haiti 3-0 Grenada

    Jamaica 3-0 Nicaragua
    Nicaragua 1-2 Jamaica
    Aggregate of Jamaica 5-1 Nicaragua

    St. Vincent and the Grenadines 1-0 Aruba
    Aruba 2-1 St. Vincent and the Grenadines
    Aggregate of St. Vincent and the Grenadines 2-2 Aruba STV away goals

    Antigua and Barbuda 2-1 Guatemala
    Guatemala 1-1 Antigua and Barbuda
    Aggregate of Guatemala 2-3 Antigua and Barbuda
     
  24. PaulieJay

    PaulieJay Member

    Sep 10, 2013
    Iowa, United States
    Club:
    Wolverhampton Wanderers
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Curacao 1-2 El Salvador
    El Salvador 4-0 Curacao
    Aggregate of El Salvador 6-1 Curacao

    Canada 2-0 Belize
    Belize 1-1 Canada
    Aggregate of Canada 3-1 Belize

    Grenada 0:2 Haiti
    Haiti 4-0 Grenada
    Aggregate of Haiti 6-0 Grenada

    Jamaica 5-0 Nicaragua
    Nicaragua 1-1 Jamaica
    Aggregate of Jamaica 6-1 Nicaragua

    St. Vincent and the Grenadines 4-0 Aruba
    Aruba 2-2 St. Vincent and the Grenadines
    Aggregate of St. Vincent and the Grenadines 6-2

    Antigua and Barbuda 0-1 Guatemala
    Guatemala 5-1 Antigua and Barbuda
    Aggregate of Guatemala 6-1
     
  25. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    @Blue_nation724

    You said you would make predictions but haven't done so.

    The first game is tomorrow at 3:30 P.M. USA Eastern. Predictions for both legs of a series must be made before the first leg starts.
     

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