Rumor: Newly proposed World Cup qualifying format

Discussion in 'CONCACAF' started by Zacarías, Jun 11, 2020.

  1. Zacarías

    Zacarías Member

    Real Betis
    Spain
    Jul 19, 2017
    Sevilla
    Nat'l Team:
    Spain
    A few days ago, I saw on ESPN FC (taking it with a grain of salt) that there are rumors of a newly proposed qualifying format for the 2022 World Cup because of the global pandemic.

    I did some further digging and saw that it hasn’t been confirmed by CONCACAF, but there are a lot of articles reporting this rumor. Who knows if it’s true.

    This would abandon the Hex and instead, have the top 12 countries (based on FIFA rankings) in groups of 3.

    Pot A: Mexico, US, Costa Rica
    Pot B: Honduras, El Salvador, Jamaica
    Pot C: Canada, Curaçao, Panama
    Pot D: Antigua, T&T, Haiti

    Obviously, the three first place teams from each group would qualify directly. The second place teams would go to join the winner of the tournament for the lower ranked teams (13-35) for a mini tournament to determine who represents CONCACAF in the intercontinental playoff.

    I know it’s all speculation, but if there is any truth to it, what do you guys think? It would end the match in Columbus and the US going to the Azteca, but would give a fighting chance to teams outside of the Hex, like Canada.

    Either way, I miss football and talking about it.
     
  2. russ

    russ Member+

    Feb 26, 1999
    Canton,NY
    Club:
    Liverpool FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Basically,whatever they can do to ensure the top 3 get in...
     
  3. Zacarías

    Zacarías Member

    Real Betis
    Spain
    Jul 19, 2017
    Sevilla
    Nat'l Team:
    Spain
    I think it would definitely make it easier for the US, but depending on who would be drawn with Costa Rica, especially since their “golden” generation is aging and fading, it might cause a surprise
     
  4. russ

    russ Member+

    Feb 26, 1999
    Canton,NY
    Club:
    Liverpool FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    It was noted in another thread that based on current ranking the US would be in a group with Panama and Canada,so maybe not?
     
  5. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    You could be referring to what somebody gave as a possible draw given the pots. The FIFA Rankings determine the pots, but not the actual teams. Being the second best of three teams on Pot A doesn't tell anything about what team from the other pots USA will be drawn with. If a draw is done with those pots, each team has 3x3x3 = 27 equally likely combinations of opponents.
     
  6. Robert Borden

    Robert Borden Member+

    Chelsea
    Canada
    Apr 19, 2017
    Toronto, Ontario
    Nat'l Team:
    Canada
    News regarding the 2022 format

    Reports that the format for the Concacaf playoffs of 3 groups with 4 teams was rejected.
    1272568623538884612 is not a valid tweet id

    According to sources, Octagonal is being considered

    1. Mexico
    2. United States
    3. Costa Rica
    4. Jamaica
    5. Honduras
    6. El Salvador
    7. Canada
    8. Curacao
     
  7. JYDA

    JYDA Member

    Sep 10, 2003
    Rollins' tweet contains an inaccuracy. It was rejected by FIFA, not the members
     
  8. LordofBrewtown

    Wigan Athletic
    United States
    Nov 19, 2018
    So, FIFA approved that original monstrosity of a format; but, is rejecting this even though it's very similar to past formats? Bizarre. So FIFA must also really want the $$$$ from USA-Mexico matches?

    Are there enough open fixture dates for an Octagonal? That would incredibly harsh on Panama and Haiti in my view, as #6-10 are really very close in points - there's a bigger dropoff to T&T at #11
     
  9. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    If https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_FIFA_World_Cup_qualification_(CONCACAF) is correct that WCQs will start in September (it doesn't have to be correct about the format in order to show how many matchdays are available), two pairs of matchdays would need to be added. In June 2021 the bottom 29 is supposed to play Semifinals while the top teams don't play. Both paths are scheduled to end in September 2021 with the playoff in October 2021. Since the interconfederational playoffs are in March 2022 (they are in November before summer World Cups), they could push rounds back and end in November 2021. If that was done and the fourth place Octagonal team won the playoff against the bottom group, that team would play two WCQs in nine consecutive periods from September 2020 through March 2022. With leagues finishing 2019-2020 seasons in July and starting 2020-2021 seasons later, FIFA could change when the matchdays are and/or how many there will be. Even a normally basic question like how many matchdays are available can't be guaranteed. If WCQs will start in September, Concacaf needs to get moving because they need to make a draw and schedule and let teams decide where to play.
     
  10. Jay510

    Jay510 Member+

    Apr 21, 2002
    Gadsden Purchase, AZ
    Club:
    Blackburn Rovers FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    the octobox is idiotic, and it puts more games out there than necessary,

    2 groups of 6, 10 matches a group, top of each group qualifies, 2nd places play off for the 3rd spot, loser of that goes to intercont playoff

    why is this so hard?
     
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  11. Zacarías

    Zacarías Member

    Real Betis
    Spain
    Jul 19, 2017
    Sevilla
    Nat'l Team:
    Spain
    Because it’s CONCACAF
     
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  12. Robert Borden

    Robert Borden Member+

    Chelsea
    Canada
    Apr 19, 2017
    Toronto, Ontario
    Nat'l Team:
    Canada
     
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  13. Ofori

    Ofori Red Card

    Inter Milan
    Ghana
    May 9, 2020
    If they go the Octagonal route, then how would it work? Would it work just like the Hex and the top 3 qualify directly for Qatar and the 4th place team goes into the Intercontinental playoff? Then it is really no different than the Hex at all
     
  14. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Playing games in December makes sense. Here is how confederations would have qualifying without games added in December:

    AFC: If periods that are supposed to have one game increase to two, they are one period (two matchdays short)

    CAF: Not any matchdays short unless the Africa Cup of Nations and/or its qualifying makes a conflict

    Concacaf: One period (two matchdays short). Wikipedia removed the original schedule that had WCQs start in September. In addition to the format being confirmed, I'm waiting for an announcement about the draw. The October matchdays start in under three months, and Concacaf has to confirm the format, schedule the draw, and give teams time to plan where to play.

    CONMEBOL: Two periods (four matchdays) short and Wikipedia says they may have a Copa America in June 2021 and not be able to play WCQs to make them three periods (six matchdays) short. CONMEBOL could be problematic because the only alternatives to the group of ten that needs 18 matchdays are two groups of five or eliminating teams before a final group of six.

    UEFA and OFC never announced a schedule.
     
  15. Ofori

    Ofori Red Card

    Inter Milan
    Ghana
    May 9, 2020
    This looks good and makes sense for the most part but then it could come into conflict too with some competitions
     
  16. edcalvi

    edcalvi Moderator
    Staff Member

    Olimpia
    Guatemala
    May 1, 2005
    US
    I believe an Octagon was just confirmed with the Top 5 ranked qualifying directly.

    3 spots are left for Canada, Curaçao, Panama, etc.
     
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  17. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    My browser translated https://unanimodeportes.com/deporte...f-hara-un-octagonal-final-adios-al-hexagonal/ and there will only be one path. I don't know how there are enough matchdays for the Octagonal to start as late as April 2021, but the format and schedule is:

    Round 1 in October 2020 through January 2021: The bottom 30 go in six pentagonals. Each team will play two opponents at home, two opponents away, and have one matchday off.

    Round 2 in March 2021: The six pentagonal winners play each other to advance three to the Octagonal.

    Round 3: The Octagonal starts in April 2021. Even if the period that normally has two matchdays in late March is expanded to have two in late March and two in early April (or the two could be in late April), there are ten matchdays available from April through the rest of 2021 and two in March 2022, for a total of twelve, with fourteen are necessary. I hope the Octagonal will be double round-robin. If it is single round-robin, teams would play 7 games, so they would need to play an unequal amount of home games, or each team could have 3 home, 3 away, and 1 at a neutral site. For a single round-robin group, an odd amount of teams is good because teams can play an equal amount of home and away goals, and having one matchday off isn't a big deal. For double round-robin groups, groups of 5 require ten matchdays which is four more than groups of 4 require.

    If USA doesn't start until April 2021, hopefully they will be able to have fans.
     
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  18. nfitz

    nfitz Member

    Aug 20, 2007
    Toronto
    I have no idea how they think many countries will be able to play internationals in 10 weeks time in October The Covid rates in the USA, Mexico, Honduras, and many Central American countries remains horrific. While other countries doing better aren't going to let people in without quarantining.

    Just go with the top 6 or 8 in Concacaf. They'll be luck to play in April at this rate.
     
  19. dinamo_zagreb

    dinamo_zagreb Member+

    Jun 27, 2010
    San Jose, CA / Zagreb, Croatia
    Club:
    --other--
    Nat'l Team:
    Croatia
    Or they could throw in single round-robin + game vs rival to get to eight matches (meaning two USA-MEX matches :D).
     
  20. Ofori

    Ofori Red Card

    Inter Milan
    Ghana
    May 9, 2020
    Or at this point they may as well just cancel Qatar 2022 altogether
     
  21. nfitz

    nfitz Member

    Aug 20, 2007
    Toronto
    With 28 months to go, I don't see the World Cup being cancelled anytime soon. There's an easy solution to qualifications, if things are very dire ... just use FIFA rankings.

    Though I don't see why simply doing a tournament 2 years from now to do qualifying wouldn't work ... or the 2021 Gold Cup ... send the four semi-finalists, and do a third-place game with the loser getting the ½-sppot.

    Lots of ways to do it. It a tournament 28 months from now isn't doable, then there's going to be a lot of events to cancel first.
     
  22. Ofori

    Ofori Red Card

    Inter Milan
    Ghana
    May 9, 2020
    Then it is perfect as far as settling qualifying in terms of doing tournaments for each confederation to determine who qualifies for Qatar
     
  23. Robert Borden

    Robert Borden Member+

    Chelsea
    Canada
    Apr 19, 2017
    Toronto, Ontario
    Nat'l Team:
    Canada
    #23 Robert Borden, Jul 27, 2020
    Last edited: Jul 27, 2020
     
  24. dinamo_zagreb

    dinamo_zagreb Member+

    Jun 27, 2010
    San Jose, CA / Zagreb, Croatia
    Club:
    --other--
    Nat'l Team:
    Croatia
    So five matchdays in two windows in first round.

    I don't like octagonal format.
     
  25. Robert Borden

    Robert Borden Member+

    Chelsea
    Canada
    Apr 19, 2017
    Toronto, Ontario
    Nat'l Team:
    Canada
    CONCACAF President Victor Montagliani will be live on Onesoccer YouTube channel to discuss the WCQ in 30 minutes
    1287862828133519360 is not a valid tweet id
     

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