Based on current state of qualifiers + filled with top ranking teams Pot 1: USA(1), Sweden(2), Germany(3), France(4), Netherlands(5), Brazil(7)**, Australia(11), New Zealand(22) Pot 2: Canada(6)**, England(8), Spain(9), Norway(12), Japan(13), Denmark(14), Italy(15), Iceland(16) Pot 3: Switzerland(17), Korea Republic(18), China(19), Belgium(20)*, Colombia(26), Mexico(27), Vietnam(32), Argentina(34) Pot 4: Costa Rica(36), Chile(37)*, Thailand(38)*, Nigeria(41), Cameroon(53), South Africa(56), Ghana(57), Philippines(64) * intercontinental playoff winners ** switched for geographical reasons () FIFA rankng (9th Feb 2022) Simulation for the hosts: Top Ranked Australia/New Zealand Canada Switzerland Costa Rica Group of Death Australia/New Zealand Spain/England Belgium/China South Africa/Chile Balanced Australia/New Zealand Italy/Denmark Colombia/Mexico Cameroon/Thailand Oh, yeaaah! Australia/New Zealand Iceland Argentina/Vietnam Ghana/Philippines Rankings will change before the draw but regardless, it's not gonna be easy for both AUS and NZL to advance form their groups. I'd say 12 out of 16 teams from Pot's 2 and 3 are quite able to beat both hosts in a single match. WWC 2011 (16 teams) host group: Germany, France, Nigeria, Canada host finish: Quarterfinal WWC 2015 (24 teams) host group: Canada, China, Netherlands, New Zealand host finish: Quarterfinal WWC 2019 (24 teams) hosts group: France, Norway, Nigeria, Korea Rebublic host finish: Quaterfinal