Project 2010 Update

Discussion in 'USA Men: News & Analysis' started by voros, Jul 14, 2005.

  1. voros

    voros Member

    Jun 7, 2002
    Parts Unknown
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    We're at the midway point in the MLS season, and now that we've seen some of the new blood and the U20s play, I figure it's a good spot for an update.

    Here are the number of players by birth year, with the numbers picked based on the 2002 WC ages of all the teams:

    Code:
    Birth Year       GK  D/M/F
    1987 or later     1     16
    1983 to 1986      2     32
    1979 to 1982      4     29
    1975 to 1978      2     12
    1974 or earlier   1      1
    Goalkeepers
    1. Tim Howard - 1979
    2. D.J. Countess - 1982
    3. Jon Busch - 1976
    4. Nick Rimando - 1979
    5. Kevin Hartman - 1974
    6. Adin Brown - 1978
    7. Brad Guzan - 1984
    8. Steve Cronin - 1983
    9. Zach Wells - 1981
    10. Marcus Rein - 1987

    Left Backs
    1. Spector, Jonathan - 1986
    2. Burciaga, Jr., Jose - 1981
    3. Dunivant, Todd - 1980
    4. Ward, Tim - 1987
    5. Whitbread, Zak - 1984
    6. Karbassiyoon, Danny - 1984
    7. Pearce, Heath - 1984
    9. Barrett, Wade - 1976
    9. Collier, Jonathan - 1989
    10. Wingert, Chris - 1982

    Right Backs
    1. Cherundolo, Steve - 1979
    2. Ihemelu, Ugo - 1983
    3. Wynne, Marvell - 1986
    4. Gray, Kelly - 1981
    5. Sarkodie, Ofori - 1988
    6. Albright, Chris - 1979
    7. Hejduk, Frankie - 1974
    8. Moor, Drew - 1984
    9. Freeman, Hunter - 1985
    10. Simek, Frankie - 1984

    Center Backs
    1. Onyewu, Oguchi - 1982
    2. Bocanegra, Carlos - 1979
    3. Gibbs, Cory - 1980
    4. Marshall, Chad - 1984
    5. Borchers, Nat - 1981
    6. Parkhurst, Michael - 1984
    7. Robinson, Eddie - 1978
    8. DeMerit, Jay - 1980
    9. Sturgis, Nathan - 1987
    10. Wallace, Anthony - 1989
    11. Califf, Dan - 1980
    12. Goodson, Clarence - 1982
    13. Parke, Jeff - 1982
    14. Cochrane, Ryan - 1983
    15. Boswell, Bobby - 1983

    Left Mids
    1. Beasley, DaMarcus - 1982
    2. Mapp, Justin - 1984
    3. Convey, Bobby - 1983
    4. Quaranta, Santino - 1984
    5. Davis, Brad - 1981
    6. Kirk, Quavas - 1988
    7. Alvarez, Arturo - 1985
    8. John, Will - 1985
    9. Jimenez, Christian - 1986
    10. Victorine, Sasha - 1978

    Right Mids
    1. Gaven, Eddie - 1986
    2. Noonan, Pat - 1980
    3. Szetela, Daniel - 1987
    4. Mullan, Brian - 1978
    5. Philipakos, Peter - 1983
    6. Molinar, Temistocles - 1990
    7. Klein, Chris - 1976
    8. Kovalenko, Dema - 1977
    9. Soroka, Ryan - 1988
    10. Gros, Josh - 1982

    Defensive Mids
    1. Clark, Ricardo - 1983
    2. O'Brien, John - 1977
    3. Mastroeni, Pablo - 1976
    4. Simms, Clyde - 1982
    5. O'Rourke, Danny - 1983
    6. Besagno, Nikolas - 1988
    7. Bradley, Michael - 1987
    8. Carroll, Brian - 1981
    9. Pause, Logan - 1981
    10. Olsen, Ben - 1977

    Attacking Mids
    1. Donovan, Landon - 1982
    2. Dempsey, Clint - 1983
    3. Adu, Freddy - 1989
    4. Feilhaber, Benny - 1985
    5. Arvizu, David - 1988
    6. Grabavoy, Ned - 1983
    7. Martino, Kyle - 1981
    8. Ochoa, Sammy - 1986
    9. Mathis, Clint - 1976
    10. Rogers, Robbie - 1987

    Forwards
    1. Johnson, Eddie - 1984
    2. Buddle, Edson - 1981
    3. Twellman, Taylor - 1980
    4. Casey, Conor - 1981
    5. Ching, Brian - 1978
    6. Johnson, Jemal - 1985
    7. Eskandarian, Alecko - 1982
    8. Jaqua, Nate - 1981
    9. Rolfe, Chris - 1983
    10. Zimmerman, Preston - 1988
    11. Barrett, Chad - 1985
    12. Wolff, Josh - 1977
    13. Watson, Jamie - 1986
    14. Arnaud, Davy - 1980
    15. Gonzalez, Omar - 1988

    The youngest player on the list is Temi Molinar, a 1990 I've seen play and who just returned from a very good trip with the nats from Mexico. Obviously, I have no idea which 15 year olds are good enough to make the world cup in 2010, but I wanted to add one to demonstrate that they would not be a selection that was abnormally young.
     
  2. mtr8967

    mtr8967 New Member

    Aug 15, 2003
    I'm not sure what your numbers mean. Do you mean "if players at the 2010 World Cup are the same ages as in 2002, this will be the number born in these years?"
     
  3. voros

    voros Member

    Jun 7, 2002
    Parts Unknown
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Yeah for example players born from 1979 to 1983 would correspond to players born 1971 to 1975 for the 2002 WC.

    It's just a way of getting a reasonable mix of ages in there to give an idea of what "normal" ages are for world cup players. For example, of the 640 outfielders, only 8 were born between 1963 and 1966, so 8/640 = 1.25%. So then 1.25% * 90 = 1.125. So tack on 8 years from 2002 to 2010, and that would give you on average 1 out of the 90 outfield players born between 1971 and 1974 (I picked Frankie Hejduk to be that 1).

    So since 61 of the 90 players listed were born from 1979 to 1986 (which is a touch over two-thirds), that means that two-thirds of the outfielders at the 2002 WC were born between 1971 and 1978. (438 out of 640).
     
  4. DutchFootballRulez

    Jul 15, 2003
    Baltimore, MD
    Club:
    FC Barcelona
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I don't mean to rag on a 15-year old but Temistocles?!!?

    Dear God, I hope he has thick skin.
     
  5. voros

    voros Member

    Jun 7, 2002
    Parts Unknown
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    He's Temi for short.
     
  6. ElRoss425

    ElRoss425 Member

    Apr 24, 2002
    Club:
    Houston Dynamo
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    To me, Temi will from here on out be known as Testicles Molinar.
     
  7. Mimir19

    Mimir19 Member

    Jan 28, 2001
    Buffalo, NY
    That looks great.. Although I would object to your D-Mid spot.. I don't want to argue the merits of Ricardo v. Michael, but I think Michael Bradley is our best bet in that defensive middie spot as of now.. JOB and Pablo will be too old.. The other guys (Besagno, O'Rourke, Simms) are more unknown in regards to their consistency.. I have been really ecstatic with the play of Bradley.. I think the guy will be great in 2010..
     
  8. BigKris

    BigKris Member

    Jan 17, 2005
    Falls Church, VA
    I think we've got a lot of talent in the pipeline. I think there's a helluva lot of potential for 2010. I think the biggest variable/unknown at this point will be who succeeds Bruce -- how radical will the difference in philosophy and player selection be? How quickly will the team adjust? Will that person live up to expectations?
     
  9. sidefootsitter

    sidefootsitter Member+

    Oct 14, 2004
    Hejduk will be 36 in 2,010 ... pencil him in.
     
  10. terp fan

    terp fan New Member

    Nov 21, 2000
    If the USMNT does well in Germany there's no reason to think BA would be going anywhere and whenever he does he will have lots of input on a replacement.
     
  11. okcomputer

    okcomputer Member

    Jun 25, 2003
    dc
    Nice try Bob.
     
  12. ugaaccountant

    ugaaccountant New Member

    Oct 26, 2003
    He makes an excellent point, Bradley is very consistent right now and should only improve. Clark is intriguing and getting more consistent but right now Bradley is ahead of him, O'rourke, and Besagno in consistency.
     
  13. sidefootsitter

    sidefootsitter Member+

    Oct 14, 2004
    FYP.
     
  14. Steel Keeper

    Steel Keeper Member

    Jun 5, 2005
    Pittsburgh
    Awesome post. I really like how you analyzed it by age as well. But let me nitpick.

    GK:
    Guzan and Cronin higher, Hartman and Busch lower. Cannon should be on the list.

    LB:
    Check plus

    RB:
    No complaints

    CB:
    I like Gibbs more than Boca, but only a small disagreement. Conrad will still be in the top 15.

    LM:
    I certainly wouldn't classify Quaranta as a LM. More of a AM, RM, or even F. Would be near to top of list in those positions for me.

    RM:
    Noonan should make the 2006 roster and play a little, but he'll be 30, Philipakos will be in his prime. Not a Mullan man myself. Quaranta would be up there, certainly ahead of Noonan and right there with Szetela.

    DM:
    I like Besagno and Bradley more than that. Definetly top 5 in my book.

    AM:
    Sammy Ochoa, yuck. Feilhaber doesn't seem to have a position in Arena's diamond midfield. A true center midfielder like Dempsey.

    F:
    Every other position has great depth except for the one which probably needs it more than any other. Zimmerman should be higher. Kenny Cooper might deserve a spot. Eskandarian is too high.

    Otherwise, can't think of too much wrong.
     
  15. metx

    metx New Member

    Jun 3, 2004

    Why not better "COJONES" is the same in spanish
     
  16. Soccer Doc

    Soccer Doc Member+

    Nov 30, 2001
    Keene, NH
    Club:
    New England Revolution
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Be careful or he'll send his pet Lion after you. ;)

    (If you don't get the joke go ask your town Librarian) :D
     
  17. metx

    metx New Member

    Jun 3, 2004
    You listed some players that never been called to the Nat and other that are very irregular players as a players go, and too this date they are older players as:

    Burciaga...............24 willbe 29 by 2010
    Dunivant...............25.........30
    Wade Barrett.........30.........35
    Winger Chris..........24.........28
    Gray Kelly.............24..........28
    Albroght Chris........26..........31
    Broches Net..........24..........29
    Hejduk.................31..........36
    Victorine..............27..........32
    Mullan.................27..........32
    Klein...................29..........34
    Kovalenko............28..........33
    O'Brian John..........28..........33
    Mastro.................29.........34
    Olsen..................28.........33
    Wolf...................28..........33

    We are not going places with siniors citizens as this, we even never will cualified with this olds gots y you want to compit in a World Cuo you need a average of 26 years and youngers players, if not you will be retired before you start
     
  18. okcomputer

    okcomputer Member

    Jun 25, 2003
    dc
    no he isnt
     
  19. Stan Collins

    Stan Collins Member+

    Feb 26, 1999
    Silver Spring, MD
    Yes, clearly it should have been Cheezi Meltz. ;)
     
  20. swedust

    swedust Member+

    Aug 30, 2004
    For people complaining of who voros has included as being either too old for 2010 or too unproven: pay attention to the selection process he's using. He's not saying "this is who should be sent" but "based on range of player ages in WC02 overall, the following from these age groups might be candidates."

    Thanks voros; are the updates semi annual?

    A propos of nothing, this past Saturday was my first good look at Szetela and I for one am very impressed. He's got moves and size and smarts. He doesn't seem to get a lot of love on BS; maybe this will change post-Andrulis...?
     
  21. voros

    voros Member

    Jun 7, 2002
    Parts Unknown
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    They're basically whenever I feel like there's been a substantial number of players who have moved onto or off of the list. This one, for example, is after the U20s and half an MLS season which gives us a whole bunch of potential new players who might not have been on the radar before the season: Parkhurst, Feilhaber, Guzan, Rolfe, etc.
     
  22. okiebear

    okiebear New Member

    Mar 28, 2005
    Bucks County
    Given that even I would improve after Andrulis, this kid will be world-class very soon. Like Dempsey, he lives the game.
     
  23. robchap628

    robchap628 New Member

    Aug 28, 2004
    Atlanta
    as long as Bruce is still around
     
  24. fuschia

    fuschia Member

    Jan 28, 2005
    My librarian must not be smart. She says: :confused:


    The·mis·to·cles

    Athenian military and political leader. After persuading the Athenians to build a navy, he led the new fleet to victory over Persia in the Battle of Salamis (480).
     
  25. Steel Keeper

    Steel Keeper Member

    Jun 5, 2005
    Pittsburgh
    Hopefully our reincarnation of Themistocles, Testicles Molinar will live up to his name and bring the divided soccer nation of the United States together and turn it into the greatest world power through his political savvy and military genius, or as it would be in the 21st century, marketability and on-field brilliance.
     

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