Currently, there's a thread called War Day 11. How many will we see before hostilities have ended and a democratic government has replaced Saddam's Ba'ath Party?
I was just wondering about this yesterday. It's going to be at least 60, if not over 100, if we get into a Baghdad siege.
End of fighting: 60-90 days Democracy: Won't even attempt to speculate. Things will stabalize a bit in a year or two though. Also, as soon as Saddam, etc. are taken out, you'll see next to none of this "we're ready to die for Saddam" ************.
The 4th Infantry Division will effectively double the number of troops on the front lines (no link, just what I heard). Upon their arrival, I don't see the actual fighting lasting much longer than 30 days...
i would say within 120 days the major battles will have ceased, which is about what i thought at the beginning of this campaign, i figured it would take 3-4 months...and i still believe that. there will be pockets of resistance <i hate that term but whatever> for a long time to come, just like in afghanistan. i would be interesting to hear from those that said 10 years. your reasoning?
My sentiments [almost] exactly. I think the major battles will have ceased around the 90 day mark, but there will still be minor ones rooting out the...don't wanna say it...aaahhhh...pockets of resitance for another month or so. Installation of a new Iraqi government: God knows.
The major fighting will be done in 30-45 days. After that you'll see small skirmishes and nuisance fights as small bands of Iraqis take potshots. In 90-120 days designs on a new government will begin to take shape.