Summer Slum/Elon Musk needs his own thread because he's in every damn thing/positive Elon Musk

I was referring to the LLM and how they work internally.

I suppose it's a moot point as to whether they're 'intelligent' in any real sense. The Prof. Wooldridge guy says it lacks problem solving ability from first principles so he seems to think they're doing versions of what he calls 'pattern recognition' and says the jury's out on this stuff. He's the 'Ashall Professor of the Foundations of Artificial Intelligence in the Department of Computer Science at the University of Oxford' so I'm guessing he knows something about the subject. Well more than me which, OK.. isn't saying much

 

Looks like Elon isn't going to Mars. It's the Moon. A Moon City.

 

Coward. Sad.

 

If it makes you feel any better, I seriously doubt he's going to the moon either.

 

It was stupid of him to say that "the moon was a distraction". A functional moon base is a needed logistics point because it's so much cheaper to launch from there.

 

How is it much cheaper? You have to get the fuel there. You have to build a launchpad. Presumably it's going to be maintained by humanoid robots for reasons.

 

It's a lot cheaper because you don't have to launch the fuel to get to Mars from Earth, you'd be getting it from the polar ice on the Moon. Set up a refinery on the Moon that splits the polar ice into Liquid Hydrogen and Liquid Oxygen, then launch that fuel from the moon to a re-usable Mars transit vehicle that is orbiting somewhere between the Moon and Earth. That way the only "expensive" part is launching the crew from the Earth and getting them to the Mars transit vehicle.

 

End of 2027 then.

 

Yeah. Totes. hahaha.

 

Are they unfamiliar with the "I don't know" phrase?

 

I would feel alot better if he and his fellow cranckjobs would leave for the moon.

 

I was hoping they’d get sent to Mars.

 

Part of the reason is something you can easily empathize with. Imagine you are taking a multiple choice test in school. Wrong answers are zero, empty answers are zero. You have to be stupid to leave an answer blank - just random guessing means you get 25% of the randomly filled answers right. Maybe more if you pick "B". It's usually "B".

That's what AIs are doing essentially. In their training and in the tests that judge how well they do, and "I don't know" is the same thing as a wrong answer, so they are trained and they are judged to always try. And as a product that AI companies want people to use, they want the AI to always appear confident because humans are innately trusting of confidence.

There's other reasons as well.

 

In the Peanuts comic strip, Charlie Brown’s famous strategy for multiple-choice tests is that if you don't know the answer, it’s usually "C".

Thank you, AI

 

Is there any point in me posting these vids explaining how this stuff works? Seemingly not!

 

Elon is getting planetary exploration sloppy seconds.

 

Yeah, but we do that with people too. We invariably listen to those who claim they have the simple solution to a problem and ignore the people who go on and on about difficulty and no matter how often we get burned by doing that we keep doing it again.

It was even a point in an episode of Star Trek TNG. When Beverly Crusher was linked to Picard's mind, she could see that at times he had no solid idea what to do he still gave the impression of confident knowledge. We follow a person who looks like they know what they are doing, so a person who wants to be followed is going to pretend they know what to do. Or as I suspect may often be the case, fool themselves into thinking they know what to do.

 

He's not even going to get that. If we go to the moon (if) I predict he's going to be overtaken by Blue Origin. His Starship lander idea is just so stupid.

 

Jimmy Ba and Tony Wu, two of the co-founders of xAI, both announced they were leaving the company this week. Other high level people like Hand Gao as well as lots of lower level engineers also left.