Boring race out in the West this year, looks like they're only playing for seeding although it looks like that can change a fair bit with all teams still in contention for the top 4 spots (for now at least).
To put the West schedule in context, LAFC arguably has the easiest schedule to come, while Vancouver and Seattle arguably have the toughest home stretch #1 LA plays 2 teams in the top 9 & 1 not in a playoff position #2 LAFC plays only 1 team in the top 9 in their remaining 4 games - talk about an easy schedule with the bottom 3 in the West still to play #3 RSL plays 2 teams in the top 9, both at home, & 1 not in a playoff position #4 Colorado plays 2 teams in the top 9, both at home, & 1 not in a playoff position #5 Seattle plays 3 teams in the top 9 #6 Houston plays only 1 team in the top 9, & 2 not in a playoff position #7 Vancouver plays 4 teams in the top 9, but 3 of them at home #8 Minnesota plays 2 teams in the top 9, both on the road, & 1 not in a playoff position #9 Portland plays 1 team in the top 9 (at Seattle), & 2 not in a playoff position (both at home)
I do kinda want DC to make the playoffs. Though I think it would be a good data point if Benteke wins the golden boot and DC fails to make the playoffs.
Thinking about this thread made me wonder something for no particular reason. Toasted Ravioli is a St. Louis specialty. Is CITY the only team with toasted something as a go-to food? Asking for a friend.
Looks like 4 teams for 2 spots in the East, with MTL in the driver's seat and TOR needing lots of help with just one match left.
Achieving toast status: ATL Clinching playoff spot: CLT, MIN Eliminated: DAL ATX would need to win their final 2 games, and have POR lose their final 2 games, and makeup an 18 point Goal Differential to achieve Lazarakia (not happening: then again, I didn't foresee ATX winning in POR last night to stay alive).
Supporters Shield > MLS Cup. Has anyone ever said a team was lucky to win the Supporters Shield? I rest my case. pic.twitter.com/GdS8uy0RS7— Sacha Kljestan (@SachaKljestan) October 3, 2024
Has any team stated at the start of the year their goal is the Shield and not the Cup? No, of course not, because the recognized champion is the MLS Cup winner and every team starts the year with the stated goal of winning the championship. Cup > Shield I rest my case.
There's an entire section of the MLS Cup Wikipedia page dedicated to the era of "Underdogs winning the cup". I think you have a short memory.
Underdogs *are* lucky if they triumph. They made it to the playoffs all the same, sure, but punching up (especially over multiple rounds) still requires luck to some degree. And that's definitely exemplified in the MLS Cup Champions during those years. RSL got into the playoffs on a tiebreak and needed two PKSOs to get their title. (Even if Rimando meant the PKSOs were less about luck than they normally are, there's still a big luck factor there.) Colorado similarly were a wildcard team that needed a PKSO and an extra-time own-goal. When it comes down to it, you can talk about weak/strong (i.e. [un]deserving) cup winners in any cup competition - it even happens when discussing World Cup champions - and MLS Cup is no exception. But you don't get "weak" Shield winners.
Using the aforementioned 2010 Rapids, they finished the season 12W-8L-10T, 7th best of the 8 playoff teams. They were 5th in the West, but because only 2 teams in the East qualified, they went into the playoffs as the 3-seed in the East, San Jose (6th in the West) was the 4th seed. Colorado split the 2-game leg vs Columbus, advanced on PKs. San Jose upset the 1-seed in the East (NYRB), before losing to Colorado in Eastern Conference Championship. LA Galaxy (Shield winners) were upset by Dallas in the Western Conference Championship. So Colorado went 3-1, beating the 5th (overall), 8th and 4th teams to win the Cup. You don't think there was some luck involved there? I would bring up a certain NY Giants Superbowl run, but the memory is too painful... Heck, Raiders fans still think luck helped the Pats beat them on their way to SB 36, and their dynasty might never have begun if it weren't for the Tuck rule... * * * As to the question of SS vs Cup, they are two different beasts. SS measures your ability to build a team before the season and sustain it. The Cup measures your ability to build a team throughout the season and have them performing optimally at the end of the season. Apples and oranges, both are legit.
Luck plays a part there as well. Last night’s game is different if Busquets gets a straight red for a play that looked like it deserved it. Plenty of other “lucky” moments add up throughout an entire season, if the Shield race is close those moments stand out even more. I remain unimpressed by Kljesten’s idea.
Which MLS Cup winner won it through pure luck? 90% of sports have playoffs to determine champions. I don't remember many lucky champions. I remember the old European Cup when a team could fluke easy draws all the way to the final then get an lucky win.