I didn't know the return leg is on their cricket ground. And yes, they can hope all they want, but there will not be an upset.
What Grenada needs to do is survive the 1st match...who knows, something like a 1-0 loss, then really get inspired by that achievement and have a lump in USA's throat the next match.... it's the case, where the pressure gets to the USA and fails to perform..... That's the scenario for USA getting eliminated....an it has about a 5% chance..
Well their odds will be pretty good if the return leg actually is a cricket match. If it's not, the odds get longer.
I'm sure they're much longer than his, if they let you to bet on it at all. The sims I did put them at about 3 series wins in about 1,000 tries. On the last eight years, both the US and Grenada have played the following teams who I have ranked ahead of Grenada: Jamaica, Trinidad & Tobago, Cuba, Haiti and Barbados. In games against those teams in the last eight years, Grenada has a record of 2 wins, 16 losses and 4 draws. Against those teams over the same time period, the USA has 13 wins, 0 losses and 6 draws (four of which came against Jamaica). Grenada will almost certainly have to win one of the games to beat us. They've won two out of 22 matches against a group of teams that haven't beaten us in the last 8 years in 19 tries. Even if they do manage to pull that feat off, they will need to also win by as much as or more than we beat them in the other game, or draw us in the other game. Giving them a 5% chance is extremely generous. 0.5% is far more reasonable.