After a week off due to work swamping me, I'm back. I went 10/14 in my polls last week, keeping me right at 74% for the season. This week there aren't too many "big" games, but as always there will probably be 3 or 4 crazy finishes. Pittsburgh over St. Louis The Rams were actually called "nasty" in an article I read this week. No team that plays in a Dome is nasty in my book. The Steelers front 7 is nasty though. They've kept most of their games close and that helps. Bulger is settling in with Holt and Bruce and things are clicking. The Rams are down to their #3 RB, with Faulk possibly available. The Bus is back and starting for the Steelers. Late game heroics in this one, with the Steelers taking it. Cincy over Seattle This is my shock of the week pick. My reasoning? Seattle is just barely getting by teams. Cincy just put up big numbers on a Baltimore defense that was supposed to be one of the best. Marvin Lewis has the Bangles beleiving they can win. I think Seattle will overlook this game a bit. As long as Cincy can stop Shaun Alexander, they'll win. Tampa over Dallas This is a tougher game to pick than it should be. The Bucs lost Brian Kelly for the season and their defense is showing cracks. That said, they are rotating wins and loses and this week is a "win" week. Dallas is doing great, but can they really go 6-1? I dont think so. New England over Cleveland New England is winning with half a team. Cleveland can't figure out who their QB should be. The Pats may have a bit of a let down after the OT win last week, but the Browns aren't even as good as their 3-4 record. Tennessee over Jacksonville Like I said, McNair is the MVP so far. He'll show it again this week, although it won't take much. The Jags are coming off their bye that allowed Jimmy Smith and Byron Leftwhich to get closer. But the Jags just aren't good. Is Eddie George done??? New Orleans over Carolina This may be a perfect example of two teams going in opposite directiosn. I picked Carolina to lose plenty of games early and they burned me. But I stood my ground that they weren't as good as their record said. New Orleans just got a warm up vs. Atlanta and are ready to make the NFC South interesting with a win over Carolina. Baltimore over Denver You think John Elway could come back for about a month? The Donkeys are down to their #3 QB for at least the next two games (probably more) and they are looking up at the 7-0 Chiefs. Baltimore could have a field day with this guy, while they put 8 in the box to shut down Portis. Chicago over Detroit A nice rivalry gone south. These teams are terrible, making this game a must miss. I'm not even bothering to analyse it. Minnesota over NY Giants Culpepper is back, Moss is a pimp. Stat of the week: Minnesota #1 in turn over ration; NY Giants have the second most give aways in the NFL. The top two teams in the NFL in turn over ration are Minnesota and Kansas City. I'm seeing a trend here. Minnesota wins easy. San Fransicso over Arizona I almost picked Arizona, but I think the 49ers defense will shut the Cards down and win this one. San Fran needs a win to get back in the NFC West race. That catch and run by TO last week was amazing. If he could just shut his mouth long enough to do that more often. I propose that the next time TO drops a sure TD catch, Erikson goes over to him on the bench jumping up and down while screaming in his face. Philly over NY Jets What Rush Limbaugh right about McNabb? Less than 200 combine in two games is TERRIBLE. Philly only wins this because Vinny is bad and Pennington will be rusty with his limited action. Brian Westbrook may be emerging as the Eagles #1 back, finally... Indy over Houston Pretty easy pick. Peyton will rack 'em early, then set back and let the second stringers finish it. Edge James is back, but I would'nt overuse him if I were Dungy. David Carr really is impressive for a second year QB on an expansion team. Kansas City over Buffalo I've seen Buffalo play four games this year, and I'm still not sure if they're good, bad or ugly. I do know that Arrowhead at night is the best place in the NFL. We'll be grilling by mid afternoon and pumped beyond beliefe by 7:30 pm CST. As long as the Buffalo doesnt take the crowd out of the game early, KC has this one with more big plays on defense and special teams. San Diego over Miami A bit of an upset here. San Diego will ride Tomlinson and pound Miami's defense. Miami will do the same with Williams. It should be fun to watch, but neither team will score over 20 points and it will go to the wire.