Haven't been around here much, but if you recognize my name from BA or PL you'll know I keep a database of big underdogs...meaning, sides playing against favorites of under 2.00. I keep seeing people say that this WC has been crazily unpredictable, but at least from my perspective, it has been very, very predictable to this point. The record of all underdogs in my WC database going back to 1998 (not counting today's matches) is 32-52-142. That's 14% wins, 23% draws. So far in 2018 it's 2-3-17, 9% wins and 14% draws. KO rounds tend to throw up more upsets (particularly draws), but even still. The favorites are dominating so far. Some of the matches people express surprise about aren't in my database, like Croatia beating Argentina. Even if the Argies had been 1.98 instead of 2.02, though, that's not that big of a surprise. The third round of group play is where dogs in the range of 3.5 to 4.99 get outright wins. At the moment that means Denmark, Senegal, Panama, but it depends on where the odds close. At more than 5.00, draw would be the likelier play.