[R]La Zanzara's HOT PICKS 02/05[R]

Discussion in 'UEFA and Europe' started by La Zanzara di Bosfor, May 2, 2003.

  1. La Zanzara di Bosfor

    May 2, 2003
    Turkey
    BUNDESLIGA 2 -

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    SC FREIBURG v 1. FC KÖLN
    2.04 3.2 4.00 (Betfair)
    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    My Pick: 1x, under

    I would take Freiburg with Levelball, but seems as if no bookie offers it!
    Surprising!

    Well, on Monday Koeln made their comeback to the Bundesliga clear and the
    whole Area of Cologne celebrated it for days. And the players - how much
    have they drunken? Well, thinking about the people from Koeln, where I lived
    for a while, I guess a lot. Reporters have seen most of the players the
    whole night long on Mondays in the pubs, others on the night to Wednesday as
    well. Tired?
    But all the pressure is now away from their shoulders, they can prove now,
    why they are at the top of the table. Koeln-Coach Funkel announced, that
    they now wanna get the title of Bundesliga2-Champion as well. But some of
    the Koeln-Players won't be on the pitch again: Springer, Dwoorak and Iyodo
    injured, Helbig is suspended - four important guys can be even for Köln too
    many. When they promoted three years ago to the Bundesliga - also after the
    30th round - they lost the next match at home (!) against Karlsruhe 1:2.
    Freiburg, placed 2nd, needs these points more urgent than Koeln. Frankfurt,
    Mainz and Fürth are all 5 points and more behind them, but anyway, Freiburg
    can't afford to lose now again - 6 points, 2 wins, and promotion is save.
    Freiburg can play with their best players on Friday, and well - they really
    know how to play. Great offensive football, all players have brilliant
    technical skills - but the big problem of SC Freiburg is: They always wanna
    make goals like Maradonna or Pele - but the Gerd Müller, Van Nistelroy-Goals
    are needed - well the two forwards of Freiburg would nowhere else play in
    the front. One is a classical offensive midfielder (Guie-Mien), the other
    one a brillian right-winger (Iashvili). Great georgian Levan Kobiashvili
    comes back to the team, as well as the defenders Riether and Diarra -
    without these three, Freiburg lost to Fürth 0:4.
    Anyway, I see the homeadvantage for Freiburg, but they will have problems to
    score against an always well organized defense from Cologne. 1 is a good
    pick, but the odds are too low around actually. That's why I take medium
    stakes.

    http://www.scfreiburg.com/
    http://www.badische-zeitung.de/
    http://www.fckoeln.de/
    http://www.express.de

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    Union Berlin v LR Ahlen
    1.93 3.25 3.30
    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    My Pick: Under and Berlin (0) 1,60 @Interwetten


    Well, Union Berlin plays from a save position, but won't give that match
    away that easily today. Although Berlin has only lost one (!) of the last 10
    matches, the critical media of the german capital is very angry about
    Votava. They won 3 of the last 10, but drawed 6 times and there were a lot
    of 0:0 among the results. Already fans wanted the coach to get fired. But
    maybe they play a boring style, but hey, they play succesful. Frankfurt wasn
    't able to find a way through the defense of Berlin last Friday and lost
    important points.
    Ahlen is fighting for staying in the league, but they have big problems at
    the moment. It looks like as if the team has problems to realize, that only
    fighting helps them at the moment. But are the able to score against a team,
    where so many teams had problems so far??? Well, I have some doubts about
    it, and I guess, coach Lorant is not the right person for a team, that plays
    in the relegationzone. His method to motivate his players is oldfashioned
    and rude. He never was popular among players. Velkoborsky - one of the best
    from Ahlen - is suspended.
    Delicious: Expensive coach Lorant actually works for free for Ahlen - but he
    would get paid 300.000 Euro, when Ahlen stays in the league. A good reason
    for Lorant, to become really nervous.

    http://www.fc-union-berlin.de/
    http://www.lrahlen.de/

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    FC St. Pauli v W. Burghausen
    1.78 3.35 3.75
    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    Pick: 1, 1x

    Well, today the "Kiez" is burning. The clever supporters of Pauli started an
    event called "Give your last shirt for Pauli"..St.Pauli had bad luck
    in the last matches. Anyway, this time it is WIN or DIE! If they don't win
    now, it will be a disaster for Pauli and Hamburg. Relegation would be surer
    than ever and hard to avoid. Maybe good that their opponent is Burghausen
    now. Well, bad for Pauli, in the last matches they had to play against the
    topclubs: Koeln, Fürth, Freiburg, Trier. And they performed well! Lost only
    against the mighty team from Koeln. Burghausen played the last three againt
    the worst teams in the league from Mannheim, Reutlingen and Oberhausen.
    Defender Nascimento returns to the line-up, coach Gerber is thinking about
    him as forward today.And Pauli has a small problem on the
    goalkeeper-position, both 1st and 2nd keeper are doubtful, the doctors are
    trying to heal them until this evening - if not, second team goalkeeper
    Miethe would have to play. The second team plays in the 4th league.... And
    Bulat, 2nd keeper, has psychological problems in important matches.
    Burghausen is save, plays for nothing - and I can't see them winning at all
    at Pauli. The fans will push the team to an important win - if Pauli is not
    too nervous. And I would have some doubts, if the goalkeeper today is not
    Müller - maybe take a late look on the line-ups: if the goalkeepers name is
    Miethe or Bulat, you should better avoid it.

    http://www.fcstpauli.de/
    http://www.sv-wacker.de/
    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------
    -

    GER. REGIONALLIGA
    NORTH
    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    SV BABELSBERG v WERDER BREMEN
    most bookies don't offer
    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    Pick: 2

    Babelsberg is already relegated, because they don't get a license for next
    season. So, they don't compete normal anymore - and Bremen is one of the best
    awayteams in 3rd-League, so that won't be a bigger problem I guess.
    But most Bookmakers don't offer this match at all. But if you find it, you
    can take Bremen here.
    ________________________________________________________________________
    SOUTH

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    WEHEN - AALEN
    1.80 3.35 3.50
    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    Pick: 1x, under. You can take 1 here, but somehow I smell a draw - so a draw
    cover would be wiser!

    Both teams will meet next season again - they can't neither promote or get
    relegated. The motivation for Wehen could be, to improve in the standing.
    They are now at 12th position, but only 3 points behind the 7th, which is
    Aalen....
    Wehen won all of their last four matches at home, while Aalen lost three in
    a row, when a lot of players were suspended or injured. But today, the team
    from Aalen plays again with the best team.


    http://www.sv-wehen.de/
    http://www.vfr-aalen.de/
    _________________________________
    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    ELVERSBERG - SIEGEN
    2.00 3.30 2.95
    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    Pick: 1x should be save. Homewin possible.

    There is still a small danger for Elversberg to fall down to the relegation
    zone again. But they improved this year, and still one more win and they
    should avoid relegation finally. Elversberg played three great last matches,
    defeated the strong team from Saarbrücken 2:0 away, drawed at home against
    the topteam from Augsburg and got the three points at Pfullendorf - all
    three teams are among the first 7 in the table. Siegen is harmless on the
    road and plays actually on for holding their position in the midfield.

    http://www.sv07elversberg.de/
    http://www.sportfreunde-online.de/
    __________________________________________________

    AUSTRIA - 1st DIVISION

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    MATTERSBERG - LEOBEN
    1.66 3.25 4.30
    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    Pick: Mattersburg should normally win it by 2 - but no suggestion here

    Mattersberg has already promoted and won the 1st.Division-Title. And only
    one team can promote - how boring actually. Leoben has big financial
    problems at the moment, and didn't get a licence in first instance for next
    season. Normally a big pick on Mattersberg, but they concentrate on
    Cupsemifinal.

    http://www.sv-mattersburg.at/
    http://www.dsv-leoben.at/

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    WIENER SC - INTERWETTEN.COM
    2.30 3.20 2.55
    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

    Pick: No Bet suggested. x2 looks save. 2 possible.

    Most bookie call Interwetten.com still "Untersiebenbrünn", except
    www.interwetten.com of course....Well, the poor team from Vienna has lost 5
    in a row now and has to play in Austrian Regionalliga next year.
    Interwetten.com hasn't played well in the last weeks, but where is the
    motivation? Nothing to win or lose, the Austrians should change their
    league-system.
    Wien played so poor in the last weeks, that it would be rather surprising,
    when they win a point today.

    http://www.wienersportklub.at/
    http://www.sc-interwetten.com/

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    KAPFENBERG - LINZER ASK
    1.85 3.25 3.40
    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

    Pick: No bet suggested. x2 looks saver than 1x - x could be worth a try.

    Linz is in a great form, they have won 11/15 points in the last 5, while
    Kapfenberg hasn't won for four matches. The same like in the previous
    matches: There is no motivation at all for both. They are secured, Linz may
    could change the position with Kapfenberg today, but I would avoid to bet
    it - it is much too open.

    http://www.ksv-fussball.at/
    http://www.lask.at/
    __________________________________________________________


    HOLLAND EERENDIVISIE

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    EXCELSIOR - DE GRAFSCHAP
    1.65 3.65 4.35
    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    Pick: Excelsior

    This match will be very crucial for both teams as it's a matter of life and
    death. Excelsior at 17th place with record 5-7-17 29-51 and De Graafschap is
    the 1st team but at bottom of the table (4-5-20 28-71). Excelsior is the
    worst home team in the league but De Graafschap makes it a bit better as
    they are the worst away team and have managed to get only one point and
    6 goals scored at away this season. A place in the top division is in
    Graafschaps own hands because the rest of the season they will play against
    other teams in the battle but if they lose this game, it's very probable
    that nothing can save them anymore. A quite long injury list won't make it
    any easier for Graafschap. Out for sure from this match will be Rene Bot,
    Rody Turpijn, Edwin Hermans, Berthil ter Avest, Jean Paul van Gastel and Tim
    Bakens. Also Jason Culina is suspended. Excelsior has also some injury
    problems but not as bad as the opponents
    Probably the odds for Excelsior has been slashed a bit because of these
    injuries but I still believe that Excesior is worth of a bet at 1,8.

    http://www.sc-excelsior.nl/
    http://www.mijngraafschap.nl/
    ___________________________________________


    -ITALIA - Seria B
    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    PALERMO - NAPOLI
    2.05 2.68 3.66
    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    Pick: Small stakes on X

    Apparently Palermo has not bigger reasons as Napoli in this contest, but in
    front of the their own supporters they wanna show something to pay something
    back after a very disappointing season so far. But Palermo has never
    convinced this seasons at home, just a few wins and faces now their close
    friends from Napoli - that need any points, to avoid a relegation. Can you
    imagine this tradiotional club playing in Seria C?. Important players are
    absent for both sides: Mutarelli is suspended, but forward Santana Maniero
    rejoins the team, Napoli misses Mancini, Troise, Sesa and the young Floro
    Flores. Especially the offense of Napoli is weakened without them. Well, one
    point is actually not enough for Napoly, but better than nothing. Low stakes
    on a draw and under suggested.
    ___________________________________________


    -IRELAND EIRCOM-LEAGUE (only short - time time time)
    http://www.fai.ie

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    SHELBOURNE - St.PATRICKS
    2.10 3.30 3.00
    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

    Pick: 1x looks save. 1 with x-cover.

    Derby at Dublin. Shelbourne started with three wins into the season and
    drawed last week against Drogheda. St. Patrick had an average start, won 1,
    lost 1, two x. The Shells are my favourite team from Ireland, and I see them
    winning this derby as well, but it will be quite a close match - but on-loan
    Wolves striker Jimmi Lee Jones and Ugandan international Mbabazi Livingstone
    are doubtful for St.Patrick today, both scored in St.Patricks last week
    victory over
    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    WATERFORD - BOHEMIANS
    3.70 3.30 1.85
    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

    Pick: No bet suggested. But: Waterford could surprise the champion here with
    good odds!

    The newly promoted team from Waterford has a sold out arena today when
    facing the most famous club from Ireland, last seasons winner Bohemians
    Dublin. Waterford really surprised with three wins in a row, but the
    Bohemians are too experienced, to give this match that easily away. Although
    their first four matches were rather disappointing (1-2-1), they have still
    a chance to win at Waterford.

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    DROGHEDA - LONGFORD
    2.37 3.25 2.62
    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

    Pick: No Bet, smells like a draw.

    Both sides have a bad start, Drogheda still without important players and
    Longford with problems in the defense. Open match with a close end, maybe a
    draw.

    _______________________________________________________________________

    SUMMARY OF MY PICKS

    - SC FREIBURG v 1. FC KÖLN
    Pick: 1x, under
    - UNION BERLIN V LR AHLEN
    Pick: Under and Berlin (0)
    - FC ST. PAULI V W. BURGHAUSEN
    Picks: 1, 1x
    - SV BABELSBERG v WERDER BREMEN
    Pick: 2 - but no motivation for both sides
    - WEHEN - AALEN
    Pick: 1x, under. You can take 1 here, draw cover would be wiser!
    - ELVERSBERG - SIEGEN
    Pick: 1x should be save. Homewin possible.
    - MATTERSBERG - LEOBEN
    Pick: Mattersburg should normally win it by 2 - but no suggestion here
    - WIENER SC - INTERWETTEN.COM
    Pick: No Bet suggested. x2 looks save. 2 possible.
    - KAPFENBERG - LINZER ASK
    Pick: No bet suggested. x2 looks saver than 1x - x could be worth a try.
    - EXCELSIOR - DE GRAFSCHAP
    Pick: 1
    - PALERMO - NAPOLI
    Pick: Small stakes on X
    - SHELBOURNE - St.PATRICKS
    Pick: 1x looks save. 1 with x-cover
    - WATERFORD - BOHEMIANS
    No bet suggested. But: Waterford could surprise the champion here with good
    odds!
    - DROGHEDA - LONGFORD
    Pick: No Bet, smells like a draw.
    __________________________________________________________










    PLS CONTACT ME IF YOU LIKE MY PICKS. I WILL ADD YOU INTO MY MAILLIST. IT IS FREE: lazanzara_db@yahoo.com AS SOON AS YOU SEND ME MAIL THAT INCLUDE 'I WANT TO JOIN YOU', YOU WILL RECIVE MY DAILY NEWSLETTER. DONT FORGET: IT S FREE. MY ONLY AIM TO BEAT BOOKIES.
     
  2. La Zanzara di Bosfor

    May 2, 2003
    Turkey
    PLS DONT MISUNDERSTAND ME;I have a staff, we are addicted persons, experienced punters from Germany, Finland, Turkey and Italy. We study hard for the european games. But during the weeks we are not able to post here (posting here is my job). I will be able to post here at the weekend, when I don't have to study. I am going to send our picks at the weekend. We only wanna give people from all over the world previews and picks, so that they know, how to invest their money on european soccer. People who would like to subscribe to the newsletter, get also previews for the matches during the week (also for other european sports) - that's what I wanted to express..J. But of course I will go on posting our predictions here in the next weeks at the weekend. Dont worry! And of course this is a free service.
     
  3. unclesox

    unclesox BigSoccer Supporter

    Mar 8, 2003
    209, California
    Club:
    FC Barcelona
    MY EYES ARE IN PAIN RIGHT ABOUT NOW!
    Did you REALLY type all that yourself?! :D ;)
     
  4. La Zanzara di Bosfor

    May 2, 2003
    Turkey
    HEHEHE....

    We are 3 persons. So it was easy to type it. :) We do it everyday.
     
  5. unclesox

    unclesox BigSoccer Supporter

    Mar 8, 2003
    209, California
    Club:
    FC Barcelona
    Thanks a lot for the link to Koeln, as they are one of my favorite clubs. But I don't understand German. Does the club have an English link?
    Great to have them back in the Bundesliga! :D
     
  6. La Zanzara di Bosfor

    May 2, 2003
    Turkey
    ...am very sorry to write my analyses in wrong thread...

    And unclesox;

    They have not an ENGLISH page :(
    You can use translationmachines like:
    http://babelfish.altavista.com/babelfish/

    I am sure Koeln will built an english site for the next season...
     

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