What will the USWNT look like for Canada 2015

Discussion in 'USA Women: News and Analysis' started by Cville K C, Aug 14, 2012.

  1. Cville K C

    Cville K C Member

    Nov 3, 2008
    Collinsville, IL
    Club:
    Saint Louis Athletica
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    This started as an offshoot to the "What happens with the WNT after the Olympics are over?" thread, but it was sort of a tangent discussion and needed its own thread, so here it is.

    Below were my initial comments which started this debate as copied from that thread:

    ....looking a bit further off into the future, where will this team be in 2015 and who will be on it?

    Ages of the current players by June 30, 2015:
    GK - Solo 33, Barnhart 33
    DF - Mitts 37 (retiring), Rampone 40, Sauerbrunn 30, O'Hara 26, LePeilbet 33, Buehler 29
    MF - Boxx 38, O'Reilly 30, Lloyd 32, Cheney 27, Rapinoe 29, Heath 27
    FW - Rodriguez 28, Leroux 25, Morgan 25, Wambach 35
    Alt - Loyden 30, Klingenberg 26, Lindsey 35, Press 26
    Note that Solo, Lloyd, Morgan, and Rapinoe are July birthdays, so you can just about add one to each of them.

    Others in 2012 player pool -
    GK - Harris 29
    DF - Cox 29, Engen 27, Krieger 30
    MF - Averbuch 28, Mewis 24, Nairn 24, Winters 26

    GK - I doubt if Solo retires. I think she still wants a World Cup, and unless she totally gets po'd about the team or they totally get po'd with her, she'll be on the team. Who after that? Lots of possibilities.

    DF - Could be a pretty big turnover here. Mitts is retiring. Rampone and LePeilbet are probably question marks. Engen appears to be heir apparent for one position. Krieger will still be young enough to make an impact, if she can stay healthy. Klingenberg...I don't know.

    MF - Boxx is a question mark, as would be Lindsey. I have to believe the other five Olympians will be around, so I'm not sure there will be much turnover, although with Nairn, Mewis, Winters, and some of the U-20's, there should be some competition.

    FW - If Wambach stays healthy, I've got to believe she wants one more crack at a World Cup. Barring something unforeseen, I've got to believe that Leroux and Morgan will still be there. That leaves Rodriguez (?), Press, maybe Henderson, and probably a host of other younger forwards.

    So if you were all making an educated guess, how many of the 2012 Olympians (and let's throw in the alternates, too) will make the 21 woman roster for the 2015 World Cup? I'm guessing around 13. If Pia is still head coach, I think the number will tend to be higher than if she's not. The makeup of WC rosters tend to be 3 keepers, 6-7 defenders, 7-8 midfielders, and 4 forwards.
     
    Gilmoy repped this.
  2. kool-aide

    kool-aide Member+

    Feb 1, 2002
    a van by the river
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Thanks for making the new thread :)

    If my count is correct:

    8 players were on both the 2007 & 2011 WWC squads (Solo, Rampone, Abby, Cox, Boxx, Lloyd, Barny, HAO).

    10 players were on both the 2003 & 2007 squads (Abby, Hucles, Aly Wagner, Scurry, Whitehill, Rampone, HAO, Markraf, Lilly, Boxx).

    12 players were on both the 1999 & 2003 squad (Brandi, Scurry, Rampone, Parlow, Fawcett, Foudy, Sobs, Lilly, Hamm, McMillan, Roberts, Milly).

    11 players were on both the 1995 & 1999 squad (Scurry, Overbeck, Fawcett, Foudy, Lilly, Hamm, Akers, WebberI had forgotten she was a '95er, Roberts, Milly, Venturini).

    8 players were on both the 1991 & 1995 squad (Overbeck, Fawcett, Foudy, Lilly, Hamm, Akers, Hamilton, Harvey)

    1 player was on the 1991 squad, not on the 1995 squad, and then back for the 1999-2003 squads (Brandi).

    The 1991 squad was limited to 18 and the 1995-2003 to 20. 2007-present there are 21.

    So, based on previous history, I'll say 8-10 of the 21 from 2011 will be on the 2015 squad. Which ones? I don't know. A lot depends on injury and players really committing for the full 4 years. Who keeps playing? Who runs the sprints up hill alone at 5am every morning for 4 years? Who is willing to have a baby and come back? Who doesn't have kids til they're +33? And, of course, who is the coach?

    Just looking at the age spread of the 2011 WWC squad, I'd say the best candidates are O'Hara, Cheney, Heath, Morgan, ARod, Buehler, HAO, Rapinoe, Sauerbrunn. A 33 yr old Lloyd and a 34 yr old Solo wouldn't be out of the question but I see many more question marks.

    I think Abby knows this was her last real go-around. At 35, unless something dramatically changes with her body, she won't be able to play forward at the international level. And she would have to change a lot about her game if she were to try to move back. Not to mention find a club to play for that would allow her to play in such a role.
     
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  3. Cville K C

    Cville K C Member

    Nov 3, 2008
    Collinsville, IL
    Club:
    Saint Louis Athletica
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Somebody made a darn fine suggestion.:)

    As usual, great research and accuracy. Could only find one other player in my quick check. Carin Jennings was on 1991 and 1995.

    All good points.

    Interestingly, although there were only 8 players on both the 2007 and 2011 World Cup teams, 12 of the 18 2008 Olympians were on the 2011 World Cup team. Add Mitts, Cheney, Rodriguez, Buehler, and Heath to your list above and of course, subtract Abby who didn't play in the '08 Olympics.

    As you said, injuries are a big part of it. Tarpley and Chalupny would have been on the 2011 team had it not been for injuries.
     
  4. Cliveworshipper

    Cliveworshipper Member+

    Dec 3, 2006

    Great points. Abby won't move back, but I question whether she will have to. She was number 2 in scoring in these games. While she might not be what she is now, she will still be better than most at what she does. Maybe Hagen or somebody will get a shot, but maybe not.

    I don't see 33 for a keeper as necessarily an issue. Buffon was the best Keeper in the UEFA tourney at 34. Keller was great until his last couple years, Friedel is 40 and still in the premier. Howard is 32.
    The question isn't really whether she will be as good, but will anyone else be better? I see some good young keepers, but no Hope yet.

    But I don't think you can plan on a field player over 35. If it happens, you can marvel at it, but you certainly don't plan for it 3 years away.

    The older players do have an advantage in experience over the pups. They better understand the hardships. But hopefully, with 3 years to try new players, some positions will see new blood. I think the emphasis is to find new players right up the middle of the field, just as it was for Germany in the last cup. They didn't replace their old players fast enough with good enough replacements.

    The new players will hopefully be in the mold of the style we profess to be moving toward, but that isn't a given. We will get to see how well development is with the new Youth program and whether it gets results or was just talk. We are in year 3 or so...
     
  5. Gilmoy

    Gilmoy Member+

    Jun 14, 2005
    Pullman, Washington
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    If Carli is still mobile for the Rio final, she starts :D
     
  6. kool-aide

    kool-aide Member+

    Feb 1, 2002
    a van by the river
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    :thumbsup: :D
    How in the world did I forget Crazy-Legs? I <3 Jennings Gabara. smh at myself. So that makes 9 players on both the 1991 & 1995 WWC squads.

    You make good points, as well. You're right that in theory, 34 (Solo is an '81) isn't too old for an international keeper. Silke Rottenberg & Scurry were 32 in 2003. Angerer turned 33 in 2011. I wonder how Solo will hold up w/ respect to injury but mostly desire--she's said she has interest in post-soccer careers. And what is her willingness to face very real competition for the #1 slot from fiery personalities.

    Barny is top shelf but never a real threat to displace Solo & she's much more laid back. Loyden isn't real competition and is on the roster b/c of the 3 'next best' keepers she's the one that gets along best w/ Solo and isn't a threat. A coach manages the team this way now b/c Solo is so very good on the field. But in 4 years? Harris (Duisburg for this season), Naeher (Potsdam for another year), Henninger (what's her injury status?) are three post-collegiate keepers I think have the best potential. I won't list the younger ones but I think there are a couple gems. As you say, we'll see how they pan out.

    I agree that the spine is where the USWNT will have the most turnover/need the most change. I eagerly await word of where certain young central defenders are going to play in the fall/winter. They need games to get better. A batch of central mids (including but not limited to Edwards, Winters, Averbuch, Bock) that have signed on to play in various Euro leagues for this upcoming season. I wish them all success b/c we need them to develop.
     
  7. eNdemoc

    eNdemoc Member

    Aug 8, 2012
    Club:
    Chelsea FC
    Where do you guys get to watch these players?

    Earlier (in the earlier thread?), somebody was saying that they thought Cheney peaked at WWC last year, but let's not forget that she had to basically change position. (Everyone wants to play forward, right?) Cheney was very good at possession in central midfield. She escaped double teams, drew fouls from triple teams, etc. If she can stay in amazing shape (i.e. please see Tobin Heath's athletic development), she will be a force in the midfield.
     
  8. taosjohn

    taosjohn Member+

    Dec 23, 2004
    taos,nm
    That was me, and I'm not married to the idea or anything-- just seemed to me that she was not as effective this season as last, even allowing for the adjustment. If I'm wrong I'll be very happy about it. I think there will be considerable effort to find a true playmaker over the next couple of years, and so far I'm not seeing Cheyney in that light.

    I also left Hagen out of my list of who might be going to Canada, and I imagine that she's got as good a chance as anyone not named Morgan.
     
  9. Katreus

    Katreus Member

    Jul 3, 2011
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    At this point in time, Cheney seems like a better holding midfielder and distributor than AM. She's actually really good at keeping the ball once she has it. Even with two three players going at her as soon as she receives it, she can escape with the ball (Tobin needs to learn to do this) since she has great situational awareness. She keeps the ball moving, distributes it around, but she's not a Pinoe. She doesn't create chances in the same way that Pinoe does.

    If she develops better tackle awareness and technique, might she be the next Boxx but with better passing ability?
     
  10. kool-aide

    kool-aide Member+

    Feb 1, 2002
    a van by the river
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    She's very good at using her body. She posts up well up top but that skill has translated into midfield hold up play. Heath doesn't have the same strength/body use as Cheney. She doesn't put her butt/back on a player, use contact/leverage and keep the ball.

    In the Olys, Cheney was more restrained in attack than I've seen her before. She didn't try some of the quick attacks and other things that she did in the WWC. She adapted her game to the role Pia wanted from a CM. If you watched Cheney when she was a forward, you'd remember more attacking sparks & ability. But that's Rapinoe's role now.
     
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  11. Katreus

    Katreus Member

    Jul 3, 2011
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Yeah, I did notice that. (I was quite appreciative too given how sometimes our CMs can be too aggressive.)

    Cheney is quite impressive, to be able to adapt and change her game to what is required or best for the team. Very unselfish player too - holding the ball or distributing the ball quickly and accurately is key for ball circulation and offensive movement, but it's not all that appreciated.
     
  12. eNdemoc

    eNdemoc Member

    Aug 8, 2012
    Club:
    Chelsea FC
    I saw some much improved holdup play from Heath during these Olympics. The difference in one year was night and day. I'm not sure she has the shot power to be an attacking mid, but I'm not sure if we need her to have that power. She could lay it off to Cheney for a blast, and if they lose the ball, there's enough speed and hustle in both of them to get back on defense. I'm fine with having two attack-minded central midfielders, as long as one covers for the other and they both get back on defense when necessary. Lloyd makes me nervous in that respect.
     
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  13. BrooklynSoccer

    BrooklynSoccer Member+

    Jan 22, 2008
    Turbo agree. thought heath was good on both sides of ball..was fun to see the improvement.

    Im excited to see what the u20's do..I think a few will def be in the Nat mix after the tourney.
    am i the only one who likes Falk...also, Engen, with her forward experience must be a good fullback...i haven't seen her play this position though...
     
  14. ForeverLOST108

    ForeverLOST108 Member+

    Jan 23, 2010
    Orlando
    Club:
    Tottenham Hotspur FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Engen is a center back only in my opinion. She never took off at fullback for the brief time she played LB for Chicago. I know people will disagree with me here on this, but I still see her as Rampone's successor and I think Engen is better than Sauerbrunn. She is better in the air, has superior passing ability, and is quicker.

    I'd love to see her and Sauerbrunn together at the 2015 World Cup though. Both of them are definitely better than Buehler and LePeilbet.
     
  15. eNdemoc

    eNdemoc Member

    Aug 8, 2012
    Club:
    Chelsea FC
    Again, where do you guys get to watch these players?
     
  16. kool-aide

    kool-aide Member+

    Feb 1, 2002
    a van by the river
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Some of us watched Engen in college. Others of us watched Engen when she played for the RedStars (they webcast their games). Others of us watched Engen when she played for the WNY Flash. Some of us did all three.
     
  17. taosjohn

    taosjohn Member+

    Dec 23, 2004
    taos,nm
    Her upper body strength seems to be much improved; I've always thought her positioning defensively was pretty good, but she had a tendencey to get brushed aside at both ends when it came to close quarters, and that didn't seem to be happening much this time out.
     
  18. Cville K C

    Cville K C Member

    Nov 3, 2008
    Collinsville, IL
    Club:
    Saint Louis Athletica
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Earlier, we were putting up some historic data, so I thought this might be interesting, comparing apples to apples so to speak.

    2008 USWNT Olympic Roster

    GK-Hope Solo, also on 2011 WC team
    GK-Nicole Barnhart, also on 2011 WC team
    DF-Heather Mitts, also on 2011 WC team
    DF-Christie Rampone, also on 2011 WC team
    DF-Kate Markgraf, retired in 2010
    DF-Lori Chalupny, injured/concussions
    DF-Rachel Buehler, also on 2011 WC team
    DF-Stephanie Cox, also on 2011 WC team
    MF-Lindsay Tarpley, injured
    MF-Shannon Boxx, also on 2011 WC team
    MF-Heather O'Reilly, also on 2011 WC team
    MF-Carli Lloyd, also on 2011 WC team
    MF-Angela Hucles, retired in 2009
    MF-Aly Wagner, retired in 2010
    MF-Tobin Heath, also on 2011 WC team
    F-Amy Rodriguez, also on 2011 WC team
    F-Natasha Kai, did not make 2011 WC team
    F-Lauren Cheney, also on 2011 WC team

    So 12 of the 18 2008 Olmpians were on the 2011 World Cup team. Two missed solely because of injury. Three retired. And one, ONLY ONE, didn't make the team but was still an uninjured active player. That's pretty amazing that there was that little turnover in three years.
     
  19. Cliveworshipper

    Cliveworshipper Member+

    Dec 3, 2006
    Why would you turn over a roster that is the best in the world just for the sake of turning it over?

    The 2008 roster, after all, did meet that standard.


    And why not mention the players on the 2011 and 2012 team that weren't there in 2008?

    Really, that's where the real story lies...
     
  20. TsovLoj

    TsovLoj Member

    Aug 16, 2012
    Nobody thinks Leroux's going to be a starting forward?
     
  21. cpthomas

    cpthomas BigSoccer Supporter

    Portland Thorns
    United States
    Jan 10, 2008
    Portland, Oregon
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Agreed. Plus, is someone arguing that there's something wrong with a turnover of 1/3 of the team every four years? Doesn't that sound just about right?
     
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  22. Cville K C

    Cville K C Member

    Nov 3, 2008
    Collinsville, IL
    Club:
    Saint Louis Athletica
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Not saying you should turnover for turnover sake (nor did I in my comments above), just saying that's not much turnover. Really, the turnover would have been only 4 if Chalupny and Tarpley are healthy.

    It does gets back to one point I did make in my original comments though...that is, I think if Pia is still coach, the turnover will be quite a bit less than if she's not. Not saying it's wrong or right, just saying it's Pia. Remember Loyalty = Pia = Loyalty. She's basically said as much herself.
     
  23. taosjohn

    taosjohn Member+

    Dec 23, 2004
    taos,nm
    I don't think she can beat out Morgan, and I think Morgan will be best paired with a sturdier, target type forward-- Press, Cheyney and Hagen all seem like better bets (well I actually have never seen Hagen, but if she is as advertised.)
     
  24. taosjohn

    taosjohn Member+

    Dec 23, 2004
    taos,nm
    Not in a world where attention spans are programmed by thirty second commercials...
     
  25. taosjohn

    taosjohn Member+

    Dec 23, 2004
    taos,nm
    If Tarpley had made this team it would have been at the expense of either ARod, HAO, or Heath. And really for all you know she would have been pregnant now whether she were injured or not... You can have Chalupny, but Tarpley is not a given at all.

    Actually come to think of it, if Chalupny played its fairly reasonable to think that O'Hara might have beat out Tarply or one of the other three above also-- she'd have been competing for a midfield position basically, and I think we can see that she had something to show...
     

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