News: Angie Merkel is as good as done

The irony is we had the Gestapo and Stasi and consider ID cards to be the normalest thing in the world while the Patriot Act would probably lead to an uprise and the US is the opposite of that lol

 

Glücksgefühle auch nach 28 Jahren! Unvergessliche Eindrücke aus unserer deutschen Geschichte zum #TagderDeutschenEinheit #TDE2018 pic.twitter.com/KlzGw0gzEY

— Steffen Seibert (@RegSprecherStS) October 3, 2018

 

rocketman

 

Well it was unthinkable until a few weeks ago. This is like Texas turning into a swing state after all

 

6 days to go

When you're usually polling around 50-60% and now you're risking to lose the state

 

Everything you need to know in a really good Spiegel article

What Went Wrong for Bavarian Conservatives?
http://www.spiegel.de/international...ow-result-in-upcoming-election-a-1232480.html

"One reason that Strauss is still so deeply loved in Bavaria is because he did more than almost anyone else to transform Bavaria from a poor, agrarian state where nearly half the people worked in farming after World War II into the industrial powerhouse it is today. It was once Germany's poorest state. Today, it is the wealthiest."

"In 1945, the first time that the Bavarian governor was a member of the CSU, the state had a population of 8 million people. Today, it is 13 million. People have moved to Bavaria from across Germany, attracted by the prospect of work and prosperity -- and not necessarily because of any particular affinity for the CSU. The party, in other words, is something of a victim of its own success."

Stoiber says he has an anecdote he wants to share, one which helps understand why the CSU exerts so much power on the national stage. He speaks of the coalition negotiations in 1983 when the CDU, the CSU and the business-friendly Free Democrats (FDP), who were still the kingmakers of German politics back then, were trying to form a government. Stoiber accompanied Strauss to Bonn, Germany's capital at the time, for the talks. Right at the beginning, Strauss had come up with all kinds of special demands, a slew of projects that would primarily, if not exclusively, benefit Bavaria. Finally, the CDU governor of Lower Saxony, Ernst Albrecht, pounded the table in anger, protesting that a single state couldn't keep making demands. He had a few things he wanted for his state as well, Albrecht said. "Well, Mr. Albrecht," Strauss responded drily, "then you'll have to found your own party as well."

Even today, Stoiber loves telling the story and laughs out loud. "That's it! That's the difference. That independence!"

And it's true: Without it, the CSU would never have become what it is today. It enables the party to repeatedly push through Bavaria-friendly policies on the national stage, even if the rest of the country isn't interested. It is the only party in the country that is able to do so.

Reinhard Kremmling is not the only liberal Christian who has migrated toward the Green Party. The CSU finds itself fighting a battle on two fronts, both the left and right. And on both sides, the party's foundation is crumbling. They are losing people like Kremmling to the Greens and many others to the right-wing populist Alternative for Germany (AfD).

Indeed, many in the CSU have begun pining for the good old days when the SPD was their primary opponent. The center-left party, to be sure, rarely managed over 30 percent in Bavarian state elections, but they made for a good enough foil to mobilize the CSU base. And the party is experienced when it comes to dealing with the SPD; they always play by the established political rules. The AfD, on the other hand, resorts to guerilla tactics -- something with which the CSU has no experience whatsoever.

Peter Gauweiler, the party's intellectual cornerstone, says that the CSU still hasn't managed to completely digest the events of 1989/1990. He is sitting on the sofa inside his law offices in Munich and dragging on a cigarillo. He says the party is suffering from a kind of depression born of success. "We have reached all of our goals: Moscow is defeated, communism is over, Bavaria is the No. 1 state in Germany. There is nothing left to win."

 

Angie's coalition CDU + SPD hitting all time lows

 

Migration and the Far Right Changed Europe. A German Vote Will Show How Much.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/12/world/europe/germany-bavaria-election.html

 

public opinion porn

 

T - 1 hour

 

Join the public shit show here

Wahl in Bayern- unsere Sondersendung #ltwby2018 https://t.co/TTvmwqasij

— tagesschau (@tagesschau) October 14, 2018

 

lmao

 

If that result holds than Ange's coalition partners lost over 20%. In 2005 SPD lost NRW with like 10% and that was enough to trigger snap elections

 

lol SPD drop below 10% - they have to leave the coalition if they want to survive