The 2024 Table :: Magic Numbers, Tragic Numbers & Toast

Discussion in 'MLS: News & Analysis' started by NFLPatriot, Aug 23, 2024.

  1. NFLPatriot

    NFLPatriot Member+

    Jun 25, 2002
    Foxboro, MA
    Club:
    New England Revolution
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
  2. AeroNaught

    AeroNaught Member+

    Atlanta United
    Feb 14, 2007
    Birmingham, AL
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Boring race out in the West this year, looks like they're only playing for seeding although it looks like that can change a fair bit with all teams still in contention for the top 4 spots (for now at least).
     
  3. rslfanboy

    rslfanboy Member+

    Jul 24, 2007
    Section 26
    Well, LAG would have to implode to not win the West. Spots 2-7 are anyone’s guess.
     
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  4. morrissey

    morrissey Moderator
    Staff Member

    Feb 18, 2000
    West Los Angeles, Calif
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    here
    here's to hope
     
  5. rslfanboy

    rslfanboy Member+

    Jul 24, 2007
    Section 26
    Hope? The only hope relevant here, is the hope that one’s team is toasted quickly and efficiently.
     
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  6. morrissey

    morrissey Moderator
    Staff Member

    Feb 18, 2000
    West Los Angeles, Calif
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    That's it - basically, it is the hope that kills. Less likely in the West but we shall see.
     
  7. Sounders78

    Sounders78 Member+

    Apr 20, 2009
    Olympia
    Club:
    Seattle Sounders
    Nat'l Team:
    France

    To put the West schedule in context, LAFC arguably has the easiest schedule to come, while Vancouver and Seattle arguably have the toughest home stretch

    #1 LA plays 2 teams in the top 9 & 1 not in a playoff position

    #2 LAFC plays only 1 team in the top 9 in their remaining 4 games - talk about an easy schedule with the bottom 3 in the West still to play

    #3 RSL plays 2 teams in the top 9, both at home, & 1 not in a playoff position

    #4 Colorado plays 2 teams in the top 9, both at home, & 1 not in a playoff position

    #5 Seattle plays 3 teams in the top 9

    #6 Houston plays only 1 team in the top 9, & 2 not in a playoff position

    #7 Vancouver plays 4 teams in the top 9, but 3 of them at home

    #8 Minnesota plays 2 teams in the top 9, both on the road, & 1 not in a playoff position

    #9 Portland plays 1 team in the top 9 (at Seattle), & 2 not in a playoff position (both at home)
     
  8. morrissey

    morrissey Moderator
    Staff Member

    Feb 18, 2000
    West Los Angeles, Calif
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I do kinda want DC to make the playoffs. Though I think it would be a good data point if Benteke wins the golden boot and DC fails to make the playoffs.
     
  9. fortcollins

    fortcollins Member+

    St. Louis City SC
    Apr 12, 2006
    Fort Collins
    Club:
    Colorado Rapids
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Thinking about this thread made me wonder something for no particular reason. Toasted Ravioli is a St. Louis specialty. Is CITY the only team with toasted something as a go-to food? :unsure:

    Asking for a friend.
     
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  10. pr0ner

    pr0ner Member+

    Jan 13, 2007
    Alexandria, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Looks like 4 teams for 2 spots in the East, with MTL in the driver's seat and TOR needing lots of help with just one match left.
     
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  11. NFLPatriot

    NFLPatriot Member+

    Jun 25, 2002
    Foxboro, MA
    Club:
    New England Revolution
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Achieving toast status: ATL
    Clinching playoff spot: CLT, MIN
    Eliminated: DAL
    ATX would need to win their final 2 games, and have POR lose their final 2 games, and makeup an 18 point Goal Differential to achieve Lazarakia (not happening: then again, I didn't foresee ATX winning in POR last night to stay alive).

    upload_2024-10-3_11-9-58.png

    upload_2024-10-3_11-10-33.png
     
  12. jaykoz3

    jaykoz3 Member+

    Dec 25, 2010
    Conshohocken, PA
    Club:
    Philadelphia Union
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
  13. JasonMa

    JasonMa Member+

    Mar 20, 2000
    Arvada, CO
    Club:
    Colorado Rapids
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Has any team stated at the start of the year their goal is the Shield and not the Cup? No, of course not, because the recognized champion is the MLS Cup winner and every team starts the year with the stated goal of winning the championship. Cup > Shield

    I rest my case.
     
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  14. NFLPatriot

    NFLPatriot Member+

    Jun 25, 2002
    Foxboro, MA
    Club:
    New England Revolution
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Color change: I forgot to update last Monday that SJE had clinched the Spoon:

    upload_2024-10-3_13-21-15.png
     
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  15. An Unpaved Road

    An Unpaved Road Member+

    Mar 22, 2006
    Club:
    --other--
    I don’t think I’ve heard a team was lucky to win MLS Cup.
     
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  16. SiberianThunderT

    Sep 21, 2008
    DC
    Club:
    Saint Louis Athletica
    Nat'l Team:
    Spain
    There's an entire section of the MLS Cup Wikipedia page dedicated to the era of "Underdogs winning the cup". I think you have a short memory.
     
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  17. JasonMa

    JasonMa Member+

    Mar 20, 2000
    Arvada, CO
    Club:
    Colorado Rapids
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Hi, I'm a Rapids fan, nice to meet you
     
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  18. Paul Berry

    Paul Berry Member+

    Notts County and NYCFC
    United States
    Apr 18, 2015
    Nr Kingston NY
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Some teams get easier inter-conference games.
     
  19. An Unpaved Road

    An Unpaved Road Member+

    Mar 22, 2006
    Club:
    --other--
    Underdogs is not the same as using “lucky” to delegitimize a title winning team.
     
  20. SiberianThunderT

    Sep 21, 2008
    DC
    Club:
    Saint Louis Athletica
    Nat'l Team:
    Spain
    Underdogs *are* lucky if they triumph. They made it to the playoffs all the same, sure, but punching up (especially over multiple rounds) still requires luck to some degree. And that's definitely exemplified in the MLS Cup Champions during those years. RSL got into the playoffs on a tiebreak and needed two PKSOs to get their title. (Even if Rimando meant the PKSOs were less about luck than they normally are, there's still a big luck factor there.) Colorado similarly were a wildcard team that needed a PKSO and an extra-time own-goal.

    When it comes down to it, you can talk about weak/strong (i.e. [un]deserving) cup winners in any cup competition - it even happens when discussing World Cup champions - and MLS Cup is no exception. But you don't get "weak" Shield winners.
     
  21. NFLPatriot

    NFLPatriot Member+

    Jun 25, 2002
    Foxboro, MA
    Club:
    New England Revolution
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Using the aforementioned 2010 Rapids, they finished the season 12W-8L-10T, 7th best of the 8 playoff teams. They were 5th in the West, but because only 2 teams in the East qualified, they went into the playoffs as the 3-seed in the East, San Jose (6th in the West) was the 4th seed.

    Colorado split the 2-game leg vs Columbus, advanced on PKs. San Jose upset the 1-seed in the East (NYRB), before losing to Colorado in Eastern Conference Championship. LA Galaxy (Shield winners) were upset by Dallas in the Western Conference Championship.

    So Colorado went 3-1, beating the 5th (overall), 8th and 4th teams to win the Cup. You don't think there was some luck involved there?

    I would bring up a certain NY Giants Superbowl run, but the memory is too painful... ;)

    Heck, Raiders fans still think luck helped the Pats beat them on their way to SB 36, and their dynasty might never have begun if it weren't for the Tuck rule...

    * * *
    As to the question of SS vs Cup, they are two different beasts.

    SS measures your ability to build a team before the season and sustain it.

    The Cup measures your ability to build a team throughout the season and have them performing optimally at the end of the season.

    Apples and oranges, both are legit.
     
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  22. An Unpaved Road

    An Unpaved Road Member+

    Mar 22, 2006
    Club:
    --other--
    Luck plays a part there as well. Last night’s game is different if Busquets gets a straight red for a play that looked like it deserved it. Plenty of other “lucky” moments add up throughout an entire season, if the Shield race is close those moments stand out even more.

    I remain unimpressed by Kljesten’s idea.
     
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  23. JasonMa

    JasonMa Member+

    Mar 20, 2000
    Arvada, CO
    Club:
    Colorado Rapids
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    No. :D
     
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  24. BalanceUT

    BalanceUT RSL and THFC!

    Oct 8, 2006
    Appalachia
    Club:
    Real Salt Lake
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    BLASPHEMER!!!!!
     
  25. Paul Berry

    Paul Berry Member+

    Notts County and NYCFC
    United States
    Apr 18, 2015
    Nr Kingston NY
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Which MLS Cup winner won it through pure luck?

    90% of sports have playoffs to determine champions. I don't remember many lucky champions.

    I remember the old European Cup when a team could fluke easy draws all the way to the final then get an lucky win.
     

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