Primary and Minor Election Thread

Discussion in 'Elections' started by EvanJ, Jul 21, 2021.

  1. Funkfoot

    Funkfoot Member+

    May 18, 2002
    New Orleans, LA
    Does anyone think Beto has a chance in Texas (running for governor)?
     
  2. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
    Club:
    FC Sankt Pauli
    Nat'l Team:
    Belgium
    Wow - shocking that CRT is old news!

     
  3. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
  4. rslfanboy

    rslfanboy Member+

    Jul 24, 2007
    Section 26
    Imagine that: states with less diversity and lower population tend to have more favorable views of their governor.
     
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  5. song219

    song219 BigSoccer Supporter

    Apr 5, 2004
    La Norte
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    Vanuatu
    Of course they are more popular because they are successful at keeping the coloreds out.
     
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  6. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    It's bad news for Democrats that the eleven least popular include four Democrats from swing states, Gretchen Whitmer (MI), Steve Sisolak (NV), Tom Wolf (PA and term-limited), and Tony Evers (WI). The four most popular governors are Republicans from states Biden won, and three of them are from MA, NH, and VT, which don't have term-limits. I wonder if Phil Scott will leave to run for Senate. Since Patrick Leahy is retiring, Scott will be more known than the Democrat with the possible exception of if the House Democrats runs for Senate since that person also won statewide.

    I read that Trump wants David Perdue to be a primary challenger to Brian Kemp. Some people go from governor to senator, or House to governor, but it's rare to go from senator to governor with or without time in between. Mike DeWine of OH is the only current governor who was a senator, and DeWine had 12 years in between.

    I went to watch Hofstra vs. South Carolina in the NCAA Women's Soccer Tournament played at Southern California (so two USC teams are there), with ads done by the Pac-12, and it opened with an ad for Glenn Youngkin, who won 17 days ago.
     
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  7. Funkfoot

    Funkfoot Member+

    May 18, 2002
    New Orleans, LA
    Republicans run on a platform of being total assholes, and they follow through. Democrats run promising to make things better, and they don't always succeed.
     
  8. edcalvi

    edcalvi Moderator
    Staff Member

    Olimpia
    Guatemala
    May 1, 2005
    US
    Nevada is way too blue for Sisolak to lose a reelection.
     
  9. superdave

    superdave Member+

    Jul 14, 1999
    VB, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Nevada is less blue than Virginia.
     
  10. edcalvi

    edcalvi Moderator
    Staff Member

    Olimpia
    Guatemala
    May 1, 2005
    US
    Virginia doesn't have 30,000 Californians moving to Las Vegas every year.
     
  11. song219

    song219 BigSoccer Supporter

    Apr 5, 2004
    La Norte
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    Vanuatu
    I'm truly curious. Based on what?
     
  12. xtomx

    xtomx Member+

    Chicago Fire
    Sep 6, 2001
    Northern Wisconsin, but not far from civilization
    Club:
    Chicago Fire
    Every elected official in Nevada, except for Secretary of State, is a Democrat.
    In Nevada, the last four presidential elections have gone Democratic (and 6 of the past 8).
    Both Senators and three of four House reps are Democrats,
    State assembly is strongly Democratic (26 D, 16 R).
    State Senate pretty strongly Democratic (12 D, 9 R)

    Virginia?
    Governor, AG and state assembly are Republicans.
    Every presidential election from Nixon to GWB has gone Republican (this has changed with Obama, Clinton and Biden).
    House delegation is 7 D, 4 R
    Of course, both Senators are Democrats.

    Nationally, the two state are pretty close.
    Statewide, it seems that Virginia is more Republican than Nevada, with the Republicans controlling the Governorship, AG, assembly and 1 vote away from being tied in the Senate.
     
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  13. superdave

    superdave Member+

    Jul 14, 1999
    VB, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Presidential race. Biden won Virginia by 10 points, he won Nevada by 2 1/2.
     
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  14. song219

    song219 BigSoccer Supporter

    Apr 5, 2004
    La Norte
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    Vanuatu
    Nevada Democrats have I belive swept all statewide elective offices and they dominate the congressional delegation more than they do in VA. Some of the newly elected Democratic congresspeople from VA seemingly have a less secure grip on their seats though I don't know Nevada politics.
     
  15. bigredfutbol

    bigredfutbol Moderator
    Staff Member

    Sep 5, 2000
    Woodbridge, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I'd say a couple of our House Democrats are vulnerable next year; can't think of the same for any House Republicans.
     
  16. Smurfquake

    Smurfquake Moderator
    Staff Member

    Aug 8, 2000
    San Carlos, CA
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Those additional Biden votes in VA didn't get any extra electoral college votes, and apparently lots of those Biden voters didn't show up a few weeks ago.

    Nevada's one Republican House district (NV-2) is getting bluer every year, as Tesla hires more people at the gigafactory. It probably won't flip in 2022 and 2024 will depend on if Trump is on the ballot - the rural parts of NV-2 are very Trumpy, if he's not on the ballot, it's more likely to flip. With that said, NV-3 may flip back to Republican in 2022 - the Republicans nominated this weirdo in 2020 and the incumbent Democrat barely beat him - if a more normal candidate can win the Republican primary in 2022, they'll probably win NV-3.
     
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  17. bigredfutbol

    bigredfutbol Moderator
    Staff Member

    Sep 5, 2000
    Woodbridge, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Virginia is still a purple state; it's just that for the past decade-plus, the state GOP kept doubling down on exactly the sort of policies and rhetoric most likely to turn off suburban moderates in northern VA. A bit of a swing back towards the right was probably inevitable, and Youngkin had the savvy and the money to figure out how to do it without setting of the sort of alarm bells among swing voters here.
     
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  18. Funkfoot

    Funkfoot Member+

    May 18, 2002
    New Orleans, LA
    No rep
    No republican is vulnerable, no matter what they do. Gomert, Gosar, Bobert, Greene, Gaetz, etc etc.
     
  19. song219

    song219 BigSoccer Supporter

    Apr 5, 2004
    La Norte
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    Vanuatu
    RINOs or more likely accused RINOs are.
     
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  20. bigredfutbol

    bigredfutbol Moderator
    Staff Member

    Sep 5, 2000
    Woodbridge, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Yup.

    Also, Don Bacon, the Republican incumbent in Nebraska's 2nd District (basically the Omaha metro area) has to walk a fine line with moderates and swing voters to keep his seat. The NE GOP so far has been smart enough to spare him a primary challenge from a Trump-friendly candidate, but if that ever changes he's in trouble.
     
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  21. Funkfoot

    Funkfoot Member+

    May 18, 2002
    New Orleans, LA
    Oh sure, vulnerable to another, even worse, republican.
     
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  22. bigredfutbol

    bigredfutbol Moderator
    Staff Member

    Sep 5, 2000
    Woodbridge, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    That's usually the case; in Bacon's situation, his district is actually purple-ish and a more extreme Republican would likely lose (assuming the Nebraska Democrats don't find a way to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory again).
     
  23. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
    Club:
    FC Sankt Pauli
    Nat'l Team:
    Belgium
    This is probably what Dem Pacs should actually spend money on - dirty tricks campaigns attacking GOP "moderates" from the right with astroturfed trumpers

    In Virginia they managed to stop that IIRC by basically refusing to have a proper primary - otherwise a Trumper likely would have won
     
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  24. Q*bert Jones III

    Q*bert Jones III The People's Poet

    Feb 12, 2005
    Woodstock, NY
    Club:
    DC United
    The only thing that would accomplish is more lunatics in office.
     
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  25. Chesco United

    Chesco United Member+

    DC United
    Jun 24, 2001
    Chester County, PA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    Argentina
    McAuliffe ran an awful campaign in VA.
     
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