2019-2020 Concacaf Nations League Qualifying Prediction Contest [R]

Discussion in 'CONCACAF' started by EvanJ, Sep 6, 2018.

  1. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019–20_CONCACAF_Nations_League_qualifying#Summary has the schedule. Each matchday will have 17 games, and the first 2 games are today. On each matchday, make score predictions for any 10 games. For World Cup Qualifying, I required all the predictions to be made before the start of the round. Since I'm starting this topic late, Matchday 1 predictions can be made any time until a game starts. For Matchdays 2 through 4, all predictions for the matchday must be made before the first game of the matchday. By that time, teams will have decided their rosters. Matchday 2 will be in October, Matchday 3 will be in November, and Matchday 4 will be in March. Score predictions will be worth 4, 3, 2, or 0 using the method I've used in the past that I'm not retyping now.
     
  2. jagum

    jagum Member

    CF Montreal
    Venezuela
    Jun 20, 2007
    Panama City, Panama
    Club:
    Montreal Impact
    Nat'l Team:
    Venezuela
    Matchday 1

    Dominica 0-2 Suriname
    Guyana 0-0 Barbados
    Anguilla 1-6 French Guyana
    Belize 4-1 Bahamas
    ST. Vincent and the Grenadines 0-0 Nicaragua
    Cuba 5-0 Turks and Caicos
    Montserrat 0-7 El Salvador
    Bonaire 0-1 Dominican Rep
    US Virgin Islands 0-6 Canada
    Aruba 2-1 Bermuda
    Jamaica 2-0 Cayman Islands
    St. Kitts and Nevis 1-2 Puerto Rico
    Haiti 5-1 Sint Maarten
    Curaçao 3-1 Grenada
    Saint Martin 0-5 Guadeloupe
    Martinique 4-0 British Virgin Islands
     
  3. jagum

    jagum Member

    CF Montreal
    Venezuela
    Jun 20, 2007
    Panama City, Panama
    Club:
    Montreal Impact
    Nat'l Team:
    Venezuela
    Antigua and Barbuda 3-3 St. Lucia
     
  4. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Unless you specify otherwise, I'm going to use your first 10 predictions. I said to pick 10 because some games have big gaps in quality and some teams rarely play and/or are not members of FIFA, so it can be hard to know what to expect.

    I predict:

    Dominica 2-2 Suriname
    Guyana 2-0 Barbados
    Antigua and Barbuda 3-2 St. Lucia
    Belize 4-1 Bahamas
    Cuba 2-1 Turks and Caicos Islands
    U.S. Virgin Islands 0-5 Canada (will be in Bradenton, Florida, USA)
    Aruba 2-1 Bermuda
    St. Kitts and Nevis 3-1 Puerto Rico
    Curacao 3-0 Grenada
    Martinique 4-0 British Virgin Islands
     
  5. jagum

    jagum Member

    CF Montreal
    Venezuela
    Jun 20, 2007
    Panama City, Panama
    Club:
    Montreal Impact
    Nat'l Team:
    Venezuela
    Agree

    My 10 predictions :

    Matchday 1

    Dominica 0-2 Suriname
    Guyana 0-0 Barbados
    Anguilla 1-6 French Guyana
    Belize 4-1 Bahamas
    ST. Vincent and the Grenadines 0-0 Nicaragua
    Cuba 5-0 Turks and Caicos
    Montserrat 0-7 El Salvador
    Bonaire 0-1 Dominican Rep
    US Virgin Islands 0-6 Canada
    Aruba 2-1 Bermuda
     
  6. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Martinique vs. British Virgin Islands that was postponed will be played October 16. I predict:

    French Guiana 3-2 St. Vincent and the Grenadines
    Bahamas 1-2 Antigua and Barbuda
    Dominican Republic 3-0 Cayman Islands
    Grenada 0-6 Cuba
    Suriname 3-0 British Virgin Islands
    St. Lucia 1-4 Haiti
    El Salvador 3-2 Barbados
    Bonaire 0-6 Jamaica
    Nicaragua 3-0 Anguilla
    Guadeloupe 3-1 Aruba
     
  7. devioustrevor

    devioustrevor Member

    Jun 17, 2007
    Napanee, Ontario
    Club:
    Toronto FC
    Nat'l Team:
    Canada
    It's always difficult predicting games involving the smaller countries with populations as low as 5000, but I'll try.

    Martinique 5 - 0 British Virgin Islands
    French Guiana 4 - 1 St. Vincent and the Grenadines
    US Virgin Islands 0 - 6 Curacao
    Bahamas 0 - 3 Antigua and Barbuda
    Bermuda 3 - Sint Maarten 0
    Dominican Republic 5 - 0 Cayman Islands
    Grenada 0 - 6 Cuba
    Turks and Caicos 0 - Guyana 3
    Puerto Rico 1 - Martinique 3
    Suriname 4 - British Virgin Islands 0
    Saint Lucia 0 - Haiti 2
    El Salvador 3 - Barbados 0
    Saint Martin 0 - 3 Saint Kitts and Nevis
    Monserrat 0 - Belize 4
    Bonaire 0 - 5 Jamaica
    Nicaragua 4 - 0 Anguilla
    Canada 7 - Dominica 0
    Guadeloupe 4 - 2 Aruba
     
  8. jagum

    jagum Member

    CF Montreal
    Venezuela
    Jun 20, 2007
    Panama City, Panama
    Club:
    Montreal Impact
    Nat'l Team:
    Venezuela
    Match 2, I predict :

    Bahamas 0-5 Antigua and Barbuda
    Bermuda 12-0 Sint Maarten 0
    Dominican Rep. 3-0 Cayman Islands
    Puerto Rico 2-2 Martinique
    Suriname 6-0 British Virgin Islands
    Montserrat 0-3 Belize
    Bonaire 0-12 Jamaica
    Nicaragua 3-0 Anguilla
    Canada 6-1 Dominica
    Guadeloupe 0-0 Aruba
     
  9. devioustrevor

    devioustrevor Member

    Jun 17, 2007
    Napanee, Ontario
    Club:
    Toronto FC
    Nat'l Team:
    Canada
    I thought you were being way too generous. I was wrong.
     
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  10. jagum

    jagum Member

    CF Montreal
    Venezuela
    Jun 20, 2007
    Panama City, Panama
    Club:
    Montreal Impact
    Nat'l Team:
    Venezuela
    Just a hunch. Maybe Bermuda scores even more than 12, let´s see.....
     
  11. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Congratulations jagum. I wonder how many people who consider themselves experts have ever predicted a team to win by at least 12 and been exactly right. Would you like me to tweet congratulations at https://twitter.com/evanj3535 ?
     
  12. jagum

    jagum Member

    CF Montreal
    Venezuela
    Jun 20, 2007
    Panama City, Panama
    Club:
    Montreal Impact
    Nat'l Team:
    Venezuela
     
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  13. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I just tweeted


    It's easy to look at a team that hasn't reached the WCQ Semifinals or qualified for a Gold Cup and think that they're not good, but you have a good point about Bermuda's WCQs. Stern John scored an 86th minute winner in qualifying for World Cup 2010 otherwise Bermuda would have advanced on away goals. In WCQs for 2014, if you change Bermuda's 1-1 hosting Guyana to a 2-1 win, Bermuda and Guyana would have been tied on points, goal differential, and goals scored overall and head-to-head and tied on head-to-head away goals. However, the tiebreakers would have been moot because Trinidad and Tobago would have won the group with a better goal differential than both of them. Trinidad and Tobago was +8 and Bermuda was +1, so Bermuda needed either a draw changed to a blowout win or more points from two games.
     
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  14. devioustrevor

    devioustrevor Member

    Jun 17, 2007
    Napanee, Ontario
    Club:
    Toronto FC
    Nat'l Team:
    Canada
    I've changed my mind. I don't see Guadeloupe holding Curacao anymore. None of the French Overseas Territories have looked good. Martinique looks the best of the bunch, and they look decent at best. Saying that, they still might take all 12 points because Guadeloupe looks weak, Antigua and Barbuda might be able to take points from them though.
     
  15. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I told people to pick 10 games per matchday. For devioustrevor I included his first 10 games for Matchday 2 and his prediction for the postponed Matchday 1 game. Here are the results:

    EvanJ: 42 (20 Matchday 1 + 22 Matchday 2)
    jagum: 41 (19 Matchday 1 + 22 Matchday 2)
    devioustrevor: 28 (3 Matchday 1 from 1 game + 25 Matchday 2)

    Exact scores are worth 3 points and other predictions with the correct result are worth 2 or 3. If you need the details of my scoring system, look at a World Cup Qualifying prediction topic.
     
  16. jagum

    jagum Member

    CF Montreal
    Venezuela
    Jun 20, 2007
    Panama City, Panama
    Club:
    Montreal Impact
    Nat'l Team:
    Venezuela
    Predictions Matchday 3 :

    British Virgin Islands 0-0 Bonaire
    Belize 1-1 Puerto Rico
    Cuba 2-2 Dominican Republic
    Cayman Islands 1-3 Saint Lucia
    Turks and Caicos Islands 1-7 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
    Bahamas 2-0 Anguilla
    Barbados 6-0 US Virgin Islands
    Saint Kitts and Nevis 0-3 Canada
    Curacao 1-0 Guadeloupe
    Sint Maarten 0-8 Dominica
     
  17. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    In the beginning of my previous post that said "exact scores are worth 3 points," it should have said "4 points."

    I predict:

    Aruba 3-1 Montserrat
    Belize 2-1 Puerto Rico
    Cuba 2-2 Dominican Republic
    Nicaragua 2-3 Haiti
    Cayman Islands 1-3 St. Lucia
    Jamaica 3-1 Suriname
    Bahamas 1-0 Anguilla
    Barbados 2-0 U.S. Virgin Islands
    Curacao 2-0 Guadeloupe
    French Guiana 1-1 Guyana
     
  18. edwin_f_sorto

    edwin_f_sorto New Member

    Jun 26, 2013
    Club:
    FC Barcelona
    Why no predictions for El Salvador vs Bermuda?
     
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  19. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I let people choose any ten games to predict. You won't be able to win the entire contest, but you can predict the upcoming games and games in March if you want.
     
  20. devioustrevor

    devioustrevor Member

    Jun 17, 2007
    Napanee, Ontario
    Club:
    Toronto FC
    Nat'l Team:
    Canada
    Predictions Matchday 3:

    Sint Maarten 0 - 4 Dominica
    Barbados 3 - 0 USVI
    Turks and Caicos 0 - 5 St. Vincent and Grenadines
    Cayman Islands 0 - 4 Saint Lucia
    Jamaica 4 - 1 Suriname
    Aruba 0 - Montserrat 2
    British Virgin Islands 0 - 2 Bonaire
    French Guiana 3 - 1 Guyana
    St. Kitts & Nevis 0 - 3 Canada
    Curacao 3 - 0 Guadeloupe
     
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  21. jagum

    jagum Member

    CF Montreal
    Venezuela
    Jun 20, 2007
    Panama City, Panama
    Club:
    Montreal Impact
    Nat'l Team:
    Venezuela
    A great surprise ! Congrats
     
  22. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    For Matchday 3, devioustrevor got 19, I got 13, and jagum got 8. devioustrevor and jagum could get up to 4 points from British Virgin Islands vs. Bonaire, which was postponed to January 3. I did not predict that game. Cumulatively, I have 55, jagum has 49, and devioustrevor has 47 after not predicting Matchday 1 except for the game that got postponed.
     
  23. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    As JFoot23 posted, Barbados forfeited their Matchday 1 game against Guyana for using ineligible players. https://concacafnationsleague.com/e...iation-player-eligibility-cases?sf203793227=1 is about it. If I used the forfeit score of 3-0, it would take 2 prediction points away from jagum and add 3 to me. Rather than doing that, I'm going to make the game give both of us 0. devioustrevor started predicting after that game.
     
  24. devioustrevor

    devioustrevor Member

    Jun 17, 2007
    Napanee, Ontario
    Club:
    Toronto FC
    Nat'l Team:
    Canada
    Matchday 4 Predictions:

    British Virgin Islands 0 - 1 Turks and Caicos Islands
    Cayman Islands 0 - 2 Montserrat
    St. Vincent and the Grenadines 4 - 0 Bonaire
    Dominica 2 - 0 Bahamas
    El Salvador 1 -3 Jamaica
    Puerto Rico 0 - 1 Grenada
    Haiti 2 -1 Cuba
    Barbados 0 - 2 Nicaragua
    Dominican Republic 1 - 1 Bermuda
    Canada 2 - 0 French Guiana
     
  25. jagum

    jagum Member

    CF Montreal
    Venezuela
    Jun 20, 2007
    Panama City, Panama
    Club:
    Montreal Impact
    Nat'l Team:
    Venezuela
    Match 4 , here my predictions:

    British Virgin Islands 4-0 Turks and Caicos
    S.t Vincent and the Grenadines 1-0 Bonaire
    Anguilla 2-1 US Virgin Islands
    Saint Lucia 1-3 Aruba
    Cayman Islands 2-1 Montserrat
    Guyana 2-1 Belize
    Suriname 1-0 St. Kitts and Nevis
    Guadeloupe 2-1 Martinique
    El Salvador 1-1 Jamaica
    Haiti 3-2 Cuba
     

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