Veepstakes 2020

Discussion in 'Elections' started by superdave, May 18, 2020.

  1. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
    Club:
    FC Sankt Pauli
    Nat'l Team:
    Belgium
    Dan pfeiffer was pointing out it's only the dems who tend to focus on picking senators

    GOP casts a wider net
     
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  2. superdave

    superdave Member+

    Jul 14, 1999
    VB, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    The classic play is for a governor to pick a senator and vice versa. Obama picking Biden was a big of an outlier, and a bit of proof of concept; Obama had 4 years in Washington and needed a Washington veteran.

    It just so happens that the supply of female Democratic governors is limited and outside of Whitmer are just not really good candidates. If Stacey Abrams had been allowed to beat Kemp, her resume would be hard to top.
     
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  3. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Two was not as good. I am not sure why Alyssa M. invited Rebecca Traister as a guest to comment on Biden. Her smugness and complete negativity was such a turn off. This woman bought the crazy Tara Reade story and was pushing this crap for a while....ffs.
     
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  4. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
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    Bayern München
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    Fascist Hellscape
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    FC Sankt Pauli
    Nat'l Team:
    Belgium
    Agreed - i abandoned that episode
     
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  5. sitruc

    sitruc Member+

    Jul 25, 2006
    Virginia
    I don't know what they were trying to build with that or why they even ran it. That didn't fit a three-part series and was just ignorant of reality.
     
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  6. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
    Club:
    FC Sankt Pauli
    Nat'l Team:
    Belgium
    I thought episode 1 was so great because it really got into the cloak and dagger stuff from previous campaigns

    Episode 2 lacked any clear concept IMO - maybe they just misfired on it
     
  7. ArsenalMetro

    ArsenalMetro Member+

    United States
    Aug 5, 2008
    Chicago, IL
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Democratic tickets over the last 60 years have been:

    2016: Senator - Senator
    08-12: Senator - Senator
    2004: Senator - Senator
    2000: Senator/VP - Senator
    92-96: Governor - Senator
    1988: Governor - Senator
    1984: Senator/VP - Representative
    76-80: Governor - Senator
    1972: Senator - Ambassador
    1968: Senator/VP - Senator
    1964: Senator/VP/President - Senator
    1960: Senator - Senator

    So the classic play for Democrats is to pick a senator. The only exceptions dating back to Kennedy are Ferraro and Shriver, and the original choice in '72 was also a senator.

    Also, senator is one of those words that starts to look really misspelled when you see it that many times in a row.
     
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  8. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    They got an earful on Twitter about the No2. Hopefully the third one will be better.
     
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  9. superdave

    superdave Member+

    Jul 14, 1999
    VB, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    2 points. First, you only looked at the Dems. The GOPs follow this more. Second, all those VPs I consider executives, which kind of was my point: usually you balance an executive with a legislator, or in the case of Trump, a non-Washingtonian with a creature of Washington. (That's kinda sorta Obama-Biden.) Also, the pattern is stronger in the primary (1972 and later) era.

    One other point...3 VPs, 3 losses. If you believe in trends, that's scary.
     
  10. JohnR

    JohnR Member+

    Jun 23, 2000
    Chicago, IL
    Dick Nixon and Poppy Bush make me feel better.
     
  11. ArsenalMetro

    ArsenalMetro Member+

    United States
    Aug 5, 2008
    Chicago, IL
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Right. You responded to a post pointing out that Democrats tend to pick senators by saying that the "classic play" is to pair a governor with a senator, which isn't borne out on the Democratic side. That was all I was calling attention to. :)

    Though I'll add that the Democratic track record should throw a lot of cold water on the theory of Rice, Bottoms, etc.
     
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  12. xtomx

    xtomx Member+

    Chicago Fire
    Sep 6, 2001
    Northern Wisconsin, but not far from civilization
    Club:
    Chicago Fire
    #387 xtomx, Jul 7, 2020
    Last edited: Jul 7, 2020
    Instead of the "2 points," just go for the field goal, since you moved the goal posts so far. ;)

    Republicans:
    1960: VP(former Senator)/Senator
    1964: Senator/Rep
    1968-72: Former VP/Governor
    1976: President/Senator
    1980-84: Former Governor/Former Rep (former CIA)
    1988: VP/Senator
    1992: President/VP
    1996: Senator/Rep
    2000-04: Governor/former Rep (out of politics for several years)
    2008: Senator/Governor
    2012: Governor/Rep
    2016: Asshole/Governor

    So, basically, your Senator/Governor dichotomy almost never happens. Other than that, carry on, sir.
     
  13. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
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    Hardly anyone knows or cares about the VP spouse.
     
  14. superdave

    superdave Member+

    Jul 14, 1999
    VB, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    The presidential candidate in these elections was the same. Somehow his credentials changed. :rolleyes:
    1992 is silly because they were incumbents. Pence was also in the House. Win, me.
     
  15. xtomx

    xtomx Member+

    Chicago Fire
    Sep 6, 2001
    Northern Wisconsin, but not far from civilization
    Club:
    Chicago Fire
    #390 xtomx, Jul 7, 2020
    Last edited: Jul 7, 2020
    Nixon: of course his "credentials" changed. In 1960 he was a sitting VP (and 1/2 term Senator immediately prior). In 1968, he had been out of government for 8 years. So "former" VP was appropriate.

    Pence being in the house has nothing to do with your "Governor/Senator" theory, unless you are saying Pence is "both" parts of your revised executive and legislative theory, which also does not comport with your theory.
    There was no match up at all, since Trump was not in Government at all.

    1992 - I listed it separately since they lost.

    By the way, I thought the standard was Governor/Senator (or vice versa) until I saw the other post and looked up the Republicans and realized it is not usually the case.

    What I think is interesting is how Republicans who ran were not in another office when they ran.

    Nixon (1968 edition)
    Reagan and Bush Sr
    Cheney
    Trump

    I am not sure if that is a good or bad thing (although looking at that list...)
     
  16. Khan

    Khan Member+

    Mar 16, 2000
    On the road
    So, in other words, we're still at:

    No to Warren or Whitmer. [Too white]
    No to Bottoms or Abrams. [Haven't made it to the Federal level of government]


    IOW, we're still with Harris or Duckworth as the two better choices.

    If you squint, you can maybe see Demings or Grisham as options; if you squint, AND want someone's first political campaign to be as VP to the oldest major party nom in history, you can maybe see Rice as an option.

    Did I miss anyone?
     
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  17. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
    Club:
    FC Sankt Pauli
    Nat'l Team:
    Belgium
    Rice
     
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  18. xtomx

    xtomx Member+

    Chicago Fire
    Sep 6, 2001
    Northern Wisconsin, but not far from civilization
    Club:
    Chicago Fire
    Not a politician.
    As she expressed an interest?

    I saw an interview with her last week and she avoided the question more than Sen. Duckworth, Warren or Harris did.

    I think she would be fine, but do we want her as President?
    This is the key question at the moment.
     
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  19. taosjohn

    taosjohn Member+

    Dec 23, 2004
    taos,nm
    And neither have their presumptive opponents; be real here.
     
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  20. taosjohn

    taosjohn Member+

    Dec 23, 2004
    taos,nm
    Absolutely, and twice over considering the other party's choices.

    Any competent adult...
     
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  21. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
    Club:
    FC Sankt Pauli
    Nat'l Team:
    Belgium
    She is on most of the pundit shortlists
     
  22. xtomx

    xtomx Member+

    Chicago Fire
    Sep 6, 2001
    Northern Wisconsin, but not far from civilization
    Club:
    Chicago Fire
    I know and, again, Susan Rice is terrific.

    My questions were
    whether she wants to be VP
    and
    whether she would be up for the challenge of being President.

    I suspect the answer is yes (of course) to the second question, not sure about the first.
     
  23. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
    Club:
    FC Sankt Pauli
    Nat'l Team:
    Belgium
    Well this is where the pundit class is merely guessing compared to the hard work of vetting.
     
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  24. Matrim55

    Matrim55 Member+

    Aug 14, 2000
    Berkeley
    Club:
    Connecticut
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    If she didn't want to be VP she wouldn't be making the talk show rounds. They all obviously want the job.
     
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  25. song219

    song219 BigSoccer Supporter

    Apr 5, 2004
    La Norte
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    Vanuatu
    It's like "running" for your party's Presidential nomination in the 19th century. You couldn't say that you wanted to be nominated.
     

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