Relegation Watch '08 [R]

Discussion in 'Newcastle United' started by penubly, Jan 30, 2008.

  1. penubly

    penubly Member

    Feb 11, 2002
    Club:
    Borussia Dortmund
    We've got 13 games left this season. Using current league standings, only 4 of these games are with teams below us in the table.

    Here's the question: How many points do we take from the remaining fixtures?

    Remaining Fixtures:

    Feb. 3 - Middlesborough (Home) Win - 3 pts.
    Feb. 9 - Aston Villa (Away)
    Feb. 23 - Man U (Home)
    Mar. 1 - Blackburn (Home) Tie - 1 pt.
    Mar. 8 - Liverpool (Away)
    Mar. 22 - Fulham (Home) Win - 3 pts.
    Mar.30 - Tottenham (Away)
    Apr. 5 - Reading (Home) Win - 3 pts.
    Apr. 12 - Portsmouth (Away)
    Apr. 19 - Sunderland (Home) Win - 3 pts.
    Apr. 26 - West Ham (Away) Tie - 1 pt.
    May 3 - Chelsea (Home)
    May 11 - Everton (Away)

    I've looked it over and I can hope for 12 points from the teams currently below us (Middlesborough, Fulham, Reading, Sunderland.) I'm hoping we can take a point each from Blackburn and West Ham. That gets us over 40 points, but it is an iffy proposition.

    Even if Liverpool continue to implode, we do not have a good record against them. Tottenham looks to be responding to Ramos, and Everton are playing well. I don't have a good feel for Portsmouth or Chelsea, but we didn't play well against either club earlier.

    My final points prediction: 43

    Let's put our forecasting skills on record and see what happens.
     
  2. NUFCBayern

    NUFCBayern Moderator
    Staff Member

    Apr 9, 2004
    Columbus, OH
    Club:
    FC Bayern München
    Re: Pucker factor: Looking ahead

    Feb. 3 - Middlesborough (Home) 3
    Feb. 9 - Aston Villa (Away) 0
    Feb. 23 - Man U (Home) 1
    Mar. 1 - Blackburn (Home) 0
    Mar. 8 - Liverpool (Away) 1
    Mar. 22 - Fulham (Home) 3
    Mar.30 - Tottenham (Away) 3
    Apr. 5 - Reading (Home) 1
    Apr. 12 - Portsmouth (Away) 0
    Apr. 19 - Sunderland (Home) 3
    Apr. 26 - West Ham (Away) 0
    May 3 - Chelsea (Home)0
    May 11 - Everton (Away) 1

    16 points is my prediction. 43 points overall.
     
  3. ZoomVT

    ZoomVT Member

    Jun 21, 2007
    Vermont
    Nat'l Team:
    Peru
    Re: Pucker factor: Looking ahead

    Feb. 3 - Middlesborough (Home) 3
    Feb. 9 - Aston Villa (Away) 1
    Feb. 23 - Man U (Home) 1
    Mar. 1 - Blackburn (Home) 3
    Mar. 8 - Liverpool (Away) 0
    Mar. 22 - Fulham (Home) 3
    Mar.30 - Tottenham (Away) 1
    Apr. 5 - Reading (Home) 1
    Apr. 12 - Portsmouth (Away) 0
    Apr. 19 - Sunderland (Home) 3
    Apr. 26 - West Ham (Away) 0
    May 3 - Chelsea (Home)0
    May 11 - Everton (Away) 1

    17pts. 44 total...
     
  4. tigerdave

    tigerdave Member

    Aug 23, 2004
    Buhl, Idaho
    Club:
    Newcastle United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Re: Pucker factor: Looking ahead

    Feb. 3 - Middlesborough (Home) 3
    Feb. 9 - Aston Villa (Away) 0
    Feb. 23 - Man U (Home) 0
    Mar. 1 - Blackburn (Home) 1
    Mar. 8 - Liverpool (Away) 0
    Mar. 22 - Fulham (Home) 3
    Mar.30 - Tottenham (Away) 0
    Apr. 5 - Reading (Home) 1
    Apr. 12 - Portsmouth (Away) 0
    Apr. 19 - Sunderland (Home) 3
    Apr. 26 - West Ham (Away) 0
    May 3 - Chelsea (Home) 0
    May 11 - Everton (Away) 0

    11 points, 38 total.
     
  5. ToonUSA

    ToonUSA New Member

    Jan 11, 2005
    Re: Pucker factor: Looking ahead

    Feb. 3 - Middlesborough (Home) 3
    Feb. 9 - Aston Villa (Away) 0
    Feb. 23 - Man U (Home) 1
    Mar. 1 - Blackburn (Home) 1
    Mar. 8 - Liverpool (Away) 0
    Mar. 22 - Fulham (Home) 3
    Mar.30 - Tottenham (Away) 3
    Apr. 5 - Reading (Home) 3
    Apr. 12 - Portsmouth (Away) 0
    Apr. 19 - Sunderland (Home) 3
    Apr. 26 - West Ham (Away) 1
    May 3 - Chelsea (Home) 3
    May 11 - Everton (Away) 0

    21 points for a rousing total of 48. Have a little faith people...
     
  6. mplsTOON

    mplsTOON Member

    Apr 25, 2006
    @ St James Park
    Club:
    Newcastle United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    --other--
    Re: Pucker factor: Looking ahead

    yes I know my math maybe wrong but WTF?!?

    ********in A Right...BTW I corrected yer post.

    Absurdity and the embracement of Absurdity as a tactic and strategy tends to cloud my opinion.
     
  7. ToonUSA

    ToonUSA New Member

    Jan 11, 2005
    Re: Pucker factor: Looking ahead

    Like ******** we'll get points at Aston Villa and Pompey but I like your optimism.
     
  8. Shameus

    Shameus Member

    Apr 3, 2007
    Middle of a Migraine
    Club:
    Newcastle United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Re: Pucker factor: Looking ahead (aka 2nd Half Prediction Thread)

    Feb. 3 - Middlesborough (Home) Tie/1pt, if we don't get it we won't get 3 points again for a while
    Feb. 9 - Aston Villa (Away) 0
    Feb. 23 - Man U (Home) 0
    Mar. 1 - Blackburn (Home) 0
    Mar. 8 - Liverpool (Away) 0
    Mar. 17 -Birmingham (Away) Win/3pts
    Mar. 22 - Fulham (Home) Win/3 pts.
    Mar.30 - Tottenham (Away) 0
    Apr. 5 - Reading (Home) Win/3 pts.
    Apr. 12 - Portsmouth (Away) 0
    Apr. 19 - Sunderland (Home) Win/3 pts.
    Apr. 26 - West Ham (Away) 0
    May 3 - Chelsea (Home) 0
    May 11 - Everton (Away) 0

    I am being fully pessimistic here, and the run of play lately is backing this up my pessimism very well. I see only 13 pts from here on out. Giving us 40 pts total and putting us right in the relegation fight.
     
  9. penubly

    penubly Member

    Feb 11, 2002
    Club:
    Borussia Dortmund
    Re: Pucker factor: Looking ahead (aka 2nd Half Prediction Thread)

    Well, there goes 2 of the points we were counting on, so I've got to revise my season total to 41.

    Feb. 3 - Middlesborough (Home) Tie - 1 point:mad:

    Feb. 9 - Aston Villa (Away)
    Feb. 23 - Man U (Home)
    Mar. 1 - Blackburn (Home) Tie - 1 pt.
    Mar. 8 - Liverpool (Away)
    Mar. 22 - Fulham (Home) Win - 3 pts.
    Mar.30 - Tottenham (Away)
    Apr. 5 - Reading (Home) Win - 3 pts.
    Apr. 12 - Portsmouth (Away)
    Apr. 19 - Sunderland (Home) Win - 3 pts.
    Apr. 26 - West Ham (Away) Tie - 1 pt.
    May 3 - Chelsea (Home)
    May 11 - Everton (Away)
     
  10. JayRockers!

    JayRockers! Member+

    Aug 4, 2001
    Re: Pucker factor: Looking ahead (aka 2nd Half Prediction Thread)

    We only need 5 wins and 2 draws now instead of 6 wins to assure safety. And we only play 3 teams below us in the table as of this date.

    Thx,

    Jay!
     
  11. tigerdave

    tigerdave Member

    Aug 23, 2004
    Buhl, Idaho
    Club:
    Newcastle United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Re: Pucker factor: Looking ahead

    9, 36.
     
  12. tigerdave

    tigerdave Member

    Aug 23, 2004
    Buhl, Idaho
    Club:
    Newcastle United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Re: Pucker factor: Looking ahead (aka 2nd Half Prediction Thread) [R]

    Um. We're missing Birmingham from that schedule. So 10, 37. >.>
     
  13. penubly

    penubly Member

    Feb 11, 2002
    Club:
    Borussia Dortmund
    Re: Pucker factor: Looking ahead (aka 2nd Half Prediction Thread) [R]

    Jeez, I'm losing it. Don't know how I missed Birmingham.


    Feb. 3 - Middlesborough (Home) Tie - 1 point

    Feb. 9 - Aston Villa (Away)
    Feb. 23 - Man U (Home)
    Mar. 1 - Blackburn (Home) Tie - 1 pt.
    Mar. 8 - Liverpool (Away)
    Mar. 17 - Birmingham (Away) - 3 pts.
    Mar. 22 - Fulham (Home) Win - 3 pts.
    Mar.30 - Tottenham (Away)
    Apr. 5 - Reading (Home) Win - 3 pts.
    Apr. 12 - Portsmouth (Away)
    Apr. 19 - Sunderland (Home) Win - 3 pts.
    Apr. 26 - West Ham (Away) Tie - 1 pt.
    May 3 - Chelsea (Home)
    May 11 - Everton (Away)

    So that hopefully gives us 42 come May!
     
  14. Dirt McGirt

    Dirt McGirt Member+

    Jun 20, 2005
    Phoenix, AZ
    Club:
    Seattle Sounders
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Re: Pucker factor: Looking ahead (aka 2nd Half Prediction Thread) [R]

    We may go down. We're awful and it seems we're regressing. Thank God for Derby but the real key is Sunderland and Fulham need to keep losing. After today I'm convinced the Smoggies will sit higher then us come seasons end. I just don't see us in our current form getting to 40 points.
     
  15. tigerdave

    tigerdave Member

    Aug 23, 2004
    Buhl, Idaho
    Club:
    Newcastle United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Re: Pucker factor: Looking ahead (aka 2nd Half Prediction Thread) [R]

    Don't forget about Reading. They're awful right now. Fulham just might nick it and stay up, I think. I called my shot to hoosiertoon earlier, Wigan, Derby, Reading to go down. We'll finish on 36 points but should still clear the drop by 10 points by my projections.
     
  16. ToonUSA

    ToonUSA New Member

    Jan 11, 2005
    Re: Pucker factor: Looking ahead (aka 2nd Half Prediction Thread) [R]

    Including Zulus it's: 24 points with 51 to finish.
     
  17. Dirt McGirt

    Dirt McGirt Member+

    Jun 20, 2005
    Phoenix, AZ
    Club:
    Seattle Sounders
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Re: Pucker factor: Looking ahead (aka 2nd Half Prediction Thread) [R]

    Correct Reading is the only team worse than on us in the Form Table. The thing about Reading though is they can score in bunches and have a top manager in Coppell. I see them getting it right and just staying clear. Wigan is playing better at the moment and they're a tough team to breakdown now under Jewell. We on the other hand can't score and are very easy to breakdown for teams with pace.
     
  18. tigerdave

    tigerdave Member

    Aug 23, 2004
    Buhl, Idaho
    Club:
    Newcastle United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Re: Pucker factor: Looking ahead (aka 2nd Half Prediction Thread) [R]

    It only took a week for you to be right.

    10, 37. Should be enough but damn we're making it interesting. Too much class to go down, but they said the same about Roeder's West Ham.

    Right now:

    1. Arsenal 60
    2. Man Utd 58
    3. Chelsea 54
    4. Everton 47
    5. Villa 44
    6. Liverpool 43
    7. Portsmouth 41
    8. Citeh 41
    9. Blackburn 39
    10. West Ham 37
    11. Sp*rs 32
    12. Boro 29
    13. NUFC 28
    14. S*nderland 26
    15. Bolton 25
    16. Wigan 23
    17. Birmingham 22
    18. Reading 22
    19. Fulham 19
    20. Derby 9


    Next three games:
    NUFC: Manyoo, Blackburn, Liverpool
    SMBs: Pompey, Derby, Everton
    Bolton: Blackburn, Liverpool, Manyoo
    Wigan: Derby, Citeh, Arsenal

    We'll be in 15th or 16th by the end of March.
     
  19. Dirt McGirt

    Dirt McGirt Member+

    Jun 20, 2005
    Phoenix, AZ
    Club:
    Seattle Sounders
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Re: Pucker factor: Looking ahead (aka 2nd Half Prediction Thread) [R]

    and Forest, Leeds, Palace, and even Man U back in the day. kK better get this sorted asap. Looking at this schedule I just don't see more than 5 or 6 points being possible.
     
  20. Dirt McGirt

    Dirt McGirt Member+

    Jun 20, 2005
    Phoenix, AZ
    Club:
    Seattle Sounders
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
  21. penubly

    penubly Member

    Feb 11, 2002
    Club:
    Borussia Dortmund
    Re: Pucker factor: Looking ahead (aka 2nd Half Prediction Thread) [R]

    I have a feeling that tool is going to see a ton of hits!
     
  22. Dirt McGirt

    Dirt McGirt Member+

    Jun 20, 2005
    Phoenix, AZ
    Club:
    Seattle Sounders
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Re: Pucker factor: Looking ahead (aka 2nd Half Prediction Thread) [R]

    Feb. 3 - Middlesborough (Home) Tie - 1 point

    Feb. 9 - Aston Villa (Away)
    Feb. 23 - Man U (Home)
    Mar. 1 - Blackburn (Home)
    Mar. 8 - Liverpool (Away)
    Mar. 17 - Birmingham (Away) -
    Mar. 22 - Fulham (Home) Win - 3 pts.
    Mar.30 - Tottenham (Away)
    Apr. 5 - Reading (Home) - 1 pts.
    Apr. 12 - Portsmouth (Away)
    Apr. 19 - Sunderland (Home) -1 pts.
    Apr. 26 - West Ham (Away)
    May 3 - Chelsea (Home)
    May 11 - Everton (Away)

    32 Points with a possible 2 more points from the Brummies and Blackburn fixture. The Reading game is highlighted for my predication as Dennis Wise's first game in charge of the 1st team. It's ********ing grim boys and if Deuce and EJ decide to get hot we're in trouble.
     
  23. JayRockers!

    JayRockers! Member+

    Aug 4, 2001
    Re: Pucker factor: Looking ahead (aka 2nd Half Prediction Thread) [R]

    Don't we get 3 points a win? You've got us on 37.

    Thx,

    Jay!
     
  24. Dirt McGirt

    Dirt McGirt Member+

    Jun 20, 2005
    Phoenix, AZ
    Club:
    Seattle Sounders
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Re: Pucker factor: Looking ahead (aka 2nd Half Prediction Thread) [R]

    No I just copied someone else's list. Reading is poor but I don't think we can keep them from scoring so only 1 point.
     
  25. ToonUSA

    ToonUSA New Member

    Jan 11, 2005
    Re: Pucker factor: Looking ahead (aka 2nd Half Prediction Thread) [R]

    My table:

    1. Arsenal 93 pts
    2. Man Utd 84 pts
    3. Chelsea 79 pts
    4. Liverpool 72 pts (+2 GD over Eveton)
    5. Everton 72 pts
    6. Aston Villa 70 pts (+11 GD on Man City)
    7. Man City 70 pts
    8. Pompey 64 pts
    9. Blackburn 57 pts
    10. West Ham 54 pts
    11. Tottenham 49 pts
    12. Newcastle United 47 pts
    13. Bolton 35 pts
    14. Boro 35 pts
    15. Sunderland 34 pts
    16. Wigan 30 pts
    17. Fulham 27 pts (+5 GD on Reading)
    18. Reading 27 pts
    19. Birmingham City 26 pts
    20. Derby County 16 pts
     

Share This Page