The inevitable war with China

If the US actually supports Taiwan, war is inevitable. This isn't like Ukraine where they can send munitions and hardware into the country via rail that is largely protected from Russian attack. Any re-supply from the West will have to be done by ship and China will never let those ships into Taiwan. As a result, the US and its allies will have to clear the area of Chinese ships and establish air dominance.

 

Ballistic missiles don't really work on moving targets and the US Navy has the AEGIS Ballistic Missile Defense system, which is the best ballistic missile defense system in the world.. Also Japan, Philippines, Alaska, Guam, and Australia exist.

Again, if the US is going to support Taiwan, there is no choice but to go to war with China and that's going to turn into a regional conflict very quickly.

 

The Filipino Navy is not blocking shit.

Not because they would not want to, but because they can't.

 

We need bases in Taiwan, we just don't have the guts to do it.

 

They don't need a navy to block cargo ships from entering their territorial waters to go to China.

 

Couple of things.

As we saw in Iran's attack on Israel, AEGIS works just as well protecting land targets as it does protecting naval targets. The US also has deployed THAAD batteries in Hawaii, Guam, Wake Island, and has started deploying it in the Western US around military bases...

Next, if China's hypersonic missiles were any good, the US would have already stolen the technology and deployed it in our own hypersonic missile program. The Chinese military-industrial complex is even more corrupt than Russia's, so I'm not sure why you are believing Chinese propaganda and Western analysts about their capabilities... That's not to say they can't hurt the US or its allies, but you're just repeating Chinese propaganda as if it were factual.

 

As a reminder, Russia's Kinzhal was called a hypersonic glide munition until it was revealed by their use in Ukraine that they were just an air launched Iskander ballistic missile. By definition, all ballistic missiles are "hypersonic" in that they are all faster than Mach 5 during their terminal phase. However, hypersonic missiles are supposed to be more than that. What makes an actual hypersonic missile deadly is not just that they can reach hypersonic speeds, but that they are also maneuverable. The maneuverable part is where the US has struggled with their hypersonic missile programs.

 

I'll give you a hint. Western analysts have over-stated the capabilities of their adversaries for as long as there have been Western analysts. The US, in particular, feeds this information out into the public in order to get Congress to increase funding for programs it intends to counter that threat. In this case, the US needed funding to deploy satellites that can detect the launches of hypersonic missiles and for development of changes to the AEGIS system and development of the Glide Phase Interceptor.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/20...c-missile-defence-htbss-satellites-aegis-gpi/

 

Again, that's not to say China isn't a threat and that it can be discounted, but, much like we learned about the Russian military when it invaded Ukraine, don't be surprised that the Chinese military is also a paper tiger.

 

US analysts said Russia would capture Kyiv in 3-days.

US analysts said Russia would nuke Ukraine if they gave Ukraine HIMARS.

US analysts said Russia would nuke Ukraine if they gave Ukraine ATACMS.

US analysts said Russia would nuke Ukraine if they gave Ukraine F16s.

US analysts said Russia would nuke Ukraine if Ukraine invaded Russia.

US analysts said that Saddam Hussein had a program to create weapons of mass destruction.

US analysts said that Saddam Hussein was getting "yellow cake" from Africa to create dirty bombs.

Etc. etc.

So.. Why should we trust US analysts again?

 

*nudgenudge* The US analysts are the ones that give the number 2 in the US military the information he has.

US intelligence has deep penetration into the entire military and political structure of China and Russia, but what they release to the public has still been consistently wrong.

 

https://www.pacom.mil/

https://www.andersen.af.mil/ - Guam

https://www.kadena.af.mil/ - Kadena Airbase, Okinawa Japan

https://www.misawa.af.mil/ - Misawa Airbase, Japan

https://www.yokota.af.mil/ - Yakota Airbase, Japan

https://www.kunsan.af.mil/ - Kunsan Air Base, Korea

https://www.osan.af.mil/ - Osan Air Base, Korea

Bur prior to that, you suppress the opponents missile and air power with submarine and surface launched cruise missiles

 

Not to mention bases on Diego Garcia which I'm guessing would be useful in closing the Malacca Straits.