Affirmative action here we come!! Whites are already the minority in my home by a 2 to 1 margin. Why shouldn't the nation be so lucky?
My home county is projected to be a white-minority county sometime this year. EDIT: Home NOW, that is...the rural county in Nebraska where I was raised is a different story...I wouldn't be at all surprised if it's still as much as 95% white.
what does colour have to do with US population......the age of distinguishing population based on colour is over
Agreed. Assuming I have kids, I don't know what color they will be classified as since my other half is latina. Edit: Went to look at the acutal report based on the above comment...and I found this: [qoute] The Center's report includes an analysis of the nation's future "dependency ratio"--the number of children and elderly compared with the number of working-age Americans. There were 59 children and elderly people per 100 adults of working age in 2005. That will rise to 72 dependents per 100 adults of working age in 2050.[/quote] That seems a rather large number of dependents. IOW, nearly 75% of the people in this country will be dependents by 2050. The sarcastic side of me says that we should win a WC by then and have a good domestic league. The other side is worried... The report http://pewresearch.org/pubs/729/united-states-population-projections (a pdf is at the bottom of the page).
They use minority to describe 47%? So, who is going to have 53% to be the majority? Aren't they just lumping everyone else together?
I'm not sure about that. Isn't 72 dependents per 100 working adults mean the percentage of dependents is 72 / (72 + 100) = 42% ? Unless I'm reading this wrong.
Won't this mean that there won't BE a majority of ANYBODY after 2050? Whites will be a plurality, and no one group will be a majority?
A lot of stupid predictions begin with those words. When your only tool is a linear regression model, everything looks like a line.
You know, you wouldn't have thought it would take 15 posts for someone to point this out. Being a plurality isn't enough for some people. I haven't bothered to check the leaning of this "think tank" to see if they fit that pattern, tho.
No kidding, hate saying stuff like this, cause really, it doesn't matter, but whites wont be a minority until there is a group with MORE numbers. And that group can't be everyone else. You have to figure that can't possibly happen until the white population is closer to 30% of the overall... So basically in 2050, according to these guys, EVERYONE in the US will be a minority.
Okay, I did not read it right. You are correct. If you bother to read the report (or at least the first couple of pages), they make it clear that this is not a predicition. The report projects these numbers based on trends over the past 40+ years. From the page I linked:
It is a prediction based on a projection. When you say something like "Of the 117 million people added to the population during this period due to the effect of new immigration, 67 million will be the immigrants themselves and 50 million will be their U.S.-born children or grandchildren", you are making a prediction. Besides, just look at the graph: Two things should be very clear: they are just fitting a fairly simple linear extrapolation, and historical data indicates that people who fit simple linear extrapolations are stupidheads.
I wonder if anybody linearly extrapolated the data looking into the 70's and 80's and thought we were gonna see an entirely home grown population.