2019 Season - Prediction Contest

Discussion in 'NWSL' started by cpthomas, Mar 12, 2019.

  1. holden

    holden Member+

    Dundee FC, Yeovil Town LFC, Girondins de Bordeaux
    Oct 20, 2009
    Los Angeles
    Club:
    Dundee FC
    WAS 2 - 1 UTA
    ORL 0 - 1 NCC
    RFC 2 - 1 HOU
    POR 1 - 1 CHI
     
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  2. blissett

    blissett Member+

    Aug 20, 2011
    Italy
    Club:
    --other--
    Nat'l Team:
    --other--
    WAS 0 UTA 0
    ORL 0 NCC 1
    SEA 2 HOU 0
    POR 1 CHI 1
     
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  3. lunatica

    lunatica Member+

    Nov 20, 2013
    WAS 0 - 1 UTA
    ORL 0 - 1 NCC
    RFC 2 - 1 HOU
    POR 1 - 1 CHI
     
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  4. Smallchief

    Smallchief Member+

    Oct 27, 2012
    Club:
    --other--
    WAS 0 - 1 UTA. Washington hasn't persuaded me yet that they're real.
    ORL 0 - 2 NCC I'm totally persuaded that Orlando is awful.
    RFC 1 - 1 HOU Balcer for rookie of the year? It's possible.
    POR 1 - 2 CHI Chicago will rebound.
     
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  5. FawcettFan14

    FawcettFan14 Member+

    Mar 19, 2004
    Colorado
    Weekend predictions

    Washington 1, Utah 1
    Orlando 0, North Carolina 2
    Tacoma 1, Houston 2
    Portland 2, Chicago 2
     
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  6. BlueCrimson

    BlueCrimson Member+

    North Carolina Courage
    United States
    Nov 21, 2012
    Cincinnati, Ohio
    Club:
    Sydney FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Washington 1, Utah 1
    Orlando 1, North Carolina 2- NC will win, but if Rowland starts, Orlando will get a goal from one of her fast-growing number of mistakes.
    Reign 2, Houston 1
    Weeds 1, Chicago 1- I'm not picking Chicago to beat the Weeds until they actually do it.
     
  7. CoachJon

    CoachJon Member+

    Feb 1, 2006
    Rochester, NY
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    The NWSL web site did not have roster signings where they used to be, under News, where the Injury report is. As far as I can tell, RFC activating Cox is the only replacement player signing that will matter.

    WAS 1 UTA 1; ...UT is going to miss LaBonta in the middle, WAS doesn't have enough offense to win w/o Matthews
    ORL 0 NC 1; .... I think NC will start Haran at centerback with Kurtz. If I was Riley, I would start HAO up top.
    RFC 2 HOU 0; ...Fishlock + Cox + home game minus Daly & Latsko
    POR 2 CHI 0; .... POR Home (Re) Opener, No Kerr
     
  8. McSkillz

    McSkillz Member+

    UCLA Bruins
    United States
    Nov 22, 2014
    Los Angeles
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    McSkillz predictions

    WAS 2 - 1 UTA
    ORL 0 - 2 NCC
    RFC 2 - 1 HOU
    POR 2 - 1 CHI
     
  9. blissett

    blissett Member+

    Aug 20, 2011
    Italy
    Club:
    --other--
    Nat'l Team:
    --other--
    Wait, are we talking about Stephanie Cox? I thought she had longtime retired: is it really her, or is it another Cox?
     
  10. CoachJon

    CoachJon Member+

    Feb 1, 2006
    Rochester, NY
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Yup Stephanie Cox; she is an assistant coach with the team.
     
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  11. cpthomas

    cpthomas BigSoccer Supporter

    Portland Thorns
    United States
    Jan 10, 2008
    Portland, Oregon
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    With all in, here are the BSBrainTrust's predictions:

    Spirit 1 (1.00) v Royals 1 (1.00) (goal differential 0.00)
    Pride 0 (0.33) v Courage 2 (1.58) (goal differential 1.25)
    Reign 2 (1.67) v Dash 1 (0.92) (goal differential 0.75)
    Thorns 1 (1.42) v Red Stars 1 (1.17) (goal differential 0.25)
     
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  12. cpthomas

    cpthomas BigSoccer Supporter

    Portland Thorns
    United States
    Jan 10, 2008
    Portland, Oregon
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    McSkillz :thumbsup: was #1 for the week with 6 points of a possible 12, while holden :thumbsup::thumbsup: is holdin' in the #1 position for the season with a 2 point lead over Smallchief and Tapas&Futbol. Things are spreading out a little as we go into a week off for the beginning of the World Cup. Here's what we have:

    upload_2019-6-2_22-33-5.png
     
  13. blissett

    blissett Member+

    Aug 20, 2011
    Italy
    Club:
    --other--
    Nat'l Team:
    --other--
    Sigh, I was at three points after the first two matches of the week-end, then I didn't make any other point! Bad week for me. :(

    It only slightly consoles me that the robot didn't do any better than me. I wonder if the robot's performance can also be explained with the fact that so far it's a "suprising" season, with Washington and Utah at the top, North Carolina struggling to stay in the top 4 and Seattle Reign trailing behind. It's true that the robot goes on incorporating results from the current season, one after the other while they happen, but the burden of the previous season of course keep weighing on it, doesn't it?

    In other words: can it be said that, as well as the robot will always miss the "oddity" result, like the occasional 2 goals to 4 home upset, it will also miss the "oddity" season, the outlier one where the results are the most unexpected ones compared to previous year?
     
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  14. cpthomas

    cpthomas BigSoccer Supporter

    Portland Thorns
    United States
    Jan 10, 2008
    Portland, Oregon
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I think this is exactly right about the robot. And, from my work with other statistical rating systems, it's pretty much true about them in general. If a team has a major course change, the robot can't take it immediately into account. Instead, as new games come into the data base and old ones drop out, it should get better and better, but initially it will lag behind. Both Washington and Orlando are the "culprits."
     
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  15. blissett

    blissett Member+

    Aug 20, 2011
    Italy
    Club:
    --other--
    Nat'l Team:
    --other--
    This is of course made worse for the robot this year by the fact that, when it will have all the new results incorporated and the old ones expelled and everything should thus go better for it, the return of the players from the World Cup could prompt another sudden change of scenario. :coffee:
     
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  16. cpthomas

    cpthomas BigSoccer Supporter

    Portland Thorns
    United States
    Jan 10, 2008
    Portland, Oregon
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    So true. That's when we'll find out whether Washington is "for real." It looks like Orlando is for real no matter who's playing for them.
     
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  17. cpthomas

    cpthomas BigSoccer Supporter

    Portland Thorns
    United States
    Jan 10, 2008
    Portland, Oregon
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I'll do the June 15 predictions now rather than wait until we're into the World Cup:

    Courage 1 v Thorns 1 (very tough to predict, could be 2-1 or 1-2)
    Dash 2 v Pride 1
    Royals 2 v SkyBlue 1 (could be 1-0)
    Reign 1 v Spirit 1

    The next standings table, after these games, to be posted from Paris!:D
     
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  18. blissett

    blissett Member+

    Aug 20, 2011
    Italy
    Club:
    --other--
    Nat'l Team:
    --other--
    So, no matches that I have to worry about this week-end, correct? The league stops and resumes on 15th?

    Beacuse I'm going to be quite busy too in the next days.

    I'll be in Paris too, but only on the 9th and 10th of June, to watch Argentina-Japan. You will be in France already, by then? Any chance that we can meet? :p
     
  19. cpthomas

    cpthomas BigSoccer Supporter

    Portland Thorns
    United States
    Jan 10, 2008
    Portland, Oregon
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Correct, no matches until the 16th.

    We'll be in the south starting the 8th, won't be in Paris until the 15th. We opted to see Canada play Cameroon in Montpellier on the 10th, rather than the US opening game, and we'll stay in the south for a while. We first saw Christine Sinclair play as a freshman in college at the U of Portland [​IMG] (even in her first game as a college freshman, we could see that she was "the real thing") and watched her play there for four years and have followed her ever since including with the Thorns (we have season tickets for both U of P and Thorns, so we see a lot of women's soccer). Plus, Sophie Schmidt played at U of P too. Sinc is one of a kind and we wanted to be sure to be able to see her in France, and this will be our best chance. Now if only she can score four goals in that game ....
     
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  20. blissett

    blissett Member+

    Aug 20, 2011
    Italy
    Club:
    --other--
    Nat'l Team:
    --other--
    Ok, so no chance to actually meet. We'll at least be in a same country for a short while. :giggle:
     
  21. holden

    holden Member+

    Dundee FC, Yeovil Town LFC, Girondins de Bordeaux
    Oct 20, 2009
    Los Angeles
    Club:
    Dundee FC
    Posting next 2 weekends predictions since I might not be able to next week.

    NCC 1 - 2 POR
    HOU 2 - 0 ORL
    UTA 1 - 0 SBFC
    RFC 1 - 3 WAS

    -----

    POR 2 - 1 UTA
    WAS 2 - 0 HOU
    SBFC 2 - 1 ORL
    CHI 1 - 1 SEA
     
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  22. lunatica

    lunatica Member+

    Nov 20, 2013
    NCC 0 - 2 POR
    HOU 1 - 0 ORL
    UTA 1 - 0 SBFC
    RFC 0 - 1 WAS
     
  23. blissett

    blissett Member+

    Aug 20, 2011
    Italy
    Club:
    --other--
    Nat'l Team:
    --other--
    NC 1 POR 0
    HOU 0 ORL 0
    UTA 2 SBFC 1
    SEA 1 WAS 1
     
  24. SiberianThunderT

    Sep 21, 2008
    DC
    Club:
    Saint Louis Athletica
    Nat'l Team:
    Spain
  25. CoachJon

    CoachJon Member+

    Feb 1, 2006
    Rochester, NY
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Saturday June 15

    NCC 1 - 1 POR
    HOU 2 - 1 ORL
    UTA 1 - 1 SBFC
    RFC 1- 2 WAS
     

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