Stat Analysis

Discussion in 'MLS: News & Analysis' started by Jeremy Goodwin, Apr 4, 2003.

  1. Jeremy Goodwin

    Jeremy Goodwin Member+

    SSC Napoli
    Feb 16, 1999
    Club:
    Montreal Impact
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
  2. Revolt

    Revolt Member+

    Jun 16, 1999
    Davis, CA
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I like the +/- stat.
     
  3. NotAbbott

    NotAbbott Member

    Oct 11, 1999
    My Own Little World
    Okay, I'm a certified stat geek, so I'm thoroughly enjoying this new column. Ruiz scoring more than the rest of the team is very interesting, especially if the sophmore slump holds form. Maybe LA isn't as invulnerable as everyone keeps thinking, but then again, maybe APC can pick up the slack.

    The other interesting stat I found from last season is that only six players from Colorado scored goals during the regular season last year.

    Later,
    COZ
     
  4. ToMhIlL

    ToMhIlL Member+

    Feb 18, 1999
    Boxborough, MA
    Club:
    New England Revolution
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Stats can be both useful and worthless. Take this one for example:

    "Of course, Twellman had a spectacular rookie season, scoring 23 goals. But not a single one of them tied the game or put the Revs in the lead in the 80th minute or later. League MVP? Case closed."

    What is the difference between Twellman scoring the early goal (which he did on numerous occasions) and Ruiz scoring a late goal? Maybe a better comparison would have been how many times each of them scored in games that were decided by one goal.

    Tom
     
  5. hangthadj

    hangthadj Member+

    A.S. Roma
    Mar 27, 2001
    Zone 14
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Re: Re: Stat Analysis

    I don't see how useful it is, this isn't hockey where we play shifts...most the guys iout there would go 60+ minutes. It just doesn't seem very worthwhile to me.
     
  6. alf

    alf Member+

    Jun 29, 1999
    Illinois
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    I hear Robert DeNiro and Billy Crystal are suing MLS.
     
  7. ojsgillt

    ojsgillt Member

    Feb 27, 2001
    Lee's Summit MO
    Maybe these guys can help the broadcast crews with something meaningful to say. Stats in soccer are like rehtorical questions, just something to ponder.
     
  8. sljohn

    sljohn Member

    Apr 28, 2001
    Out of town
    Also from the article, "One final point: No player has scored 20 or more goals in two different MLS seasons. In fact, all seven of those who reached the 20 mark did so in their first seasons in the league and never again."

    It will be shocking if either Twellman or Ruiz scores 20 goals this season. For one, they both had their share of good luck on many occasions. For another, defenses will target them even more closely. And, finally, they both had the good fortune to make it all the way through last season without major injury.

    I like the +/- stat, if only because it's a helpful one for making fantasy league picks. I hope we'll get more information like this from the new stats company.

    Slightly OT: It's great to see all of the "little things" that MLS is getting right this off-season. It really provides a sense of how distracting it was last off-season to have contraction to deal with.
     
  9. Hattrix

    Hattrix Member

    Sep 1, 2002
    Chicago
    The "Game winning goal" stat almost covers this proposal, but I do think the "goal after 80th minute" stat is a relevant one. That part of the game is when things really matter. One stat I'd like to see (again): Without OT, what would the MLS table have been like?
     
  10. masoo

    masoo Member

    May 31, 2000
    Berkeley, CA
    The last time I looked, a goal scored in the first 80 minutes counted the same as a goal scored after the 80th minute. Apparently, those early goals really matter, too ...
     
  11. mcontento

    mcontento Member

    Jun 26, 2000
    Catalina Wine Mixer
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    That is one of the biggest misconceptions out there. Yes stats in soccer are not as clear as to a player's contribution as say in baseball, but you can easily see that a forward averaging nearly 2 points a game is more worthwhile than a guy averaging a point every 3 games only by looking at the stats alone.

    ***********

    I think the +/- stat is a great one, i wish they kept track of it more. As with hockey, the +/- stat coupled with the goals, assists, minutes stats really helps to paint the whole picture. Although as hangthedj said it isn't like hockey where they are playing shifts. Here it tells you more if your team is a consistant winner with you on the field or not.
     
  12. BenReilly

    BenReilly New Member

    Apr 8, 2002
    Don't bother explaining that one. Nobody will follow you, I'm afraid. MLB owners and managers waste tens of millions not realizing that a run allowed in the 7th inning is just as harmful as one allowed in the 9th.
     
  13. profiled

    profiled Moderator
    Staff Member

    Feb 7, 2000
    slightly north of a mile high
    Club:
    Los Angeles Galaxy
    When you score a goal in the 86th minute there is alot less time for a team to get back in the game then when you score a goal in say the 15th minute.

    It's almost a guarntee if you tie/take the lead in the last 10 minutes that you'll have earned a result.
     

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