2016 In-Season Discussion Thread

Discussion in 'D.C. United' started by morrissey, Mar 23, 2016.

  1. fatbastard

    fatbastard Member+

    Aug 1, 2003
    Lincoln (ish), Va
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I watched a good bit of that, though facebooklive buffers and cuts out too much to actually be enjoyable for more than 10 viewers at a time ;)
    I got a memory-induced cold chill about halfway thru the first half - it was so damned cold and that stadium drained even worse in the stands than it did on the field. They did have plenty of Sam Adams beer though, it kept me from freezing to death.

    Plenty of people had left by the end, which is too bad for them, but we were able to move closer to the field :) I hope they were mostly LA fans who felt comfortable with their lead and wussed out in the cold so they left and then got back to their hotels and had to throw things at the TV when they saw what losers their team were.

    Every time I re-watch that or any game from the first couple years I get so horribly confused by the clock, then remember it ran the wrong way back in the day :D
     
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  2. yabo

    yabo Member+

    Jun 1, 2000
    Poolesville, MD
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
  3. John L

    John L Member+

    Sep 20, 2003
    Alexandria, VA
    Vi estas en sorto. Google Translate subtenas Esperanton.

    [You're in luck. Google Tranlate supports Esperanto.]
     
    yabo repped this.
  4. yabo

    yabo Member+

    Jun 1, 2000
    Poolesville, MD
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I'm over my WaPo quota of articles...
     
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  5. DecadeOfDCU26

    DecadeOfDCU26 Member+

    May 2, 2007
    DC
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    there are a few seconds between the article loading and the blocker coming up from going over. if you hit the X to stop loading during this window the article will stay visible
     
    yabo repped this.
  6. itwasi

    itwasi Member+

    May 9, 2008
    I don't know
    Club:
    DC United
    Back in May after every team played 10 games I used a method for predicting which teams would qualify for the playoffs. I guess the season is over now. And it's time to check how well those predictions worked. Accountability Time.

    The PREDICTED playoff teams were:
    E.C.: Philadelphia, Montreal, Toronto, New York City, Orlando, New Jersey
    W.C.: Colorado, Los Angeles, Salt Lake, Dallas, San Jose, Kansas City

    The ACTUAL playoff teams are:
    E.C.: Philadelphia, Montreal, Toronto, New York City, DC, New Jersey
    W.C.: Colorado, Los Angeles, Salt Lake, Dallas, Seattle, Kansas City

    10 of 12 overall. 5 of 6 for each conference. Luckily (skillfully?) DC beat expectations and made the playoffs. Sadly so did Seattle. While Orlando and San Jose couldn't maintain their earl season PPG and fell into the sad realm of not making the mls playoffs.

    2011: 8 of 10
    2012: 9 of 10
    2013: 8 of 10
    2014: 8 of 10
    2015: 11 of 12
    2016: 10 of 12

    The method seems to work. Again it's for playoff qualification and not ranking.

    And since this will probably be the last time I do this here's one last check on Olsen's record; a bit premature since the playoffs are not over.

    YEAR Win Draw Loss; Table Rank E.C.

    2011 9 12 13; 13 7
    2012
    17 7 10; 3 2
    2013
    3 7 24; 19 10
    2014
    17 8 9; 3 1
    2015
    15 6 13; 8 4
    2016
    11 13 10; 10 4

    Overall 72 53 79

    Playoffs

    YEAR W D L
    2012 1 2 1
    2014 1 0 1
    2015 1 0 1
    2016

    Open Cup

    YEAR Win Loss
    2011 1 1
    2012 1 1
    2013 5 0
    2014 0 1
    2015 1 1
    2016 0 1

    CCL

    YEAR Win Draw Loss
    2014 4 0 0
    2015 4 1 1
    2016 0 1 1

    All Competitions

    Win Draw Loss

    91 57 89

    Those CCL wins are keeping him above the .500 line for his overall competition record. If he has one great year he'll be able to have an above .500 mls regular season record. That 2013 Open Cup run is a real outlier for him as in no other year has the team won more than a single Open Cup game. But he's got the team into the playoffs 4 of 6 years and the last 3 consecutively.


     
  7. Heist

    Heist Member+

    Jun 15, 2001
    Virginia
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Surprising the predictions from the first 10 games is quite as good as it is.
    Ironically... the table after 25 games might have had fewer (or the same number) of teams in the top 6 that ended up making it.

    I think DCU went 1-0-2 last year in the playoffs btw.
     
  8. Heist

    Heist Member+

    Jun 15, 2001
    Virginia
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Other than today... which sorta didn't matter, we didn't lose to a non-playoff team this year.
     
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  9. John L

    John L Member+

    Sep 20, 2003
    Alexandria, VA
    http://www.dcunited.com/schedule

    Play-In Game versus Montreal Impact: Thursday @ RFK - 7:30 (time posted on MLS)

    If we win, then we host NYRB on Sun, Oct 30th.
     
  10. Heist

    Heist Member+

    Jun 15, 2001
    Virginia
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Unless philly beats Toronto.
    Then we play nycfc per mls web site.
    Chances are probably pretty low, but it might happen.
     
    fatbastard repped this.
  11. itwasi

    itwasi Member+

    May 9, 2008
    I don't know
    Club:
    DC United
    You're right 1-0-2 in the 2015 playoffs. Thanks.

    Updated (including 2016 playoff loss) overall record is now.
    91 wins
    57 draws
    91 losses

    Regarding the speculation about ~25 games vs 10 games cutoff. I didn't calculate the stability for this year because based on passed years week 10 is when everything stabilizes regarding the predictability. In the previous years the number of teams (almost) never drops below what it is at week 10. I have more detail about that in the other post that are linked.
     
  12. Funkfoot

    Funkfoot Member+

    May 18, 2002
    New Orleans, LA
    I'm proud to say that I never once clicked on the optimist thread all year.
     
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  13. Murr

    Murr Member+

    Apr 14, 2007
    Houston, TX
    Club:
    DC United
    In before the lock
     
  14. morrissey

    morrissey Moderator
    Staff Member

    Feb 18, 2000
    West Los Angeles, Calif
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    No lock - just untethered and drifting toward irrelevance.
     
    Boloni86 repped this.

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