World Cup 2018 Prediction Contest [R]

Kevin Hurt · May 21, 2018

I must say this is by far the best world cup prediction to date...It takes into account all variables:-

Forzabarca · May 30, 2018

Anyone knows of a good interactive WC 2018 prediction where you choose group winner etc and not have to put in goals etc to see who ends up winner and runner up? I want to simulate some knock-out encounters.

Edit I saw the post above but where is it?

EvanJ · May 31, 2018

The post above is from YouTube. I don't know if it's from an interactive website also. Kevin Hurt has only 1 post, but I'll tag him to see if he comes:
@Kevin Hurt

I'm thinking about not making a prediction contest, especially if not many people predict.

argentine soccer fan · Jun 2, 2018

EvanJ said: ↑

Rather than working with probabilities and values that aren't whole numbers, I made a simple format that only includes the Group Stage. Predict the position and points for each team. You do not have to give predictions for each game. You do not have to give scores, but if you predict two or more teams to be tied on points you must specify the tiebreaker order. Goal differential is the first tiebreaker. I will evaluate positions and points off:

Positions: 40%
For each team, you will get 2 points if you were correct about that team's position and 1 point if you were one spot off and correct about whether the team would advance or not. To convert to scores to something out of 40, everybody's score will be multiplied by X (which can be less than 1) so the best person gets a 40 and everybody else gets proportionately less. If you have 60% as many points as the best person, you get 60% of 40, which is 24.

Points Off: 60%
I will do each group separately, and the groups are 7.5% each. I will add up the sum of how many points you were off in each team in the standings. Being X points too high and X points too low are the same. To convert to scores to something out of 7.5 for each group, everybody's score will be multiplied by X (which can be less than 1) so the best person gets a 7.5 and everybody else gets proportionately less. This score is something you want to be low. The best person will get 7.5 and the worst person will get 0, with everybody else's score distributed proportionately in between.

Here are the teams in each group:

A: Russia, Uruguay, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia
B: Portugal, Spain, IR Iran, and Morocco
C: France, Peru, Denmark, and Australia
D: Argentina, Croatia, Iceland, and Nigeria
E: Brazil, Switzerland, Serbia, and Costa Rica
F: Germany, Mexico, Sweden, and Korea Republic
G: Belgium, England, Panama, and Tunisia
H: Colombia, Poland, Senegal, and Japan
Click to expand...

Here you go:

Group A

1) Uruguay
2) Russia
3) Egypt
4) Saudi Arabia

Group B

1) Spain
2) Portugal
3) Morocco
4) Iran

Group C

1) France
2) Peru
3) Denmark
4) Australia

Group D

1) Argentina
2) Croatia
3) Nigeria
4) Iceland

Group E

1) Brazil
2) Switzerland
3) Serbia
4) Costa Rica

Group F

1) Germany
2) Mexico
3) Sweden
4) South Korea

Group G

1) England
2) Belgium
3) Tunisia
4) Panama

Gruoup H

1) Colombia
2) Poland
3) Senegal
4) Japan

Mean Machine · Jun 5, 2018

Group A:
1. Uruguay
2. Russia
3. Egypt
4. Saudi Arabia

Group B:
1. Spain
2. Portugal
3. Morocco
4. Iran

Group C:
1. France
2. Denmark
3. Peru
4. Australia

Group D:
1. Argentina
2. Croatia
3. Iceland
4. Nigeria

Group E:
1. Brazil
2. Serbia
3. Switzerland
4. Costa Rica

Group F:
1. Germany
2. Mexico
3. Sweden
4. South Korea

Group G:
1. Belgium
2. England
3. Tunisia
4. Panama

Group H:
1. Colombia
2. Poland
3. Senegal
4. Japan

tudobem62014 · Jun 9, 2018

Match 49 Uruguay vs Spain salah’s hurt
Match 50 France vs Croatia
Match 51 Portugal vs Russia (Moscow of course it will feature Russia... why would they send their team to Sochi)
Match 52 Argentina vs Peru
Match 53 Brazil Mexico
Match 54 Belgium Poland maybe Senegal
Match 55 Germany Serbia
Match 56 Colombia England

All the quarterfinals are hot!
Match 57 Spain vs France
Match 58 Brazil vs Belgium
Match 59 Portugal / Russia vs Argentina
Match 60 Germany England

Match 61 Brazil vs Spain (France’s. back line is vulnerable)
Match 62 Argentina 45% vs Germany 55%

Match 64 Argentina/ Germany vs Brazil

Germany 55% Brazil 45%
Argentina 45% Brazil 55%

Mean Machine · Jun 9, 2018

If Croatia and France face each other, Croatia will win. Mark My Words.

tudobem62014 · Jun 10, 2018

Mean Machine said: ↑

If Croatia and France face each other, Croatia will win. Mark My Words.
Click to expand...

I do get that same feeling like 2-0 (two mandzukic headers)

Mean Machine · Jun 10, 2018

tudobem62014 said: ↑

I do get that same feeling like 2-0 (two mandzukic headers)
Click to expand...

I'd expect France to score at least 1, but something like 3-1. Two Mandzukic headers and one good goal by Perisic.

barnabyjonez · Jun 13, 2018

Group A:
1. Uruguay
2. Egypt
3. Russia
4. Saudi Arabia

Group B:
1. Spain
2. Morocco
3. Portugal
4. Iran

Group C:
1. France
2. Denmark
3. Peru
4. Australia

Group D:
1. Argentina
2. Croatia
3. Iceland
4. Nigeria

Group E:
1. Brazil
2. Serbia
3. Switzerland
4. Costa Rica

Group F:
1. Germany
2. Sweden
3. Mexico
4. South Korea

Group G:
1. Belgium
2. England
3. Tunisia
4. Panama

Group H:
1. Poland
2. Colombia
3. Japan
4. Senegal

Val1 · Jun 13, 2018

Group A
Uruguay
Egypt
Russia
Saudi Arabia

Group B
Spain
Portugal
Morocco
Iran

Group C
France
Denmark
Peru
Australia

Group D
Argentina
Croatia
Iceland
Nigeria

Group E
Brazil
Costa Rica
Switzerland
Serbia

Group F
Germany
Sweden
Mexico
South Korea

Group G
Belgium
England
Panama
Tunisia

Group H
Colombia
Poland
Senegal
Japan

Val1 · Jun 13, 2018

EvanJ said: ↑

I'm thinking about not making a prediction contest, especially if not many people predict.
Click to expand...

Well, what are your picks, @EvanJ ?

EvanJ · Jun 14, 2018

Group A:
1. Uruguay
2. Russia
3. Egypt
4. Saudi Arabia

Group B:
1. Spain
2. Portugal
3. Morocco
4. Iran

Group C:
1. France
2. Peru
3. Denmark
4. Australia

Group D:
1. Argentina
2. Croatia
3. Iceland
4. Nigeria

Group E:
1. Brazil
2. Switzerland
3. Serbia
4. Costa Rica

Group F:
1. Germany
2. Mexico
3. Sweden
4. Korea Republic

Group G:
1. Belgium
2. England
3. Tunisia
4. Panama

Group H:
1. Colombia
2. Poland
3. Senegal
4. Japan

desertfox2 · Jun 14, 2018

I'm in!

Group A:
1. Egypt
2. Uruguay
3. Russia
4. Saudi Arabia

Group B:
1. Portugal
2. Morocco
3. Spain
4. Iran

Group C:
1. France
2. Peru
3. Denmark
4. Australia

Group D:
1. Argentina
2. Iceland
3. Croatia
4. Nigeria

Group E:
1. Brazil
2. Switzerland
3. Costa Rica
4. Serbia

Group F:
1. Germany
2. Mexico
3. Sweden
4. Korea Republic

Group G:
1. England
2. Belgium
3. Tunisia
4. Panama

Group H:
1. Colombia
2. Senegal
3. Poland
4. Japan

Zasal2000 · Jun 14, 2018

Here we go:

Group A:
1. Uruguay
2. Russia
3. Egypt
4. Saudi Arabia

Group B:
1. Spain
2. Portugal
3. Morrocco
4. Iran

Group C:
1. France
2. Denmark
3. Peru
4. Australia

Group D:
1. Argentina
2. Croatia
3. Nigeria
4. Iceland

Group E:
1. Brazil
2. Switzerland
3. Costa Rica
4. Serbia

Group F:
1. Germany
2. Mexico
3. Sweden
4. Korea Republic

Group G:
1. England
2. Belgium
3. Tunisia
4. Panama

Group H:
1. Colombia
2. Poland
3. Senegal
4. Japan

faiyez · Jun 14, 2018

1 Russia
Uruguay
Egypt
Saudi Arabua

1 Spain
Portugal
Morocco
Iran

1 Peru
France
Denmark
Australia

1 Argentina
Croatia
Iceland
Nigeria

1 Brazil
Switzerland
Costa Rica
Serbia

1 Germany
Mexico
Sweden
South Korea

1 Belgium
England
Tunisia
Panama

1 Colombia
Poland
Japan
Senegal

tudobem62014 · Jun 14, 2018

SIgh i wanted to put Russia 2-0 Saudi Arabia but passed out

tudobem62014 · Jun 14, 2018

Also Russia win their r16. Whether against A now managerless Spain or Portugal. I predicted that in the Group A forum. Just sayin hehe

Forzabarca · Jun 14, 2018

1 Uruguay
Russia
Egypt
Saudi Arabua

1 Portugal
Spain
Morocco
Iran

1 France
Denmark
Australia
Peru

1 Croatia
Argentina
Iceland
Nigeria

1 Brazil
Switzerland
Serbia
Costa Rica

1 Germany
Mexico
Sweden
South Korea

1 Belgium
England
Tunisia
Panama

1 Colombia
Poland
Japan
Senegal

tudobem62014 · Jun 15, 2018

Uruguay 2 Egypt 1
Portugal 1 Spain 1 tho could be Portugal 2 Spain 1
Iran 2 Morocco 1

Dunno why I feel Egypt might win tho lol

tudobem62014 · Jun 16, 2018

France 3 Australia 1 (France look like a team who can lose tho)

Argentina Iceland 2:0

Peru 3 Denmark 2

Croatia 2 Nigeria 2

tudobem62014 · Jun 17, 2018

Haven’t look at Serbia game

But I’ll say

Serbia 1
Costa Rica 1

Germany 3
Mexico 0

Desculpame mis amigos

Brazil 2
Switzerland 0

tudobem62014 · Jun 17, 2018

Grats Mexico I was so wrong

tudobem62014 · Jun 18, 2018

Updated version
Match 49 Uruguay vs Spain
Match 50 France vs Croatia
Match 51 Portugal vs Russia (Moscow of course it will feature Russia... why would they send their team to Sochi)
Match 52 Argentina vs Denmark
Match 53 Brazil Germany
Match 54 Belgium Poland maybe Senegal
Match 55 Mexico Serbia
Match 56 Colombia England

All the quarterfinals are hot!
Match 57 Spain vs France
Match 58 Brazil vs Belgium
Match 59 Portugal / Russia vs Argentina
Match 60 Mexico England

Match 61 Brazil vs Spain (France’s. back line is vulnerable)
Match 62 Argentina vs Mexico / England

Match 64 Argentina vs Brazil

Argentina 45% Brazil 55%

tudobem62014 · Jun 18, 2018

Korea 2 Sweden 2
England 3 Tunisia 1
Belgium 2 Panama 0