Will Wednesday be the critical day in this war?

Discussion in 'Politics & Current Events' started by superdave, Mar 24, 2003.

  1. superdave

    superdave Member+

    Jul 14, 1999
    Raleigh NC
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I think it will be, for two reasons. From the media reports, that's when we're going to finally try to push into Baghdad.

    1. The media is reporting that once we get within striking distance of Baghdad, the Iraqis are gonna pull out chemical weapons.

    2. Once we get to Baghdad, that'll be the "drop dead date" for surrenders. If the Iraqis haven't surrendered en masse by then, we're gonna be faced with a pretty dramatic dilemma. Either fight house-to-house, and take possibly unacceptable casualties, AND inherit a damaged city.

    Or, call in the artillery, cruise missiles, and bombers, dodge the casualties, but inherit a destroyed city.

    And all this will be coming to pass right before Friday, when all over the Muslim world, people will gather at their mosque, and listen to sermons. I wouldn't want to be guarding the American embassy in Egypt, or Yemen, or Syria, on that day.

    I'm still hopeful that a few key surrenders will trigger an avalanche of them, and we can march into Baghdad with only pockets of resistance. But that's the day, likely, that a couple of key variables are revealed.
     
  2. Ian McCracken

    Ian McCracken Member

    May 28, 1999
    USA
    Club:
    SS Lazio Roma
    Nat'l Team:
    Italy
    I'm suspecting that the coalition forces (that's for you doves ;) ) will not actually invade Baghdad for several days, but instead surround it. Then, with a few well calibrated "fakes" into rushing the city, the Republican Guard will mass together to form a defense and then be carpet bombed when doing so. I don't see any advantage to actually entering Baghdad until the Republican Guard is thoroughly whipped from the air. That, in itself, will be difficult since they have melded into civilian populations. It won't be pretty, but the US has to stop fighting this as a politically correct war, and just pound unmercifully from the skies.
     
  3. cosmosRIP

    cosmosRIP Member

    Jul 22, 2000
    Brooklyn NY
    With this news lockdown you definitely get the feeling something's brewing, the embedded reporters haven't been heard from for hours.
     
  4. MikeLastort2

    MikeLastort2 Member

    Mar 28, 2002
    Takoma Park, MD
    Besieging armies throughout history have never had an easy time taking a well-supplied city filled with determined fighters.

    Go back to Ancient Rome through the Middle Ages through WWII and you'll find that even when the army outside the city greatly outnumbers the defenders inside the city it is rarely, if ever, easy to win.
     
  5. Tea Men Tom

    Tea Men Tom Member+

    Feb 14, 2001
    Most importantly we have to win this war. The fallout (no pun intended) if we lose would be unthinkable.

    That being said, we also have to do it with as few casualties -- on our side -- as possible.

    That means pound away. And you have to think that if Iraq is planning to use chemical weapons, here's where it happens. This really has the potential to be one ugly, ugly mess.

    I would not want to be a civilian in Baghdad right now.
     
  6. The Wanderer

    The Wanderer New Member

    Sep 3, 1999
    The fallout would be beyond unthinkable, it would open us up to even more terrorist attacks than are already planned.

    I'm confident the war will be won, I'm just hoping that we can do it without turning Baghdad into total worm dirt.
     
  7. cosmosRIP

    cosmosRIP Member

    Jul 22, 2000
    Brooklyn NY
    [​IMG]
     
  8. MikeLastort2

    MikeLastort2 Member

    Mar 28, 2002
    Takoma Park, MD
    I suggest you go back and read why the Greeks used the horse. Before they did, they beseiged Troy for 10 years, and weren't making any real progress.

    That's if, or course, you believe the legend to be true.

    Typically, though, defenders in a siege have a distinct advantage over attackers.
     
  9. RuiJorge2002

    RuiJorge2002 New Member

    Apr 17, 2002
    Southeastern MA
    Until you pull a Constantinople and start lobbing dead plague-infested cattle over the city walls. Was that the first use of biological weapons?
     
  10. MikeLastort2

    MikeLastort2 Member

    Mar 28, 2002
    Takoma Park, MD
    It wasn't the first use of biological weapons, but certainly the largest use prior to that time. The Romans had a tendency to throw rotting carcasses into the cities they were attacking too, and poisoning water supplies goes back at least to the time of Alexander the Great.

    And the besiegers of Constantinople didn't start lobbing the cattle over the city walls until after a few years of unsuccesful attempts to have the defenders surrender.
     
  11. fidlerre

    fidlerre Member+

    Oct 10, 2000
    Central Ohio
    as soon as we get anywhere close <i am talking 15 miles or so> you are going to see those republican guards pull up and run like hell in to the city. they know what is at stake, they know that fighting in the city is where they gain their best advantage. saddam learned from the last war against us-coaltion forces that if his troops sit out in the open they are going to take a beating from the air power. i would not be shocked it a majority of the troops are already in the city. hopefully we have some special forces <or those iraqi defectors we trained> in the city to feed us some good intelligence as to the movements of the iraqi republican guards. personally i dont think saddam is in baghdad anymore, i think he is in tikrit at this point <sp?>
     
  12. The Wanderer

    The Wanderer New Member

    Sep 3, 1999
    Saddam could just as well be dead, unless you consider a tape edited 67 times to be 'proof' of him being alive/uninjured.
     
  13. fidlerre

    fidlerre Member+

    Oct 10, 2000
    Central Ohio
    i am working on the assumption that he is alive, whether he is or not is another story, but i think the coalition is working on that assumption as well. i just have a feeling that bombing may have injured him and scared him to all hell <thinking someone is his 'own' group betrayed him> that made him run and take cover in a city he might feel more comfortably in...just a thought.
     
  14. Mr. Cam

    Mr. Cam Red Card

    Jun 28, 2001
    Does the name Dresden ring a bell?

    Time for MOAB's and Fuel-Air munitions.
     
  15. Mr. Cam

    Mr. Cam Red Card

    Jun 28, 2001
    Urban renewal at its finest!!!
     
  16. The Wanderer

    The Wanderer New Member

    Sep 3, 1999
    I'll go ahead and do it: BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAAH

    That wasn't because I think it's a bad idea.....
     
  17. BenReilly

    BenReilly New Member

    Apr 8, 2002
    Does the phrase phyrric victory ring a bell?
     
  18. Mr. Cam

    Mr. Cam Red Card

    Jun 28, 2001
    What's more important the lives of American soldiers or the lives of Baghdad residents?

    Or

    !7,000 dead Americans or 17,000 dead Iraqi's?
     
  19. Sardinia

    Sardinia New Member

    Oct 1, 2002
    Sardinia, Italy, EU
    The bagdad residents because they're civilian.
     
  20. Mr. Cam

    Mr. Cam Red Card

    Jun 28, 2001
    The Soldiers because their American!!!
     
  21. MikeLastort2

    MikeLastort2 Member

    Mar 28, 2002
    Takoma Park, MD
    I thought we were talking about besieging a city, not destroying it.

    Dresden was not exactly Great Britian's and the USA's proudest moment.

    Dresden had no military value whatsoever. The Allies obliterated it to get revenge for Nazi bombing raids into the UK.
     
  22. MikeLastort2

    MikeLastort2 Member

    Mar 28, 2002
    Takoma Park, MD
    That's really not funny at all. It's sick.
     
  23. Sardinia

    Sardinia New Member

    Oct 1, 2002
    Sardinia, Italy, EU
    And the bagdad residents are in their homeland.
     
  24. Foosinho

    Foosinho New Member

    Jan 11, 1999
    New Albany, OH
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    If we flatten Baghdad we've already lost the peace...
     
  25. MikeLastort2

    MikeLastort2 Member

    Mar 28, 2002
    Takoma Park, MD
    Do you really think Bush and his administration really care about the peace after this is over?

    And no, I'm not trying to be facetious.
     

Share This Page