2018 Midterm Election Thread

Discussion in 'Elections' started by Boloni86, Feb 7, 2017.

  1. Yoshou

    Yoshou Fan of the CCL Champ

    May 12, 2009
    Seattle
    Club:
    Seattle Sounders
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    If 2016 is any guide, this means the Republicans will retain the House. ;)
     
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  2. superdave

    superdave Member+

    Jul 14, 1999
    VB, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    sitruc and Deadtigers repped this.
  3. ArsenalMetro

    ArsenalMetro Member+

    United States
    Aug 5, 2008
    Chicago, IL
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    sitruc and Deadtigers repped this.
  4. American Brummie

    Jun 19, 2009
    There Be Dragons Here
    Club:
    Birmingham City FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    hush you
     
  5. Yoshou

    Yoshou Fan of the CCL Champ

    May 12, 2009
    Seattle
    Club:
    Seattle Sounders
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Hey.. As Silver said after 2016 a 60/40 chance to win doesn't mean the 60 is guaranteed to win, it just means they have a better chance of winning, but if things don't go their way, there is also a 40% chance they can lose.
     
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  6. American Brummie

    Jun 19, 2009
    There Be Dragons Here
    Club:
    Birmingham City FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    yea, but I would still put money down on Clinton and a 2019 Dem House.
     
  7. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Just I would have put all my money on Germany to win the 2018 World cup this past June.
     
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  8. Dr. Wankler

    Dr. Wankler Member+

    May 2, 2001
    The Electric City
    Club:
    Chicago Fire
    All??? I don't know about that.

    But I do know I wouldn't have put a dime on France, especially after their friendly against the U.S.
     
  9. superdave

    superdave Member+

    Jul 14, 1999
    VB, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Y'all are going to have to take my word for it, but I've picked the last 3 WC winners.

    I had Argy in 2006.

    So PM me in November 2022.
     
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  10. CFnwside

    CFnwside Member+

    Jan 25, 2001
    Humboldt Park
    I've lived and breathed soccer my entire life. My first WC was '82. In all those years I predicted two - '06 and '10. SAD!
     
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  11. ArsenalMetro

    ArsenalMetro Member+

    United States
    Aug 5, 2008
    Chicago, IL
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    I've gotten the last 2 and 5 of the last 6 finalists. Picked the Netherlands to win in 2010 and had Germany (lol) making the 2018 final.
     
  12. American Brummie

    Jun 19, 2009
    There Be Dragons Here
    Club:
    Birmingham City FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    My track record at world cups is infinitely worse than my predictions of political winners.
     
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  13. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    30 Races Shift In Favor of Democrats

    Inside Elections shifted their race ratings of 30 House contests in the direction of Democrats and just two towards Republicans.

    They now have 86 total seats “in play,” of which 76 are currently held by Republicans.
     
  14. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States


     
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  15. Funkfoot

    Funkfoot Member+

    May 18, 2002
    New Orleans, LA
    Would be nice if Walker lost.
     
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  16. Knave

    Knave Member+

    May 25, 1999



    Dayum!
     
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  17. sitruc

    sitruc Member+

    Jul 25, 2006
    Virginia
    I was just reading another article about this and figured I would check this thread. 7 of the county's 9 polling places are to close including one polling place that just happens to be 97% black. Sure they may have been ADA violations for nearly 30 years at the public buildings that include a ********ing middle school, but yeah, this is totally fine.

    Here is the ACLU of Georgia document
     
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  18. dapip

    dapip Member+

    Sep 5, 2003
    South Florida
    Club:
    Millonarios Bogota
    Nat'l Team:
    Colombia
    Rigging:




    Suppressing:



    Hacking:

     
  19. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report is particularly bullish about the Democrats chances for November. I have to say that he is generally very knowledgeable as well.

    The Blue Wave Is Obscuring the Red Exodus
    The Cook Political Report‘s Dave Wasserman tells Axios that the most under-covered aspect of 2018 is that “a blue wave is obscuring a red exodus.”

    “There are 43 Republican seats now without an incumbent on the ballot. That’s more than one out of every six Republicans in the House — a record in at least a century, Wasserman says.”

    Said Wasserman: “There’s a bit of over-caution, perhaps, on the part of the punditocracy, after what happened in 2016. But if anything most media could be under-rating Democrats’ potential to gain a lot of seats. They could be caught being cautious in the wrong direction.”
     
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  20. Dr. Wankler

    Dr. Wankler Member+

    May 2, 2001
    The Electric City
    Club:
    Chicago Fire
    I'm fine with that.

    Seriously, no one should think that, or act like, it's in the bag.
     
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  21. ArsenalMetro

    ArsenalMetro Member+

    United States
    Aug 5, 2008
    Chicago, IL
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    American Brummie repped this.
  22. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    If stopping the fascist regime is such a high priority for Democrats, then Democrats should do the right thing and not run, tell all Democrats to vote for the lesser of 2 evils by voting Gary Johnson.


    BTW do you have a breakdown on how much of Johnson support comes from Democrat leaning vs. Republican leaning?
     
  23. ArsenalMetro

    ArsenalMetro Member+

    United States
    Aug 5, 2008
    Chicago, IL
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    https://www.emerson.edu/sites/default/files/Files/Academics/ecp-pr-nm-8.19.18.pdf

    Johnson v. Rich by affiliation
    Republican: 27-25
    Independent: 25-7
    Democratic: 13-3

    Heinrich gets 32% of independents, 60% of Democrats, and an unstated percentage of Republicans.

    The same survey also polled the gubernatorial election, and it seems like Johnson has made the number of undecided voters tick upwards. 30% of voters are undecided in the Senate race, but only 18% are in the governor's race.
     
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  24. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    To me it looks like he helps the Democrats.
     
  25. Dr. Wankler

    Dr. Wankler Member+

    May 2, 2001
    The Electric City
    Club:
    Chicago Fire
    Don't worry, the Democrats will figure out a way to fix that problem.
     
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