Actually, you have that reversed: 1. Rankings are dependent on recent historical results. 2. England have had artificially/abnormally good luck in recent tournaments, which flatters them. 3. Their relative weakness is there for all to see, whenever England play a "big boy" side. The same effect is seen with the USMNT. They host a lot of tournaments, so they have artificially good luck, and so their results flatter them. The USMNT is then higher-ranked than they should be. They then get curbstomped whenever the USMNT plays away from home, or plays good opposition Yawn. Setting aside his uncanny knack for not winning any trophies [much like his country], Kane will be a geezing geezer nearing his 34th birthday, and unlikely to contribute as well in 2026. He's also contributed to England winning zero trophies over his lifetime. Zero. The other awards are down to those players playing on superior sides, all managed by managers from outside native English speaking countries. Neither of these factors are in effect when these players play for 3 Lions. And we've covered this: No one gives a shyte about the U21s, because the actual GOOD sides have their U21s in their senior squads. But congrats, [snicker] to playing in a "B Tournament."
2 finals, ranked 4th, English player of the year, Spanish player of the year, Bundesliga top scorer, U21 Champions.................we're laughing at you!
A few years ago I will bet for Mexico to be the first champion outside conmebol and uefa, now... that seems far. I can't see a new champ outside south america and europe. The asians and africans countries have got a lot better but not enough to win a WC. Japan seems to be the best of all of them, but still far from winning it. The odds of a new champions are Netherlands (usual suspect), Portugal and Colombia
I think the chances of having a champion outside UEFA/Conmebol decreased with the extra elimination round. Even if you get an "easy" rival in the new R32, I highly doubt anyone will pull out a B team for that match and thus you will get one extra game of tiredness. To avoid having your players exhausted, a team will also need an stellar bench to make up for it and some strong teams with good A teams like Japan don't have one.
Saudi Arabia will win $omeway, $omehow. Seriously, some mysterious calls and VAR would have to help a team like that win but I am not going to at all underestimate what FIFA will do.
Yup, that's where it gets interesting regarding the Orange Squad. Our already ridiculous number of top quality defenders has this (and last) season gotten a boost with being in Germany voted the best defenders, but also measured as the fastest players of the BuLi and now van de Ven has joined them as the fastest defender in the epl. So we're about to have to leave at home defenders who would be solid first team players for other countries. Looking at the midfield the same thing is taking place. Italians can't fathom we left at home Koopmeiners, who they consider the best midfielder in Serie A. However new faces are emerging too in here, like Reijnders, Timber and Gravenberch and also in this line we will have to leave players unselected, who would make the line up for most other countries. The only line that doesnot provide an abundance of choice is the frontline, but still good enough to have a strong attacking line. If only we have a better national team coach, who doesnot select and play have beens being his favorites.
Just for sh$t and giggles, I looked up the Vegas odds (which if reason prevails, should be about the same in most gaming houses to have the same odds). The team with best odds of winning the WC that is not from UEFA/CONMEBOL are USA (at 10th), Mexico (at 13th) and Japan (19th). France +600 Brazil +600 Spain +600 England +650 Argentina +800 Germany +1000 Portugal +1400 Netherlands +2000 Italy +2200 USA +3300 Belgium +3300 Uruguay +3300 Mexico +5000 Croatia +6600 Denmark +6600 Morocco +6600 Norway +6600 Switzerland +8000 Japan +8000 These odds were posted in July 2024, and have not been updated in any website. My guess is that when the EURO and Copa America outcome are taken into account, some of these will go up and some down. Colombia is not on the list, so, let' see when the new odds eventually come out.
It's not directly related to this but I use the platform here to show my updated Top 150 Ranking to a bigger audience as I believe very few people check out my thread You can find my complete ranking down below on kassiesa.net or check out my Tweets if you have access to X: https://kassiesa.net/uefa/forum2/viewtopic.php?p=606031#p606031 🚨👮 BREAKING❗⚽🌐 Top 150 Ranking1. 🇪🇦 ESP 89.5 (+3.5)2. 🇦🇷 ARG 88.5 (-0.5)3. 🏴 ENG 88 (-0.5)4. 🇨🇵 FRA 875. 🇩🇪 GER 86.5 (+1.5)6. 🇵🇹 POR 85.5 (-0.5)7. 🇳🇱 NED 85 (+3)8. 🇨🇴 COL 85 (+1)9. 🇧🇷 BRA 84.5 (-1)10. 🇮🇹 ITA 84 (-1.5)11. 🇭🇷 CRO 83.5 (+0.5)12. 🇲🇦 MAR 83 (+2)— International Football Guru SK ⚽🇩🇪🗺️ (@sk_football1907) October 5, 2024 13. 🇨🇭 SUI 83 (+4)14. 🇺🇾 URU 82.5 (-1.5)15. 🇯🇵 JPN 8216. 🇦🇹 AUT 82 (-1)17. 🇧🇪 BEL 81.5 (-1.5)18. 🇩🇰 DEN 81.5 (+2.5)19. 🇨🇮 CIV 81 (+1.5)20. 🇸🇳 SEN 80.5 (-2)21. 🇹🇷 TUR 80.5 (+2.5)22. 🇸🇰 SVK 80.5 (+2.5)23. 🇪🇨 ECU 79.5 (-1.5)24. 🇷🇸 SRB 79.5 (+0.5)25. 🇸🇮 SVN 79.5 (+2)— International Football Guru SK ⚽🇩🇪🗺️ (@sk_football1907) October 5, 2024 26. 🇰🇷 KOR 7927. 🇮🇷 IRN 7928. 🇺🇦 UKR 79 (-2.5)29. 🇺🇲 USA 78.5 (-0.5)30. 🇵🇱 POL 78.5 (1.5)31. 🇪🇬 EGY 78 (+0.5)32. 🇷🇺 RUS 78 (+0.5)33. 🇭🇺 HUN 78 (-4)34. 🇵🇾 PAR 78 (+1)35. 🇨🇦 CAN 77.5 (+1)36. 🇨🇿 CZE 77.537. 🇨🇩 COD 77.5 (+1)38. 🇳🇴 NOR 77.5 (+1)39. 🇲🇽 MEX 77— International Football Guru SK ⚽🇩🇪🗺️ (@sk_football1907) October 5, 2024 40. 🇳🇬 NGA 77 (-1)41. 🇦🇱 ALB 77 (+1.5)42. 🇬🇪 GEO 77 (+2)43. 🏴 WAL 76.544. 🇸🇪 SWE 76.5 (+1)45. 🇬🇷 GRE 76.5 (-0.5)46. 🇦🇺 AUS 76 (-2)47. 🇬🇭 GHA 76 (+4)48. 🇸🇦 KSA 76 (+1)49. 🏴 SCO 76 (-2)50. 🇷🇴 ROU 76 (+2)51. 🇻🇪 VEN 76 (-2.5)52. 🇩🇿 ALG 75.5 (+1)53. 🇨🇱 CHI 75.5 (-4.5)— International Football Guru SK ⚽🇩🇪🗺️ (@sk_football1907) October 5, 2024
54. 🇿🇦 RSA 75.5 (+0.5)55. 🇺🇿 UZB 75.5 (+0.5)56. 🇨🇲 CMR 7557. 🇹🇳 TUN 75 (-1.5)58. 🇵🇦 PAN 75 (+2.5)59. 🇮🇸 ISL 75 (+0.5)60. 🇦🇴 ANG 75 (+0.5)61. 🇨🇷 CRC 74.5 (+3.5)62. 🇮🇶 IRQ 74.5 (-1)63. 🇧🇫 BFA 74 (-1)64. 🇵🇪 PER 73.5 (-0.5)65. 🇲🇰 MKD 73.5 (-0.5)66. 🇯🇲 JAM 73.5 (-1)— International Football Guru SK ⚽🇩🇪🗺️ (@sk_football1907) October 5, 2024 67. 🇶🇦 QAT 73 (-2.5)68. 🇲🇱 MLI 73 (-4.5)69. 🇫🇮 FIN 7370. 🇦🇲 ARM 7371. 🇳🇿 NZL 72.572. 🇧🇴 BOL 72.5 (+3)73. 🇮🇪 IRL 72.5 (-1)74. 🇬🇦 GAB 72.5 (+0.5)75. 🇯🇴 JOR 72.576. 🇬🇳 GUI 72.5 (-1)77. 🇦🇪 UAE 72 (+2)78. 🇧🇦 BIH 72 (+4)79. 🇬🇲 GAM 72 (+2.5)80. 🇲🇪 MNE 71.5 (-2)— International Football Guru SK ⚽🇩🇪🗺️ (@sk_football1907) October 5, 2024 81. 🇨🇻 CPV 71 (-4)82. 🇧🇯 BEN 71 (+5.5)83. 🇿🇲 ZAM 71 (+1.5)84. 🇽🇰 KOS 71 (-2.5)85. 🇭🇳 HON 71 (+0.5)86. 🇲🇿 MOZ 70.5 (+1.5)87. 🇰🇵 PRK 70.5 (+3)88. 🇦🇿 AZE 70.5 (+2)89. 🇰🇲 COM 70.5 (-1)90. 🇮🇱 ISR 70 (+0.5)91. 🇬🇧 NIR 70 (-1)92. 🇧🇬 BUL 70 (+2)93. 🇸🇩 SDN 70 (+4)— International Football Guru SK ⚽🇩🇪🗺️ (@sk_football1907) October 5, 2024 94. 🇬🇶 EQG 69.5 (-6)95. 🇳🇦 NAM 69.596. 🇱🇺 LUX 69 (-2)97. 🇰🇪 KEN 69 (-2)98. 🇲🇬 MAD 69 (+2.5)99. 🇬🇹 GUA 69 (+0.5)100. 🇮🇩 IDN 69 (+2.5)101. 🇧🇭 BHR 68.5102. 🇰🇿 KAZ 68.5103. 🇹🇿 TAN 68 (+2)104. 🇸🇾 SYR 68 (+0.5)105. 🇭🇹 HAI 68 (+1.5)106. 🇨🇫 CTA 68 (+1.5)107. 🇴🇲 OMA 67.5— International Football Guru SK ⚽🇩🇪🗺️ (@sk_football1907) October 5, 2024
108. 🇺🇬 UGA 67.5 (+2.5)109. 🇹🇬 TOG 67.5 (-2)110. 🇬🇼 GNB 67.5 (+1)111. 🇵🇸 PLE 67.5 (+1)112. 🇹🇭 THA 67.5 (+0.5)113. 🇲🇩 MDA 67.5 (-1)114. 🇧🇾 BLR 67 (+1.5)115. 🇲🇷 MTN 67 (-3.5)116. 🇷🇼 RWA 67 (+3.5)117. 🇸🇷 SUR 66.5 (+1.5)118. 🇹🇯 TJK 66 (-1.5)119. 🇱🇾 LBY 66 (-3)— International Football Guru SK ⚽🇩🇪🗺️ (@sk_football1907) October 5, 2024 120. 🇿🇼 ZIM 66 (-1)121. 🇨🇾 CYP 65.5 (+1)122. 🇨🇳 CHN 65 (-1)123. 🇳🇪 NIG 65 (+2)124. 🇧🇮 BDI 65125. 🇸🇱 SLE 65 (+1)126. 🇰🇬 KGZ 65 (+2)127. 🇱🇻 LVA 64 (-1)128. 🇱🇹 LTU 64 (+0.5)129. 🇲🇾 MAS 64 (+1)130. 🇹🇹 TRI 64 (-3)131. 🇱🇧 LBN 63.5132. 🇰🇼 KUW 63.5133. 🇨🇬 CGO 63.5 (-4)— International Football Guru SK ⚽🇩🇪🗺️ (@sk_football1907) October 5, 2024 134. 🇲🇼 MWI 63.5 (-0.5)135. 🇫🇴 FRO 63.5 (+1)136. 🇨🇼 CUW 63137. 🇳🇮 NCA 63 (+1.5)138. 🇱🇷 LBR 63 (+1.5)139. 🇪🇪 EST 63140. 🇱🇸 LES 63 (+0.5)141. 🇲🇹 MLT 63 (-1)142. 🇻🇳 VIE 62.5 (-0.5)143. 🇸🇻 SLV 62.5144. 🇪🇹 ETH 62.5 (+0.5)145. 🇧🇼 BOT 62.5 (-1.5)146. 🇩🇴 DOM 62 NEW— International Football Guru SK ⚽🇩🇪🗺️ (@sk_football1907) October 5, 2024 147. 🇸🇿 SWZ 61.5 (+0.5)148. 🇨🇺 CUB 61 NEW149. 🇹🇩 CHA 61 NEW150. 🇲🇺 MRI 61 NEWOverview Top 15051x 🇪🇺 UEFA48x 🌍 CAF24x 🌏 AFC16x 🌎 CONCACAF 10x 🌎 CONMEBOL 1x 🌏 OFC🚨 Next update: Early November— International Football Guru SK ⚽🇩🇪🗺️ (@sk_football1907) October 5, 2024
I am not even sure that is true. At least not for CAF. I know Morocco just reached the semis but I think Cameroon and Nigeria in the early 90s were equally impressive. Yeah, they did not advance as far but they won/played with some initiative. Not just parking the bus and relying on bad finishing and under performing by their opponents. Also, 2018 was a complete disaster for CAF. I want to see another decent WC from CAF teams in 2026 before saying there is progress