The playoff situation, September 13

Discussion in 'MLS: News & Analysis' started by ElJefe, Sep 13, 2002.

  1. ElJefe

    ElJefe Moderator
    Staff Member

    Feb 16, 1999
    Colorful Colorado
    Club:
    FC Dallas
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    [size=+1]SAN JOSE[/size]

    #1 seed:
    • Win both remaining games against LA
    • Win one game and draw one game against LA.
    • Win one game and lose one game against LA, and ensure that LA does not win the aggregate score of the two games by more than one goal.
    • Draw both games against LA.
    #3 seed:
    • Win one game and loses one game against LA and lose the aggregate score of the two games by two or more goals.
    • Draw one game and lose one game against LA.
    • Lose both games against LA, and Dallas loses or draws at least one of its two remaining games, and Colorado either loses or draws at least one of its two remaining games or wins both remaining games, but doesn't make up the 18-goal difference in San Jose's and Colorado's goal differential.
    #4 seed:
    • Lose both games against LA, Dallas wins both its remaining games, and Colorado either loses or draws at least one of its two remaining games or wins both remaining games, but doesn't make up the 18-goal difference in San Jose's and Colorado's goal differentials. (Dallas finishes #3 with 46 points, San Jose finishes #4 with 45 points, and Colorado finishes #5.)
    • Lose both games against LA, Dallas loses or draws at least one of its remaining two games, and Colorado wins both its remaining games and makes up the 18-goal difference in San Jose's and Colorado's goal differentials. (Colorado finishes #3 with 45 points, San Jose finishes #4 with 45 points, and Dallas finishes #5.)
    #5 seed:
    • Lose both games against LA, Dallas wins both its remaining games, and Colorado wins both its remaining games and makes up the 18-goal difference in San Jose's and Colorado's goal differentials. (Dallas finishes #3 with 46 points, Colorado finishes #4 with 45 points, San Jose finishes #5 with 45 points.)
     
  2. ElJefe

    ElJefe Moderator
    Staff Member

    Feb 16, 1999
    Colorful Colorado
    Club:
    FC Dallas
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    [size=+1]LOS ANGELES[/size]

    #1 seed:
    • Win both remaining games against San Jose
    • Win one game and draw one game against San Jose.
    • Win one game and lose one game against San Jose, and win the aggregate score of the two games by more than one goal.
    #3 seed:
    • Win one game and lose one game against San Jose and either win the aggregate score of the two games by one goal, draw the aggregate score, or lose the aggregate score.
    • Draw both games against San Jose.
    • Draw one game and lose one game against San Jose.
    • Lose both games against San Jose, and Dallas loses or draws at least one of its two remaining games, and Colorado either loses or draws at least one of its two remaining games or wins both remaining games, but doesn't make up the 15-goal difference in LA's and Colorado's goal differential.
    #4 seed:
    • Lose both games against San Jose, Dallas wins both its remaining games, and Colorado either loses or draws at least one of its two remaining games or wins both remaining games, but doesn't make up the 15-goal difference in LA's and Colorado's goal differentials. (Dallas finishes #3 with 46 points, LA finishes #4 with 45 points, and Colorado finishes #5.)
    • Lose both games against San Jose, Dallas loses or draws at least one of its remaining two games, and Colorado wins both its remaining games and makes up the 15-goal difference in LA's and Colorado's goal differentials. (Colorado finishes #3 with 45 points, LA finishes #4 with 45 points, and Dallas finishes #5.)
    #5 seed:
    • Lose both games against San Jose, Dallas wins both its remaining games, and Colorado wins both its remaining games and makes up the 15-goal difference in LA's and Colorado's goal differentials. (Dallas finishes #3 with 46 points, Colorado finishes #4 with 45 points, LA finishes #5 with 45 points.)
     
  3. Northside Rovers

    Jan 28, 2000
    Austin TX
    Club:
    FC Dallas
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Good stuff. Waiting for the rest. Print this out and keep it handy for Saturday night.

    September Madness: It's fantastic.
     
  4. FlashMan

    FlashMan Member

    Jan 6, 2000
    'diego
    Club:
    --other--
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I'm getting dizzy.

    Otherwise I concur with with Mr. Northside.

    PS. Somehow I don't think the Rapids will make up the 18 goal plus/minus differential with the Quakes.
     
  5. Rocket

    Rocket Member

    Aug 29, 1999
    Chicago
    Club:
    Everton FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    How about providing some "best-guess" probabilities along with these various scenarios, Dustin.

    While each scenario could happen, it's also true that some of them are about as likely to occur as it is for Veronica Paysse to elope this off-season with some lucky Big Soccer poster.
     
  6. FlashMan

    FlashMan Member

    Jan 6, 2000
    'diego
    Club:
    --other--
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Speak for yourself.
     
  7. ElJefe

    ElJefe Moderator
    Staff Member

    Feb 16, 1999
    Colorful Colorado
    Club:
    FC Dallas
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    [size=+1]DALLAS[/size]

    #3 seed:
    • Win both remaining games, and either LA sweeps San Jose or San Jose sweeps LA.
    • Win both remaining games, LA and San Jose draw one game, and San Jose beats LA badly in the other game, enough for Dallas to make up the 8-goal difference in the LA's and Dallas' goal differential.
    #4 seed
    • Win both remaining games, San Jose gets at least one draw and LA gets at least two points or gets a draw, but doesn't lose badly in the other match.
    • Win one and draw one, and Colorado loses or draws at least one of their final two games.
    • Win one and lose one, and Colorado loses at least one of their final two games.
    • Draw both remaining games, and Colorado loses at least one of their final two games. (Dallas owns the head-to-head tiebreaker against Colorado.)
    • Draw one and lose one, and Colorado either draws both their final two games or draws one and loses one.
    • Lose both games, Colorado draws one game and loses the other, MetroStars lose or draw at least one of their two remaining games, and Chicago loses or draws one of its remaining two games.
    #5 seed:
    • Win one and draw one, and Colorado wins both remaining games.
    • Win one and lose one, and Colorado wins both remaining games.
    • Draw both remaining games, and Colorado gets at least four points in remaining two games.
    • Draw one and lose one, Colorado gets at least one win in remaining two games.
    • Lose both games, Colorado gets at least two points in remaining two games, and either the MetroStars or Columbus lose or draw at least one of its two remaining games.
    • Lose both games, Kansas City wins both remaining games, and either the MetroStars or Columbus lose or draw at least one of its two remaining games.
    #6 seed:
    • Lose both games, Colorado gets at least two points in remaining two games, and both the MetroStars and Columbus win both their remaining games.
    • Lose both games, Kansas City wins both remaining games, and both the MetroStars and Columbus win both their remaining games.
     
  8. ElJefe

    ElJefe Moderator
    Staff Member

    Feb 16, 1999
    Colorful Colorado
    Club:
    FC Dallas
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Friggin' design meeting that last from four in the afternoon until 8:30 PM. I'll finish the remaining ones later.
     
  9. ElJefe

    ElJefe Moderator
    Staff Member

    Feb 16, 1999
    Colorful Colorado
    Club:
    FC Dallas
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    [size=+1]COLORADO[/size]

    #3 seed:
    • Win both remaining games, Dallas draws or loses at least one of its remaining games, LA sweeps San Jose in the final two games, and Colorado makes up the 18-goal difference in San Jose's and Colorado's goal differentials.
    • Win both remaining games, Dallas draws or loses at least one of its remaining games, San Jose sweeps LA in the final two games, and Colorado makes up the 15-goal difference in LA's and Colorado's goal differentials.
    #4 seed
    • Win both remaining games, Dallas draws or loses at least one of its remaining games, and both San Jose and LA get at least one point from their home-and-home.
    • Win both remaining games, Dallas draws or loses at least one of its remaining games, and either San Jose sweeps LA, or LA sweeps San Jose, but Colorado doesn't make up the difference in goal differential with the team that just got swept.
    • Win one and draw one, and Dallas gets a maximum of two points in its two remaining games.
    • Win one and lose one, and Dallas gets a maximum of a single point in its two remaining games.
    • Draw both remaining games, Dallas loses both its remaining games, and either Chicago or the Metros win the East.
    • Draw both remaining games, Dallas loses both its remaining games, Columbus wins the East, and the MetroStars draw or loses at least one of its remaining two games
    • Draw both remaining games, Dallas loses both its remaining games, Columbus wins the East, MetroStars win both remaining games, and Colorado makes up the four-goal difference between the MetroStars and their goal differentials.
    #5 seed:

    • ]
    • Win both remaining games, Dallas wins both remaining games, and both San Jose and LA get at least one point from their home-and-home.
    • Win both remaining games, Dallas wins both its remaining games, and either San Jose sweeps LA, or LA sweeps San Jose, but Colorado doesn't make up the difference in goal differential with the team that just got swept.
    • Win one and draw one, and Dallas gets at least one win in its remaining two games.
    • Win one and lose one, and Dallas gets at least two points in its remaining two games.
    • Draw both remaining games, Dallas gets at least one point in its remaining two games, and either Chicago or the Metros win the East.
    • Draw both remaining games, Dallas gets at least one point in its remaining two games, Columbus wins the East, and the MetroStars draw or lose at least one of their remaining two games.
    • Draw both remaining games, Dallas gets at least one point in its remaining two games, Columbus wins the East, MetroStars win both their remaining games, and Colorado makes up the four-goal difference between the MetroStars' and their goal differentials.
    • Draw both remaining games, Dallas loses both its remaining games, Columbus wins the East, MetroStars win both their remaining games, and Colorado doesn't make up the four-goal difference between the MetroStars' and their goal differentials.
    • Draw one and lose one, the MetroStars win the East, and Columbus draws or loses at least one of its remaining two matches.
    • Draw one and lose one, Columbus wins the East, and the MetroStars draw or lose one of their remaining two matches.
    • Draw one and lose one and Chicago wins the East.
    #6 seed:
    • Draw one and lose one, the MetroStars win both remaining and the East, and Columbus wins both its remaining games.
    • Draw one and lose one, Columbus wins both remaining games and the East, and the MetroStars win both its remaining games.
    • Lose both games, Columbus wins the East, and the MetroStars either get a maximum of three points in their final two games or get four points, but loses their four-goal lead over Colorado in goal differential.
    • Lose both games, Chicago wins the East, and the MetroStars either get a maximum of three points in their final two games or get four points, but lose their four-goal lead over Colorado in goal differential.
    • Lose both games, MetroStars win the East, and neither Chicago nor Columbus get more than four points out of their home-and-home.
    #7 seed:
    • Lose both games, Columbus wins both their remaining games and the East, and the MetroStars either win both their remaining games or win one and draw one, but don't lose their four-goal lead over Colorado in goal differential.
    • Lose both games, the MetroStars win both their remaining games and the East, and Columbus wins both its remaining games.
    • Lose both games, Chicago wins both its remaining games and the East, the MetroStars draw one game and win the other, and they don't lose their four-goal lead in goal differential.
     
  10. ElJefe

    ElJefe Moderator
    Staff Member

    Feb 16, 1999
    Colorful Colorado
    Club:
    FC Dallas
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    More later.
     
  11. dawgpound2

    dawgpound2 Member

    Mar 3, 2001
    Los Angeles, CA
    Muchas gracias
     
  12. Wizardscharter

    Wizardscharter New Member

    Jul 25, 2001
    Blue Springs, MO
    All hail Jefe...nice work

    Properly he did the West first.
     
  13. ElJefe

    ElJefe Moderator
    Staff Member

    Feb 16, 1999
    Colorful Colorado
    Club:
    FC Dallas
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Sorry, but real life prevented me from finishing the rest of these.

    Moderator, please close this thread, as I've got a new thread with all the updated scenarios.
     

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