Does anyone know when the first games start tomorrow? I haven’t had a chance to look at the games much and want to make sure I get my picks done in time.
Duke TexasTech MichiganState TexasU IowaU Georgetown VirginiaTech UCLA NorthCarolinaU SantaClara MinnesotaU SouthCarolinaU PennState TCU Vanderbilt FloridaState SouthernCalifornia StLouis WisconsinU VirginiaU OhioState Auburn GeorgiaU WakeForest ArkansasU Pepperdine Rutgers Stanford NotreDame KentuckyU WashingtonU MississippiState Second Round Duke TexasU Georgetown UCLA NorthCarolinaU SouthCarolinaU TCU FloridaState SouthernCalifornia VirginiaU OhioState WakeForest ArkansasU Stanford NotreDame MississippiState Third Round Duke UCLA NorthCarolinaU FloridaState SouthernCalifornia WakeForest ArkansasU MississippiState Quarterfinals Duke NorthCarolinaU WakeForest ArkansasU Semifinals Duke ArkansasU Championship Duke
Just to show why I don't gamble: First Round Winners Duke TexasTech MichiganState TexasU IowaU Georgetown VirginiaTech UCLA NorthCarolinaU SantaClara MinnesotaU SouthCarolinaU PennState TCU Vanderbilt FloridaState SouthernCalifornia KansasU WisconsinU Princeton OhioState Auburn GeorgiaU WakeForest ArkansasU CaliforniaU ConnecticutU Stanford NotreDame KentuckyU UtahState MississippiState Second Round Winners Duke MichiganState Georgetown UCLA SantaClara SouthCarolinaU TCU FloridaState KansasU Princeton OhioState WakeForest CaliforniaU Stanford KentuckyU MississippiState Third Round Winners Duke UCLA SantaClara TCU KansasU OhioState CaliforniaU MississippiState Quarterfinals Winners UCLA SantaClara OhioState CaliforniaU Semifinals Winners SantaClara OhioState Championship Winner OhioState
1st round Duke LSU Mich St Texas Iowa Georgetown Virginia Tech UCLA UNC BYU MInnesota South Carolina Penn State TCU Vandy FSU USC Kansas Wisconsin Virginia Ohio St Auburn Colorado Wake Forest Arkansas California Rutgers Stanford ND Kentucky Utah State Miss St 2nd Round Duke Texas Iowa UCLA UNC South Carolina TCU FSU USC Virginia Ohio St Wake Forest Arkansas Stanford ND Miss St 3rd round Duke UCLA UNC FSU USC Wake Forest Arkansas Miss St 4th round Duke FSU Wake Forest Miss St Semis FSU Wake Forest Finals FSU
Duke TexasTech MichiganState TexasU IowaU Georgetown VirginiaTech UCLA NorthCarolinaU BYU MinnesotaU SouthCarolinaU PennState TCU Vanderbilt FloridaState SouthernCalifornia KansasU WisconsinU Princeton OhioState Auburn GeorgiaU WakeForest ArkansasU Pepperdine ConnecticutU Stanford NotreDame KentuckyU WashingtonU MississippiState ———————————————— Duke TexasU Georgetown UCLA NorthCarolinaU SouthCarolinaU TCU FloridaState SouthernCalifornia Princeton OhioState WakeForest ArkansasU Stanford NotreDame MississippiState ——————————————————— Duke UCLA NorthCarolinaU FloridaState SouthernCalifornia WakeForest Stanford NotreDame ————————————————-/ Duke FloridaState WakeForest Stanford ————————————————- FloridaState WakeForest ————————————————— FloridaState
1st Round Duke TexasTech MichiganState TexasU IowaU Georgetown VirginiaTech UCLA NorthCarolinaU SantaClara MinnesotaU SouthCarolinaU PennState TCU Vanderbilt FloridaState SouthernCalifornia Kansas WisconsinU VirginiaU OhioState Auburn GeorgiaU WakeForest ArkansasU Pepperdine Rutgers Stanford NotreDame KentuckyU Utah State MississippiState Second Round Duke Michigan State Iowa UCLA NorthCarolinaU SouthCarolinaU TCU FloridaState SouthernCalifornia VirginiaU Auburn WakeForest ArkansasU Stanford NotreDame MississippiState Third Round Duke UCLA NorthCarolinaU FloridaState SouthernCalifornia WakeForest ArkansasU MississippiState Quarterfinals Duke Florida state Southern California Mississippi State Semifinals Duke Southern California Championship Southern California
1st Round Duke TexasTech Michigan State Texas Iowa Georgetown Virginia Tech UCLA UNC BYU Minnesota South Carolina Penn State TCU Vandy FSU USC Kansas Wisconsin Virginia Ohio State Auburn Georgia Wake Forest Arkansas California Rutgers Stanford Notre Dame Kentucky Washington Mississippi State 2nd Round Duke Michigan State Iowa UCLA UNC SouthCarolina Penn State FSU USC Virginia Ohio State Wake Forest Arkansas Stanford Notre Dame Mississippi State 3rd Round Duke UCLA UNC FSU USC Wake Forest Arkansas Mississippi State Quarterfinals Duke FSU USC Arkansas Semifinals FSU Arkansas Championship FSU
Massey Ratings (No adjustment for home field advantage) First Round Winners Duke TexasTech MichiganState TexasU IowaU Georgetown TennesseeU UCLA NorthCarolinaU BYU MinnesotaU SouthCarolinaU PennState TCU Vanderbilt FloridaState SouthernCalifornia KansasU WisconsinU VirginiaU OhioState Auburn GeorgiaU WakeForest ArkansasU CaliforniaU Rutgers Stanford NotreDame WestVirginiaU UtahState MississippiState Second Round Winners Duke TexasU IowaU UCLA NorthCarolinaU SouthCarolinaU TCU FloridaState SouthernCalifornia VirginiaU OhioState WakeForest ArkansasU Stanford NotreDame MississippiState Third Round Winners Duke UCLA NorthCarolinaU FloridaState SouthernCalifornia WakeForest ArkansasU MississippiState Quarterfinals Winners Duke FloridaState SouthernCalifornia ArkansasU Semifinals Winners Duke ArkansasU Championship Winner Duke
1st Round: Duke Texas Tech Michigan State TexasU IowaU Georgetown VirginiaTech UCLA NorthCarolinaU SantaClara MinnesotaU SouthCarolinaU PennState TCU Vanderbilt FloridaState SoutherCalifornia KansasU WisconsinU VirginiaU OhioState FIU GeorgiaU WakeForst ArkansasU CaliforniaU Rutgers Stanford NotreDame WestVirginiaU WashingtonU MississipiState 2nd Round: Duke TexasU Georgetown UCLA NorthCarolinaU SouthCarolinaU TCU FloridaState SouthernCalifornia VirginiaU OhioState WakeForest California Stanford NotreDame MississipiState 3rd Round: Duke UCLA NorthCarolina FloridaState SoutherCalifornia WakeForest California NotreDame Quarters: Duke FloridaState SouthernCalifornia NotreDame Semis: FloridaState SouthernCalifornia Final: FloridaState
First Round Winners Duke TexasTech MichiganState TexasU IowaU Georgetown VirginiaTech UCLA NorthCarolinaU BYU MinnesotaU SouthCarolinaU PennState TCU Vanderbilt FloridaState SouthernCalifornia KansasU WisconsinU Princeton OhioState Auburn GeorgiaU WakeForest ArkansasU CaliforniaU ConnecticutU Stanford NotreDame KentuckyU Washington MississippiState Second Round Winners Duke MichiganState Georgetown UCLA NorthCarolinaU SouthCarolinaU PennState FloridaState SouthernCalifornia WisconsinU OhioState WakeForest ArkansasU Stanford NotreDame MississippiState Third Round Winners = Quarterfinalists Duke UCLA NorthCarolinaU FloridaState SouthernCalifornia WakeForest Stanford NotreDame Quarterfinal Winners Duke NorthCarolinaU WakeForest Stanford Semifinal Winners Duke WakeForest Champion WakeForest
KP Index Predictions (No adjustments for home field advantage) First Round Winners Duke TexasTech MichiganState TexasU IowaU Georgetown VirginiaTech UCLA NorthCarolinaU BYU MinnesotaU SouthCarolinaU PennState TCU Vanderbilt FloridaState SouthernCalifornia StLouis WisconsinU VirginiaU OhioState Auburn GeorgiaU WakeForest ArkansasU Pepperdine ConnecticutU Stanford NotreDame KentuckyU UtahState MississippiState Second Round Winners Duke TexasU IowaU UCLA NorthCarolinaU SouthCarolinaU TCU FloridaState SouthernCalifornia VirginiaU Auburn WakeForest ArkansasU Stanford NotreDame MississippiState Third Round Winners Duke UCLA NorthCarolinaU FloridaState SouthernCalifornia WakeForest ArkansasU MississippiState Quafterfinals Winners Duke FloridaState SouthernCalifornia MississippiState Semifinals Winners Duke MississippiState Championship Winner Duke
For a very brief moment, most likely, my Pre-Season Predicted RPI ratings are in sole possession of first place, with a 100% correct rate for all 11 games completed.
Tonight, we had 25 games. No one got all of them right, but From the Spot and Pin Action got all but one. In the table, the green highlighting is for the individual humans. The others are the Committee or the rating systems. The table is sorted by rank and then alphabetically.
Standings after First Round day 2 matches. One more game tomorrow, for which all competitors are almost certain to get a point.
And, here are the contest standings after completion of the First Round. Pin Action leads the pack and continues in an historic star competitor role. As a point of reference, last year four competitors shared the First Round lead with 30 correct predictions: nwnittany49 was the only individual human leader, accompanied by the Committee, the KP Index, and the NCAA RPI. This year, most interestingly to me, the Committee missed on 5 games.
Here are the standings after completion of Round 2. The "Score" columns relate to contestant scores based on the contest scoring system. The "Correct" columns relate to the number of individual game predictions correct without consideration of the scoring system. The table is ordered by Score and then by Contestant in alphabetical order.
Quick link to the ESPN coverage today: NCAA Women's Soccer 2:00 pm #3 Ohio State vs. #2 Wake Forest (Third Round) 5:00 pm #6 Minnesota vs. #2 North Carolina (Third Round) 5:30 pm #8 Vanderbilt vs. #4 Penn State (Third Round) 6:00 pm #4 Notre Dame vs. #1 Mississippi State (Third Round) 6:00 pm #5 Michigan State vs. #1 Duke (Third Round) 7:00 pm #5 Wisconsin vs. #1 USC (Third Round) 7:00 pm #3 Stanford vs. #2 Arkansas (Third Round) 9:00 pm #7 Virginia Tech vs. #3 Iowa (Third Round)
Here are the standings after completion of Round 3. It's interesting to see the differences between the Standing column, using the scoring system, and the Total Correct Rank column, looking simply at the number of correct predictions.
I am about to take a big dive! My last few round picks are mostly out of the running. Should have trusted Duke…
I like that cp is adding the simple number of wins. That certainly is a good way of looking at the contest. However, the weighted method serves a good purpose. That being that being able to see into the future for each round. It's one thing to glance at the whole 64 and see who is at the top and bottom. It's another to guess who will be playing whom once each weekend. Consequently, increasing the points for each of the 4 first rounds serves to reward the correct calculation of who will be playing whom. To put it differently, this means that even if most every one thinks that they know which top teams will end up in the final 4 they also have to have the majority of correct wins in the second, third and fourth rounds. This is why the points reward is aimed to accumulate points for those who see the best performers for the first four rounds. The points go flat for the last two rounds because at that point the the last 4 teams standing would be nothing more than a contest that rewards only picking out the eventual likely winners and ignoring the complex middle choices winners who had a good run.
I think when I posted my personal predictions that I said I would make a lot of participants feel better -- meaning, by ending up far in last place. It looks like I was right. And, I have confirmed my not trusting my own personal evaluations and trusting the statistics instead.
Was not able to make predictions this year and probably would have been in close company with cpthomas but I say Wake Forest all the way