Primary and Minor Election Thread

Discussion in 'Elections' started by EvanJ, Jul 21, 2021.

  1. bigredfutbol

    bigredfutbol Moderator
    Staff Member

    Sep 5, 2000
    Woodbridge, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Big time. Not only was the messaging terrible, but they completely failed to coordinate with local parties.
     
    Chesco United repped this.
  2. bigredfutbol

    bigredfutbol Moderator
    Staff Member

    Sep 5, 2000
    Woodbridge, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    It would only work in a vanishingly small minority of swing districts. Bacon got elected because he ran as a moderate while the NE Dems allowed a pro-Sanders progressive to squeak out a primary win vs a much more electable moderate of their own. Now that Bacon's an incumbent, he'll be real hard to get rid of.
     
  3. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Kara Eastman squeaked out a primary win with 51.64% in 2018, and any Democrat who lost in 2018 didn't have much chance in 2020. In 2020, the primary candidates got 62.1%, 31.2%, and 6.7%. Eastman isn't running again. Now that I live in the district, I hope Bacon doesn't get challenged by a farther right Republican because I think the Republican would win the general. Before redistricting, FiveThirtyEight called it the most even district in the country. Democrats wanted to undo the gerrymandering from ten years ago, Republicans wanted to divide Omaha to make all three districts safe R, and neither happened. I think Bacon is more likely to win by over 5% than to lose, and I wouldn't be shocked if he wins by double-digits. Bacon made an event to justify voting for infrastucture. I wanted him to run for governor because I have no hope that a Democrat can win that.

    Going back to the topic title, California Republican Devin Nunes will resign from the House to lead an organization Trump made. After a Democrat wins a safe special election in Florida on January 11 and is seated, there will be more vacancies that elected Republicans than that elected Democrats for the first time in this Congress. That assumes no other Democrat leaves soon.
     
    bigredfutbol repped this.
  4. bigredfutbol

    bigredfutbol Moderator
    Staff Member

    Sep 5, 2000
    Woodbridge, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Fair enough; I do think if Ashford had gotten the nomination in 2018 he would've won and probably been able to hold the seat in 2020. But I don't disagree with your assertion that Bacon has made the seat safer for the state GOP.

    (For the record, I don't dislike Eastman--I have friends who worked on her campaign--I just think she was the wrong candidate for the district. And I am far from sold on Jane Kleeb's leadership).

    The Governor's race (which, as you rightly note, will almost certainly be decided in the GOP primary) is shaping up to be interesting.

    I moved away over 21 years ago, given that my parents and many friends still live in Nebraska, it still matters to me. But man, the politics in the state have changed in the two-plus decades I've been gone.
     
  5. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Can't find a thread on foreign elections here, in any case that is some big news from Chile. The candidate of the Left won decisively yesterday against the far right / pro Pinochet candidate. The Chilean people really showed a great level of maturity yesterday.



     
    xtomx repped this.
  6. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    Nat'l Team:
    United States

    https://www.bigsoccer.com/threads/south-american-elections.1996685/
     
  7. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Nacional Tijuana repped this.
  8. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Incumbent goes down.

     
    rslfanboy repped this.
  9. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    NY assembly, a Democrat held seat that Trump did very well on. For some comments a heavily Jewish area.

     
  10. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I guess he ran as a bit of a YIMBY, hopefully he can deliver on that.

     
    Germerica and Dr. Wankler repped this.
  11. Dr. Wankler

    Dr. Wankler Member+

    May 2, 2001
    The Electric City
    Club:
    Chicago Fire
    Good. My wife and I are considering retiring in Pittsburgh.

    Meanwhile, our local "outsider" mayor (i.e. not born here) withstood a primary challenge from the old Machine (which has been repeatedly defeated since its last mayor got handcuffed and marched out of the courthouse by the feds in 2019) by about 80% to 20%. The losing Democrat got 150 fewer votes than the GOP candidates combined. Hopefully, the machine clowns won't run three independents in the fall... which isn't out of the realm of possibility.
     
    Deadtigers, bigredfutbol and Val1 repped this.
  12. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Cummo vs Adams is looking very likely.


     
  13. Val1

    Val1 Member+

    Arsenal
    Mar 12, 2004
    MD's Eastern Shore
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Great.

    Pittsburgh was on my wife's and my short list of retirement options as well. My wife and I met in DC as streetside missionaries and we've wanted to leave this rural nothingness and return back to the big city. Can't afford DC or Philly or New York, so we looked at secondary cities, and we really loved Pittsburgh. I am a Pirates fan, the city is gorgeous, the Carnegie Museum has both the specimen diplodicus and T-Rex and the Cathedral of Learning is as cool a university space as there is. Well, this side of the Lawn, that is. I am so enamored with the city that I am going to use it as the leitmotif for the US history I plan to write. (I'm reading The White City and the Steel City at present.)

    But... Pittsburgh is also home to Steeler's fans (heaven help you if they start winning again,) it's a little more remote given that most of my family/friends are closer to the Atlantic, and I kind of like mid-Atlantic weather, so I'm not sure I want that much snow.

    So we decided on Richmond. I cashed out after Liberation Day and we just bought our retirement house last week since Richmond is gentrifying so quickly. And as an added bonus, our bonus daughter will be our tenant for at least three or four years. (Unlike my real daughter, she's an immaculate housekeeper.)
     
  14. Dr. Wankler

    Dr. Wankler Member+

    May 2, 2001
    The Electric City
    Club:
    Chicago Fire


    I’ve heard great things about Richmond. We almost wound up working 50 miles away in Farmville, VA..

    we haven’t ruled out Illinois, where I have family (and we can afford) or Ithaca, NY.
     
    bigredfutbol and Val1 repped this.
  15. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Congrats @Val1, although you are betraying Maryland and moving to Va!
    Richmond is a decent place to be and it is much bluer than the eastern Shore!
     
    Deadtigers, Dr. Wankler and Val1 repped this.
  16. Germerica

    Germerica Member+

    May 2, 2012
    SoCal burbs
    Club:
    Los Angeles
    San Antonio TX mayoral election on Saturday. R’s think they have a chance but I’ll believe it when I see it.
     
  17. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    The best chance for Republicans in 25 years according to decision desk


     
  18. bigredfutbol

    bigredfutbol Moderator
    Staff Member

    Sep 5, 2000
    Woodbridge, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I’m happy for you but also a bit wistful—my wife and I used to talk about retiring in Richmond but it’s getting less affordable all the time.
    You’ll enjoy it—it’s a great little city.
     
    Deadtigers and Dr. Wankler repped this.
  19. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Germerica repped this.
  20. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    But the race was close. San Antonio is probably the most Latino large city in Texas.

    Results like this are bad news for Democrats.

     
  21. rslfanboy

    rslfanboy Member+

    Jul 24, 2007
    Section 26
    Yikes. 17% turn out? How many are just tuning out as opposed to turning out for GOP?

    edit: looks like San Antonio only gets 9-17% to turnout, and this was pretty high. Yikes!
     
    Deadtigers repped this.
  22. Deadtigers

    Deadtigers Member+

    Jul 23, 2015
    Independent Republic of the Bronx, NY
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    Ghana
    My buddy is from Pitt. One of ny fav cousins lives there now. Its about 3 hours from me. It is on my places to.visit.

    Ithaca? Howdy Neighbor. That is just north of the pop-soda border.
     
    Dr. Wankler repped this.
  23. Germerica

    Germerica Member+

    May 2, 2012
    SoCal burbs
    Club:
    Los Angeles
    Definitely symptomatic of a broader regional shift.

    Republicans are certainly still targeting the last couple Latino majority South Texas districts that are still in D hands. Well funded Mayra Flores (R) will be running against the incumbent Henry Cuellar (D) in TX-28.
     
  24. Germerica

    Germerica Member+

    May 2, 2012
    SoCal burbs
    Club:
    Los Angeles
    Big swing towards R's. Like a f*cking massive one.

     
  25. Germerica

    Germerica Member+

    May 2, 2012
    SoCal burbs
    Club:
    Los Angeles
    Mamdani wants to raise taxes on low income New Yorkers in order to maintain its sanctuary city status and subsidize MTA fare evaders.

     

Share This Page