MLS 5/31

Discussion in 'Wagering' started by Justin O, May 29, 2003.

  1. Justin O

    Justin O Member+

    Seattle Sounders
    United States
    Nov 30, 1998
    on the run from the covid
    Club:
    Seattle
    Highest posted prices as of now from bettingadvice's oddschecker.

    Colorado Rapids vs Los Angeles Galaxy 2.65 3.20 2.65
    San Jose Earthquakes vs Chicago Fire 1.72 3.42 5.00
    Dallas Burn vs D.C.United 2.10 3.25 3.60
    New England Revolution vs Kansas City Wizards 2.15 3.22 3.60
    Columbus Crew vs MetroStars 2.60 3.40 2.80

    Initial impressions...Chicago at 5.00 sounds good. Especially with no Ching. Chicago had to get a big confidence boost last week, even if their opponent was crap. Also found Chicago (+0.5) at 2.25 from canbet and Chicago (+1) at 1.90 (winning pick if Chicago win or draw, stake refunded if San Jose win by only 1) from Sportwetten-Gera.
     
  2. Wizardscharter

    Wizardscharter New Member

    Jul 25, 2001
    Blue Springs, MO
    But, where can we find these deals?

    From intertops:
    @SJ 1.64 3.35 4.4 CHI
    @NE 2.05 3.1 3.1 KC
    @CLB 2.45 3.05 2.55 MET
    @DAL 2.0 3.1 3.25 dc
    @COL 2.55 2.95 2.5 LA

    To the games:
    SJ v CHI: No Onstad, Dayak, or Ching for San Ho. Corrales is questionable. SJ was held scoreless v Seattle midweek. CHI spanked Colorado 4-0, Armas is healing, and Razov is coming back to full fitness. Donovan proved that his presence means that no team can be considered a "B" team in dismantling Wales. CHI at full throttle will be tougher. SJ should win. However, the CHI price is worth a flier here as CHI is close to full strength with Beasley on form. Traditionally this fixture is low scoring so "UNDER" may not have value.
    CHI @ 5.00

    NE v KC: Both teams are on unbeaten streaks, KC-5 and NE-4. For NE, Joseph is out on the backline with Pierce merely hobbled. Moore is a maybe, but a lessened/absent Moore has been a poor indicator for the Revs. KC has guys returning to full fitness as Simutenkov, Guttierez, and Wolff all should be available. KC has won 5 of 6 v NE with the sixth being the tie in KC weeks ago. Use caution as KC is my "bogey team". The price is a gift from the heavens. 3.6:1 on a healing, improving on defense, unbeaten on the road, and unbeaten in 5 team with NE slightly hobbled at the back? Noonan is good, but please.
    KC @ 3.6

    CLB v MET: Interesting matchup of 2 teams with growing negatives. CLB has yielded 7 in their last 2 losses, but is at home. METs lockerroom will ceratinly be trying to put aside the pending losses of keeper Howard and striker Mathis to Europe. Meanwhile they have won 5 straight after starting 0-1-1. Mathis and Howard are still there for now. How can you bet against a 15-point streak?
    MET @ 2.8

    DAL v dc: Lead pipe lock of the week. dc is winless and missing this list - Etch, Reyes, Olsen, Quaranta, and Barclay. Benny O has been their only consistent danger. Rimando played and traveled from the left coast midweek. DAL will win at home, possibly a blowout. Look for some great quote regarding dc as a gored matador in the post-game comments.
    DAL @ 2.1

    COL v LA: The early toilet bowl. LA without Ruiz is roughly as lethal as dc, but this isn't a normal MLS matchup - it's toothless and creatorless Colorado. Hendu and Chung keep running, but for what purpose? Kyle Beckerman even retired this week rather than continue the fight. Who knows if he had a choice about it. Help may be coming for the Rapids, but for now they are on their own. LA is better on paper most everywhere but left wing (Chung), DM (Maestroeni) and striker (Who steps up for red-carded Ruiz). The only other thing COL has going for it is LA has lost 2 of 3 and should be looking well forward to hosting COL next week in the new building. Even the price on DRAW sucks. I honestly have little clue on this garbage offering of a game, so I'll default to my rule of never betting on a team that gave up 4 the previous week. Have to take LA to break the duck.
    LA @ 2.65

    Prime 3 will be DAL for certain, KC on the road, and LA reluctantly.

    I'm 13-17 down $21.20 overall but upward trending.
     
  3. Justin O

    Justin O Member+

    Seattle Sounders
    United States
    Nov 30, 1998
    on the run from the covid
    Club:
    Seattle
    Go to the bettingadvice odds comparison page and select "soccer" and "USA - Major League." Click on the individual match-ups and they list 25-29 bookies' prices. Some prices have already gone up a little since I posted yesterday. They also have total goal bets now:

    O/U 2.5 goals:
    SJ-Chi 1.65 2.16 (marathon bet)
    Col-LA 1.67 1.95 (fonbet)
    Dal-DC 1.59 2.26 (marathon bet)
    NE-KC 1.70 2.10 (marathon bet)
    Clm-Met 1.73 (fonbet) 2.16 (marathon bet)

    more handicaps and other bets available too.
     
  4. Wizardscharter

    Wizardscharter New Member

    Jul 25, 2001
    Blue Springs, MO
    If I had to:
    Under
    Under
    Over
    Over
    Over
     
  5. eric_appleby

    eric_appleby Member+

    Jun 11, 1999
    Down East
    Club:
    New England Revolution
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Dallas at better than even money at home to DC looks very attractive.

    I also believe NE is getting up a head of steam. Joseph and Pierce go down. Hernandez and Kante step right in. Players i feel should be starting anyway.
     
  6. Justin O

    Justin O Member+

    Seattle Sounders
    United States
    Nov 30, 1998
    on the run from the covid
    Club:
    Seattle
    Well, I was a little hesitant about Dallas but I went ahead and did it, medium stake. I've taken Chicago as well with a medium stake. Also, HT/FT prices from Centrebet are pretty interesting, especially this one:

    San Jose - Chicago: HT San jose lead, Chicago win after 90 pays 41.00!

    I almost never do these HT/FTs and i don't have an account with Centrebet but that's a tempting price! Also you can get Chicago ahead at HT and FT for 8.50. Dallas ahead at HT and FT pays 3.40.
     
  7. Wizardscharter

    Wizardscharter New Member

    Jul 25, 2001
    Blue Springs, MO
    Hate to say I told you so, but it was the "Lead Pipe Lock" and I never give those.

    I went 2-3 on the weekend, losing on two ties and that debacle of an LA team. Chris Brown had a half dozen opportunities to win it for KC and earn some $ for me - no dice. I can't even begin to describe the magnitude of chances he missed. Preki even had to clean up one of his sitters...I digress. On the very positive side of the ledger, CHI came through on the road as I thought they might. No Onstad wasn't kind to San Ho.

    +$21 for the week.
     
  8. eneste

    eneste Member

    Mar 24, 2000
    Pittsburgh, PA
    Didn't get down on the Chicago game before kickoff unfortunetly. That was easy money for y'all. Decided that ties looked good for the other four games and ended up +47.5% for the week. :)
     

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