This is what already happened, not what will happen. It's why Lib Dems suddenly have a record number of seats
This is actually the line Merkel expertly walked by always steering to the centre instead of tacking right. You'll ultimately never get the crazies back by being more fascist than the far right.
I remain totally unconvinced that Labour will manage the NHS well. Wes Streeting today talking about how the NHS needs to achieve "growth". It's a public health service, not a private industry. It should be measured on how successfully it treats people, not on how it is run as a business.
Is it surprising that this would be the Conservatives' reaction? The media has been pushing the narrative that Labour didn't win this election, rather the Conservatives lost it because they failed to shore up their right flank from Reform. It's only logical that the Conservatives will look at that narrative and come to the conclusion that they need to go farther to the right to re-capture the right wing voter and eliminate the split.
One of the problems of the last 9 years is the MPs are responsive not to the electorate but to the caucus and the membership which are much further right than their own voters. Like that is how we got the Brexit referendum fiasco in the first place.
While this may be true, the number of votes that Reform got would seem to indicate that their voters have moved to the right to some degree. Obviously after 14 years of mismanagement there is a number of voters that voted for Reform because of incompetence, but, again, the narrative is that a party to the Conservatives right "stole" their voters.
Sure - the collapse of right of centre liberal parties is a global trend. There are a few like CDU who have resisted going full fash with some success.
Why would they listen to the media and not look at the data themselves? Polling shows that under half of Reform voters would have voted Tory if Reform weren't standing - it's a large amount, but not the full picture. The British media has an agenda, and that of a number of the right wing press is shift the Tories right.
braverman announces from fashcon that levels of fascism were too low! Our problem is us.Our problem is that the liberal Conservatives who trashed the Tory party think it was everyone’s fault but their own.My party governed as liberals--and were defeated as liberals.Yet, they say its conservatives who are to blame. pic.twitter.com/oiqsS7jRwR— National Conservatism (@NatConTalk) July 8, 2024
And Badenoch says of Braverman "[she] appears to be having a 'very public' nervous breakdown" EXCLUSIVEKemi Badenoch used first meeting of shadow cabinet to criticise Rishi Sunak's election campaign amid concerns colleagues are failing to grasp enormity of defeat* Badenoch said that Sunak's decision to call an early election without informing his Cabinet was a mistake…— Steven Swinford (@Steven_Swinford) July 9, 2024
When she uses the word “liberal” here, how does she mean it? Does she mean it like here in America, or is it the British meaning?
IMO, this is a bad sign, one we’re seeing more and more around the world. If people vote based on economic issues, you can compromise on that stuff. You want to spend 10 million, I want to spend 14 million, how about 12? The age breakdowns here indicates identity politics. You can’t split the immigration baby. You can’t split the transgender baby. These issues are all or nothing.
is the tory party had any brain they would concentrate on winning back lib dem and Labour voters, you know they have to get seats back of the lib dems and Labour, not try and ape reform who will always be considered more authentic than you.
While it's funny watching the Tory party implode, we really need them to get their act together. A lack of a coherent centre-right offering is only going to fuel Farage. If Labour can start to get things done that the left behind start to feel the benefit from then that will help, but it won't sort it on it's own.
And that's the problem. Too many Braverman and Frost rantings taking the lead rather than the saner ones coming to the fore. The media will just fuel the nutters.
I don't really see that in the short term. I doubt they drift as left as they did under Kennedy, but I can't imagine they look back on the immediate post coalition years fondly. They've likely found their niche where they are for now.
Battle of the Sand, Weymouth Beach, 1938 - My mates back in my pick up footy days told me they had family members in the sands of Weymouth Beach that day: It was a glorious victory, they said.
I'd disagree with you on the age breakdowns indicating identity politics. There is also a heavy dose of economics reflected in those age breakdowns. For 18-30ish year olds, they've spent their entire adult lives under Conservative rule and they've been absolutely crapped on economically during that time. They had working in Europe almost completely cut off, they've had the economic pain caused by a shoddily carried out Brexit pretty much land directly upon them, cost of living has gone up, etc, etc. That plays a heavy factor in why young voters in the UK are against Conservatives.