Who are the favorites to win WC 2026?

Discussion in 'World Cup 2026 - Mexico, Canada and the USA' started by HomietheClown, Sep 11, 2024.

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Who are the favorites to win the WC 2026?

  1. Spain

    53.0%
  2. Argentina

    16.9%
  3. England

    15.7%
  4. France

    24.1%
  5. Germany

    2.4%
  6. Colombia

    3.6%
  7. Brasil

    2.4%
  8. Netherlands

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  9. Other-

    16.9%
Multiple votes are allowed.
  1. HomietheClown

    HomietheClown BigSoccer Yellow Card

    Dusselheim FC 1971
    Sep 4, 2010
    Club:
    --other--
    There's always exceptions to the rules. But trends are trends. And there's a reason people who bet use them. They can be useful tools when it comes to sports predictions.
    But of course things are not set in stone and talent can overcome many factors.
     
  2. Some German scienist, who is being said to have predicted the last three WC winners right, has written his system came up with a very surprising and controversial prediction, a final between Portugal and the Orange Squad and we would win it.
    Fisrt of all, us in the final already is considered a huge success, but on top of that beating our bogey team Portugal too is going to be a reason to party for a week.:p:D
     
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  3. HomietheClown

    HomietheClown BigSoccer Yellow Card

    Dusselheim FC 1971
    Sep 4, 2010
    Club:
    --other--
    I put as much stock into those scientific predictions as I do the Octopus that predicted most of the World Cup results a few years back.
     
  4. BocaFan

    BocaFan Member+

    Aug 18, 2003
    Queens, NY
    To me, the current France is better than the 1998 team also. That 1998 France attack was nothing to write home about IMO. MF and defense might have had a slight edge over the current team, but not enough to make up for a big difference in all 3 attacking positions plus depth in those 3 positions.
     
  5. HomietheClown

    HomietheClown BigSoccer Yellow Card

    Dusselheim FC 1971
    Sep 4, 2010
    Club:
    --other--
    Barthez was also wonderful in ‘98. That makes me put that team ahead.
    I am not convinced by Maignan.
     
  6. babaorum

    babaorum Member+

    Aug 20, 2005
    Marseille
    Nat'l Team:
    France
    The WC98 French defense (including the GK) was much better than the current one.
     
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  7. BocaFan

    BocaFan Member+

    Aug 18, 2003
    Queens, NY
    I generally don't like this kind of comparisons because there is a tendency to compare current players with past players in their prime. e.g. Henry, Trezeguet, Vieira are all huge names now, but they weren't anywhere near their peak in '98.

    Also, defenders usually take longer for fans to have a strong level of confidence towards even if they are really good at a young age. Not many people are going to think of Saliba or Kounde as rock solid defenders right now. But 10-15 years from now we could very well be looking back at this time and consider them as really top defenders.
     
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  8. babaorum

    babaorum Member+

    Aug 20, 2005
    Marseille
    Nat'l Team:
    France
    Maybe. But Desailly, Blanc and Thuram were already huge names prior to 1998.
     
  9. Serengeti_Boy

    Serengeti_Boy Member+

    Sep 15, 2009
    Serengeti, East Africa
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    Tanzania
    I think Argentina have been slowly regenerating quietly. They are tip 4 easily for me. Just basic chemistry and moments from from 2022 Re gone but they have been planning their squads imo underrated manner.
     
  10. Mean Machine

    Mean Machine Member+

    May 23, 2018
    I agree they’re still probably Top 4 after France, Spain, and England
     
  11. BocaFan

    BocaFan Member+

    Aug 18, 2003
    Queens, NY
    True. Big names by 1998 for sure, but not as big as now (I'd argue). Its just very difficult to recall how highly we rated players at a moment in the past.

    And we tend to underrate current players by quite a lot.
     
  12. babaorum

    babaorum Member+

    Aug 20, 2005
    Marseille
    Nat'l Team:
    France
    France backline (+ Barthez) had already a reputation for being solid as steel even before 1998. From 1995-96 I'd say. This is not really the case with the current French defense.

    Players are not evaluated in absolute terms, but in relation to their contemporaries. Desailly, Thuram, and Blanc were all considered among the top three or four players in the world in their respective positions even before the World Cup began (actually top 2 for Thuram). Lizarazu was considered as such afterward. I don't think the same can be said for any of the current French defenders.
     
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  13. BocaFan

    BocaFan Member+

    Aug 18, 2003
    Queens, NY
    Exactly. And France were only joint 3rd/4th-favorities in 1998 well behind Brazil, despite having home advantage. Now they are at worst close 2nd favorites.

    And I'm not saying the 1998 defense wasn't definitely better. It was. The difference might just not be as big as we imagine. Surely not enough to overcome the huge edge the current team has in attack.
     
  14. babaorum

    babaorum Member+

    Aug 20, 2005
    Marseille
    Nat'l Team:
    France
    I think the difference in level between the two defenses is significant. We're talking about one of the best defenses in history. The bar is set very high. It must also be said that the midfield built around Deschamps and Zidane was also remarkable.

    It can happen that we underestimate a team. That was the case with France before the 1998 World Cup, in my opinion. For anyone who followed them closely, it was obvious that they would be extremely difficult for anyone to break down, despite some doubts about their attack.

    I don't think the current team is better overall, despite all the attacking talent, but we'll have to wait a while to be sure.
     
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  15. Mean Machine

    Mean Machine Member+

    May 23, 2018
    It’s very interesting. I’ll be honest I wasn’t alive in 1998 so I can’t really compare; but from what I’ve heard, I think the attack is more stacked now but defense better back then. Midfield not so sure. There was Zidane, but was it as stacked as the midfield is now all around?

    All that to say, I don’t think the defense compares to 1998 but don’t underestimate the defense now. Theo Hernandez is world class and there’s also Malo Gusto who’s an extremely good young player. I don’t even know who starts in center back but pretty sure they play for top clubs.
     
  16. babaorum

    babaorum Member+

    Aug 20, 2005
    Marseille
    Nat'l Team:
    France
    The attack was an issue. Guivarch was sh!t and Dugarry -even if technically skilled and definitely a hard worker- was a mediocre goalscorer. Henry and Trezeguet were obviously good but not yet mature players. The only borderline world-class player up-front was Youri Djorkaeff (definitely world class on his day).

    The Juve midfield duo Zidane/Deschamps was the engine of the team. Definitely world class. They were usually surrounded by Emmanuel Petit who played the best football of his life in 1998 and Christian Karembeu, a technically limited player but with huge physical power and stamina. There was also a young but promising Patrick Vieira. Karembeu (or Vieira)/Deschamps/Petit formed a perfect shield to the defense and a great platform for Zidane.

    The backline + GK (Barthez) was insanely good. Lizarazu, Desailly, Blanc, Thuram played 28 games together between 1996 and 2000, losing none and conceding 7 goals.
     
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  17. HomietheClown

    HomietheClown BigSoccer Yellow Card

    Dusselheim FC 1971
    Sep 4, 2010
    Club:
    --other--
    I want to see how 2026 France does against a gritty team or a team that will gladly take them to penalties. One of the biggest surprises for me in the last couple cycles is how they were eliminated by Switzerland via spot kicks at a Euro a few years back.
    That sorta thing can happen again.
    But other than that I have them penciled for the Senis.
     
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  18. FancySuspect

    FancySuspect Member

    Not a specific Club supporter
    France
    Mar 28, 2026
    It’s worth noting that Lloris has always been dreadful for penalties, while our new keeper Maignan is very good at them. So the good old “method” to eliminate us on pens that worked so many times may not be the easiest anymore.

    I think our midfield may be our weakness this time around, we may not control games as much as we should, and that will cost us greatly in my opinion.
     
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  19. HomietheClown

    HomietheClown BigSoccer Yellow Card

    Dusselheim FC 1971
    Sep 4, 2010
    Club:
    --other--
  20. Burr

    Burr Member+

    Boca Juniors
    Argentina
    Jul 8, 2014
    Tampa, FL
    Club:
    FC Tampa Bay Rowdies
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Well hopefully it goes better for them than the last time they were overhyped heading into a U.S. hosted World Cup.
     
  21. HomietheClown

    HomietheClown BigSoccer Yellow Card

    Dusselheim FC 1971
    Sep 4, 2010
    Club:
    --other--
    #396 HomietheClown, Apr 22, 2026
    Last edited: Apr 22, 2026
    That was rough.
    That was back in the days when the Colombian manager admitted on National television that he did not even watch game film of his opponents to prepare and just focused on his team.

    Oh my, have times have changed.
     
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  22. HomietheClown

    HomietheClown BigSoccer Yellow Card

    Dusselheim FC 1971
    Sep 4, 2010
    Club:
    --other--
  23. Testator

    Testator Member+

    Glasgow Celtic
    Croatia
    Sep 5, 2017
    Croatian coast
    Japan has to be higher on that list - I know Lalas is American, but come on. Swap Japan and US, and it's somewhat realistic. As for Colombia, IMO, they are around the 8 -10th place.
     
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  24. HomietheClown

    HomietheClown BigSoccer Yellow Card

    Dusselheim FC 1971
    Sep 4, 2010
    Club:
    --other--
    Japan is top 10 in my book. Maybe even 9.

    But let's face it, it is not like they have a history of making it past the round of 16. And with it being at weird time zones compared to their country it could be asking too much of them to have a great tournament. So I can see why people are doubting them. Also having a couple of tough physical Euro teams in their group could take a toll.
     
  25. Testator

    Testator Member+

    Glasgow Celtic
    Croatia
    Sep 5, 2017
    Croatian coast
    U.S. are worse. In recent years, they've had shit CONCACAF results. No way can they be ranked higher than Japan. Also, Japanese natural stamina and Moriyasu's rotation habits mean they should be able to keep a high tempo in games, regardless of time zone or climate. I honestly would put Japan higher than my Croatia.
     

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