Pew Research Center: Whites to be minority in US by 2050

Discussion in 'Politics & Current Events' started by Chicago1871, Feb 11, 2008.

  1. Chicago1871

    Chicago1871 Member

    Apr 21, 2001
    Chicago
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Pew Research Center: Whites to be minority in US by 2050
     
  2. Matt in the Hat

    Matt in the Hat Moderator
    Staff Member

    Sep 21, 2002
    Brooklyn
    Club:
    New York Red Bulls
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
  3. USvsIRELAND

    USvsIRELAND Member+

    Jul 19, 2004
    ATL
    WOooo!!!!
     
  4. QuakeAttack

    QuakeAttack Member+

    Apr 10, 2002
    California - Bay Area
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Already happened in Silicon Valley! My kids are hapa anyways...
     
  5. Knave

    Knave Member+

    May 25, 1999
    Dear USA - Welcome to California!
     
  6. bigredfutbol

    bigredfutbol Moderator
    Staff Member

    Sep 5, 2000
    Woodbridge, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    My home county is projected to be a white-minority county sometime this year.

    EDIT: Home NOW, that is...the rural county in Nebraska where I was raised is a different story...I wouldn't be at all surprised if it's still as much as 95% white.
     
  7. Calexico77

    Calexico77 Member

    Sep 19, 2003
    Mid-City LA
    Club:
    Los Angeles Galaxy
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Hooray! Maybe that means my grandkids will be able to get into Berkeley.
     
  8. argentine soccer fan

    Staff Member

    Jan 18, 2001
    San Francisco Bay Area
    Club:
    CA Boca Juniors
    Nat'l Team:
    Argentina
    What if you are a white latino? You get to be a minority either way. :D
     
  9. mak9

    mak9 Member

    May 21, 2005
    Toronto, Canada
    Club:
    Real Madrid
    what does colour have to do with US population......the age of distinguishing population based on colour is over
     
  10. soccernutter

    soccernutter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Tottenham Hotspur
    Aug 22, 2001
    Near the mountains.
    Club:
    Tottenham Hotspur FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Agreed. Assuming I have kids, I don't know what color they will be classified as since my other half is latina.

    Edit: Went to look at the acutal report based on the above comment...and I found this:
    [qoute]
    The Center's report includes an analysis of the nation's future "dependency ratio"--the number of children and elderly compared with the number of working-age Americans. There were 59 children and elderly people per 100 adults of working age in 2005. That will rise to 72 dependents per 100 adults of working age in 2050.[/quote]
    That seems a rather large number of dependents. IOW, nearly 75% of the people in this country will be dependents by 2050. The sarcastic side of me says that we should win a WC by then and have a good domestic league. The other side is worried...

    The report
    http://pewresearch.org/pubs/729/united-states-population-projections (a pdf is at the bottom of the page).
     
  11. BudWiser

    BudWiser New Member

    Jul 17, 2000
    Falls Church, VA
    Thank God.

    Maybe it's time to consider Affirmative Action for whites.
     
  12. Demosthenes

    Demosthenes Member+

    May 12, 2003
    Berkeley, CA
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    As soon as they're the minority in positions of power, lucrative jobs and higher education.
     
  13. argentine soccer fan

    Staff Member

    Jan 18, 2001
    San Francisco Bay Area
    Club:
    CA Boca Juniors
    Nat'l Team:
    Argentina
    We can start with the position of president of the United States. :D
     
  14. Demosthenes

    Demosthenes Member+

    May 12, 2003
    Berkeley, CA
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Cool. After Hillary or Barack, we'll only have 42 more to go.
     
  15. Own Goal Hat-Trick

    Jul 28, 1999
    ColoRADo
    They use minority to describe 47%?

    So, who is going to have 53% to be the majority? Aren't they just lumping everyone else together?
     
  16. Mountainia

    Mountainia Member

    Jun 19, 2002
    Section 207, Row 7
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I'm not sure about that. Isn't 72 dependents per 100 working adults mean the percentage of dependents is 72 / (72 + 100) = 42% ? Unless I'm reading this wrong.
     
  17. bigredfutbol

    bigredfutbol Moderator
    Staff Member

    Sep 5, 2000
    Woodbridge, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Won't this mean that there won't BE a majority of ANYBODY after 2050? Whites will be a plurality, and no one group will be a majority?
     
  18. spejic

    spejic Cautionary example

    Mar 1, 1999
    San Rafael, CA
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    A lot of stupid predictions begin with those words. When your only tool is a linear regression model, everything looks like a line.
     
  19. superdave

    superdave Member+

    Jul 14, 1999
    VB, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Interracial porn is going to lose its cache.
     
  20. Auriaprottu

    Auriaprottu Member+

    Atlanta Damn United
    Apr 1, 2002
    The back of the bus
    Club:
    Atlanta
    Nat'l Team:
    --other--
    You know, you wouldn't have thought it would take 15 posts for someone to point this out.

    Being a plurality isn't enough for some people. I haven't bothered to check the leaning of this "think tank" to see if they fit that pattern, tho.
     
  21. Own Goal Hat-Trick

    Jul 28, 1999
    ColoRADo
    No kidding, hate saying stuff like this, cause really, it doesn't matter, but whites wont be a minority until there is a group with MORE numbers. And that group can't be everyone else. You have to figure that can't possibly happen until the white population is closer to 30% of the overall...

    So basically in 2050, according to these guys, EVERYONE in the US will be a minority.
     
  22. soccernutter

    soccernutter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Tottenham Hotspur
    Aug 22, 2001
    Near the mountains.
    Club:
    Tottenham Hotspur FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Okay, I did not read it right. You are correct.

    If you bother to read the report (or at least the first couple of pages), they make it clear that this is not a predicition. The report projects these numbers based on trends over the past 40+ years.

    From the page I linked:
     
  23. Foosinho

    Foosinho New Member

    Jan 11, 1999
    New Albany, OH
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
  24. spejic

    spejic Cautionary example

    Mar 1, 1999
    San Rafael, CA
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    It is a prediction based on a projection. When you say something like "Of the 117 million people added to the population during this period due to the effect of new immigration, 67 million will be the immigrants themselves and 50 million will be their U.S.-born children or grandchildren", you are making a prediction.

    Besides, just look at the graph:
    [​IMG]
    Two things should be very clear: they are just fitting a fairly simple linear extrapolation, and historical data indicates that people who fit simple linear extrapolations are stupidheads.
     
  25. saosebastiao

    saosebastiao New Member

    May 22, 2005
    I wonder if anybody linearly extrapolated the data looking into the 70's and 80's and thought we were gonna see an entirely home grown population.
     

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